More details about next-gen 18m SpaceX launch vehicle

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SUMMARY

The upcoming SpaceX launch vehicle is projected to have an 18-meter diameter, representing a significant evolution from previous models like the Falcon 1, Falcon 9, and Starship. While enthusiasts speculate it will be an enlarged version of Starship with ten times the power, structural integrity concerns arise due to the increased size and weight, potentially affecting its thrust-to-weight ratio (TWR). Historical data shows a trend of increasing size, power, and reusability in SpaceX's rocket development, culminating in the fully reusable Starship capable of delivering up to 100 tons to orbit at a cost-effective rate of $7 million per launch.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of SpaceX's rocket development history
  • Familiarity with thrust-to-weight ratio (TWR) concepts
  • Knowledge of payload capacities for various launch vehicles
  • Awareness of rocket reusability and its impact on launch costs
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the specifications and capabilities of SpaceX's Starship and its predecessors
  • Explore the implications of thrust-to-weight ratio on rocket performance
  • Investigate advancements in rocket reusability and their economic benefits
  • Learn about emerging propulsion technologies, including thermal rockets and fusion torch drives
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Aerospace engineers, space enthusiasts, and anyone interested in the future of space travel and rocket technology will benefit from this discussion.

Xforce
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Some days ago, Elon said they will have a 18-diameter spacecraft later.
People online think it as a enlarged version of Starship/Superheavy, exactly twice the size, 10 times the power. However, there is no way that thing can even lift off ground (twice the height means one half the TWR) , and even it does, it will soon undergo a rapid unscheduled disassembly (large size means more parts, or simply larger parts as most people thought, they may not have the structural strength to stand several g’s.
The development of SpaceX launch vehicles, are always bigger, more power and cheaper (per kilogram launched)
Starting from the insignificant Falcon 1 their first generation system, 1.7 meters in diameter and 21.3 meters tall, able to send 0.7 tons to LEO. Fully expendable, means high cost per mass.
Then their second generation system, the current workhorse which is Falcon 9 /Falcon heavy. Falcon 9/H are both 70 meters tall. But the FH is basically 3 falcon 9 boosters packed together, so it gives the same height and the same generation system. The diameter of Falcon 9 is 3.7m, able to deliver 23 tons on their block 5. The FH is 3.7m*12m (3 packed together) and able to get a Tesla roadster to Earth escape trajectory or 54.4 tons to LEO. Partially, or the the first stage is reusable.
Later, there will be the third generation system ITS/BFR/Starship, 9 meters in diameter and 120 meters tall (65m for booster, 55m for the spaceship) in the newest design. It will be the most powerful rocket in human history (more thrust than Saturn V), and fully reusable, so the cost is around $7m per launch (very cheap for comparison with other rockets with similar capabilities) and gets up to 100 tons to orbit. With orbital refueling, it can get a delivery to Mars at around $140k/ton.

Let’s review the changes/ improvements for each generation and goes on.
Diameter(meters): 1.7—(*2.176)>3.7—(*2.42)>9—(*2)>18
Height(meters):21.3—(*3.286)>70—(*1.714)>120—>~150-180 (if two-staged) ~75-100 (if SSTO)
Payload to LEO (kg) : 700—(*32.86/77.86)>23000/54500—(*4.35/1.835)>100000—(*3-5)>~300000-500000
Reusability: expendable—>partial reusable—>fully reusable—>SSTO?
The image inserted is from AsteronX, I believe that a less height-to-diameter ratio fits more for a large rocket.
I have also heard that SpaceX is planning to use thermal rockets, and even fusion torch drives on their future launch vehicles.
7607965B-268D-481D-8B18-7E12E1D5063F.jpeg
 

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When Musk says something then you better check what's kind of announcement is that. The first type - when it's already at the corner - is surprisingly reliable.
But when it's just 'sometimes in the future' then you better recall the countless artistic (I don't dare to classify them for anything else) design iterations of the BFR and shrug - let's see it fly (hop) first.
 
Rive said:
When Musk says something then you better check what's kind of announcement is that. The first type - when it's already at the corner - is surprisingly reliable.
But when it's just 'sometimes in the future' then you better recall the countless artistic (I don't dare to classify them for anything else) design iterations of the BFR and shrug - let's see it fly (hop) first.
Well he said “probably 18m for next gen system”
Combined with the data of previous generations it makes sense
I’m sure Starship was not the last spaceship by SpaceX, it’s just the start of a new era
 

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