NASA NASA asteroid collision warning?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the asteroid 2018 LF16, discovered on June 14, 2018, with an estimated size of 213 meters, posing a significant threat if it were to collide with Earth. Despite exaggerated claims in November 2018 regarding 62 potentially dangerous Earth crossings, the asteroid's observation arc is limited to just 2 days, resulting in substantial uncertainties in its predicted motion. Current orbital parameters indicate that 2018 LF16 is entirely outside of Earth's orbit, with no imminent encounters predicted that would alter its trajectory.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs)
  • Familiarity with orbital mechanics
  • Knowledge of Tisserand Parameters
  • Basic comprehension of astronomical observation techniques
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the implications of Tisserand Parameters in asteroid classification
  • Learn about the methods used for tracking Near-Earth Asteroids
  • Explore NASA's Near-Earth Object Program and its monitoring tools
  • Investigate the significance of observation arcs in predicting asteroid trajectories
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Astronomers, planetary scientists, and anyone interested in asteroid monitoring and planetary defense strategies will benefit from this discussion.

jim mcnamara
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Yup. Newspapers have it. Again. Note the example "news" article with a very tiny disclaimer.
Here are wikipedia's take, some NASA information, and a news article. They are all links and therefore are transient and could change.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_LF16

2018 LF16 is a near Earth asteroid, discovered on June 14, 2018. Its estimate size of 213 m (699 ft) would make it extremely destructive if it collided with the earth.

In November 2018, news articles reported an exaggerated claim of 62 potentially dangerous Earth crossings in the next century; however, its observation arc extends only 2 days, leaving large uncertainties in its prediction motion.

Its current best orbital parameters leaves it entirely outside of the Earth's orbit, and there are no predicted encounters that would change its orbit in the near future.

It is placed 7862th on Near-Earth Asteroid Tisserand Parameters list.

https://echo.jpl.nasa.gov/~lance/tisserand.html
Code:
                                           PROVISIONAL  TISSERAND   
RANK  PERCENTILE ASTEROID NAME             DESIGNATION  PARAMETER   H (mag) a (AU)   e     i (deg) Q (AU) q (AU)
====  ========== =============             ===========  =========   ======= ======   =     ======= ====== ======
...
...
 7861   58.53                                2016 CG29    3.751      21.3     1.861  0.406   29.1    2.617   1.105
 7862   58.53                                2018 LF16    3.751      20.3     1.943  0.409   15.8    2.738   1.148
 7863   58.52                                2013 DG1     3.751      26.2     1.913  0.497   11.4    2.864   0.962

Orbital elements:
https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=3825519

Shows a nice graphic and after a flashy collision disaster headline,
there is tiny disclaimer to the effect that the collision risk is very low:

https://www.express.co.uk/news/scie...rning-Earth-collision-risk-2023-Asteroid-LF16
 
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