Oil Replacements: What Will Power the Future? (Percentages)

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around potential replacements for oil as an energy source and the estimated percentages these alternatives might represent in the future energy landscape. Participants explore various energy sources, including nuclear, hydrogen, electricity, and others, while expressing differing opinions on the feasibility and implications of these replacements.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest nuclear energy as a likely replacement for oil, citing its increasing safety.
  • Hydrogen is proposed by some as a key future energy source, with strong confidence in its potential.
  • One participant expresses a more pessimistic view, predicting massive famine and tragedy as a consequence of transitioning away from oil.
  • A participant provides a speculative breakdown of energy sources in the US 60 years from now, including percentages for coal, nuclear, wind, solar, and motor vehicle power, while noting the unpredictability of future energy trends.
  • Another participant questions the initial framing of the discussion as homework, indicating a belief that the topic is more complex than a simple assignment.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the future of energy replacements for oil, with multiple competing views presented regarding which sources will dominate and the implications of these changes.

Contextual Notes

Some claims rely on assumptions about technological advancements and societal changes over the next several decades, which remain unresolved. The percentages provided are speculative and depend on various factors that are not fully explored in the discussion.

Jay GW
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Name the replacements for oil and next to them what percentage you believe they'll come to represent as energy of the future.
 
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Sure sounds like homework to me. What do you think the answers might be, and why?

- Warren
 
What will replace oil? If that ain't the $64 billion question, I don't know what is.:biggrin:
 
Nuclear would be my guess since it's safer these days.
Hydrogen is the future and that's where it always will be.
 
Massive famine and tragedy will take the place of oil
 
It doesn't really sound like a homework problem to me, but what do I know?

60 years from now, in the US:

Electricity:
coal 59%
nuclear 35%
wind 4%
solar 1%

Motor Vehicle Power:
electricity/hydrogen 99%
natural gas 1%
ethanol 0%

Heating:
electricity 10%
natural gas 90%In another thread I said that no one can really predict the future.
 
After giving those percentages..do you still agree with your post in another thread?
 

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