Null Hypothesis, significance level, help

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SUMMARY

This discussion analyzes a hypothesis test for a coin's fairness based on 400 tosses resulting in 225 heads. The null hypothesis (H0) states that the coin is fair, while the alternative hypothesis (H1) asserts it is not. A two-tailed test is conducted using a normal distribution with a mean of 0.5 and a standard deviation of 0.025. The calculated test statistic is 2.5, and the P-value is 0.0124, leading to the rejection of the null hypothesis at the 5% significance level, concluding that the coin is not fair.

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  • Understanding of null and alternative hypotheses
  • Knowledge of hypothesis testing and significance levels
  • Familiarity with normal distribution and its properties
  • Ability to calculate test statistics and P-values
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  • Learn about different types of hypothesis tests, including one-tailed and two-tailed tests
  • Explore the concept of Type I and Type II errors in hypothesis testing
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Homework Statement


You wish to test whether or not a coin is fair, so you toss it 400 times and obtain 225 heads. Test the null hypothesis that the coin is fair and balanced against the alternative that it is not. Use the 5% significance level.
a.) Identify(using symbols) the null and alternative hypotheses.
b.) Is this a right tailed, left tailed or two-tailed test?
c.) Identify the appropriate distribution; give its mean and standard deviation.
d.) State the formula for the test statistic; substitute the specific values, then calculate the resultant.
e.) Determine the P-value.
f.) What is your decision?
g.) State your conclusion.


Homework Equations


(work shown below)


The Attempt at a Solution



a.) Identify the null and alternative hypotheses.
Ho: The coin is fair.
H1: The coin is not fair.

b.) Is this a right tailed, left tailed or two-tailed test?
Two tailed test because it may be higher or lower.

c.) Identify the appropriate distribution; give its mean and standard deviation.
Normal distribution
p=.5
σ= (.5(1-.5))^1/2 / (400)^1/2 = 0.025

d.) State the formula for the test statistic; substitute the specific values, then calculate the resultant.
Formula for test statistic: - p / σ
= 225/400 = 0.5625
0.5625 - .5 / 0.025 = 2.5

e.)Determine the P-value.
P= (1-.9938)2 = 0.0124

f.) What is your decision?
P Value(0.0124) is less than the significance level (0.05) so we reject the null hypothesis.

g.)State your conclusion.
The coin is not fair.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
The probability of obtaining 225 heads out of 400 tosses is significantly lower than the significance level of 5%. Therefore, we reject the null hypothesis that the coin is fair and conclude that the coin is not balanced.
 

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