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Recently, John McCain died of glioblastoma (brain cancer.) The odds of dying on particular date is 1 in 365. He died of the same disease as did Ted Kennedy, on the very same date that Kennedy did. Glioblastoma affects 3.1 in 100,000 population. The mean average life span living with the disease, getting treatment for it, is 14 to 18 months. Potential causes of glioblastoma are certain carcinogenic chemicals and large doses of radiation. Can one infer from the statistical odds that the deaths were either purely coincidental or if they were the result of foul play? I see it as a similar problem as proving if some particular signal in the CERN data is random or meaningful. In this case, if the odds are ridiculously high, that it would prove that there were other factors involved and not mere coincidence. Additionally, would one include the fact that both were powerful senators in calculating the odds or would that be irrelevant?

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