Orbital's Cygnus: SpaceX has a competitor

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the launch of Orbital Science Corporation's Antares rocket carrying the Cygnus spacecraft to the International Space Station (ISS). Participants explore the competitive landscape between Orbital and SpaceX, discussing the advantages and disadvantages of each company, their operational strategies, and the implications of their business structures.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation
  • Exploratory

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants note that Orbital is publicly traded while SpaceX is privately held, suggesting that this affects innovation and risk management differently for each company.
  • There is a discussion about the historical context of NASA contracts, with some participants highlighting that SpaceX received a significant head start over Orbital in funding and development timelines.
  • Some participants mention that SpaceX has a more powerful rocket and a more capable vehicle compared to Orbital's offerings.
  • The Cygnus spacecraft is noted to burn up upon reentry, similar to other vehicles like Progress, with some participants confirming this information.
  • Concerns are raised about a GPS error that delayed Cygnus's ISS berthing, with a later post indicating that Orbital is working on a software fix for the issue.
  • Participants express congratulations on the successful capture of Cygnus at the ISS, indicating a positive outcome for Orbital's mission.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

The discussion contains multiple competing views regarding the advantages and disadvantages of Orbital and SpaceX, as well as differing opinions on the implications of their business structures. There is no consensus on which company has a definitive advantage overall.

Contextual Notes

Participants reference specific historical contracts and technical details about the spacecraft, but there are unresolved questions about the implications of the business models and the technical challenges faced by both companies.

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Orbital Science Corporation launched its Antares rocket Wednesday, carrying its Cygnus spacecraft into space and on its way to the ISS. Capture by the robotic arm is scheduled for 7:25 AM eastern time. The approach will be visible from the ground in the northern US and southern Canada. NASA TV will show this live starting at 4:30 AM for those of who can't see those dots in the sky (NASA's view will be from a much closer perspective).

cygnus-cargo-logistics-spacecraft.jpg


Satellite flybys website: http://www.spaceweather.com/flybys/
NASA TV website: http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/nasatv/index.html#.Ujzv6BZiigw
 
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What are the advantages of each of the competitors?
 
Orbital is a publicly traded corporation. SpaceX is privately held. Each has its advantages and disadvantages. Being publicly traded can get in the way of innovation and long term time horizons. Being privately held increases risk.

Orbital contracts some work out while SpaceX much prefers to build everything in-house. Again, advantages and disadvantages to each.

SpaceX had a big head start on Orbital. NASA originally awarded the COTS contracts to SpaceX ($278 million + milestones, $378 M total) and Rocketplane Kistler ($207 million). NASA canceled the RpK contract after RpK failed to meet obligations (but after paying RpK $32 million). NASA opened a new competition for that second slot, which Orbital won ($170 M + milestones, $288 M total). That left Orbital 2 years and $100 million behind SpaceX.

The end result: SpaceX has a more powerful rocket and a more capable vehicle.
 
D H said:
Being publicly traded can get in the way of innovation and long term time horizons. Being privately held increases risk.

But you usually have good cash investment no? Though SpaceX is owned by billionare Brandson right?

Is this the craft here?
http://www.orbital.com/NewsInfo/Publications/Cygnus_fact.pdf
 
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Out of order response:

Greg Bernhardt said:
That's it.

Berthing is in about seven and half hours from now (7:30 AM EDT). There are lots of opportunities for people in the northern US and southern Canada to see passes of the ISS and Cygnus overhead.


But you usually have good cash investment no? Though SpaceX is owned by billionare Brandson right?
It's Elon Musk, not Richard Branson. You need to get your billionaire space club membership straight. This list is by no means complete.


Company: Armadillo Aerospace
Owner: John D. Carmack
How he got rich: Video games (Doom, Quake, Rage, and others)
Goal: Space tourism

Company:Bigelow Aerospace
Owner: Robert Bigelow
How he got rich: Vegas, baby!
Goal: Space tourism

Company: Blue Origin
Owner: Jeff Bezos
How he got rich: Amazon (founder)
Goal: Rather tight lipped

Company: Planetary Resources, Inc.
Principals: Peter Diamandis, Eric C. Anderson
Key investors: Larry Page, Eric Schmidt, Ross Perot Jr., Charles Simonyi, James Cameron
How they got rich: Space tourism, Google, inheritance, Microsoft, movies
Goal: Space mining

Company: Space Adventures, Ltd.
Owners: Eric C. Anderson, Peter Diamandis
How they got rich: Space tourism
Goal: Space tourism

Company: Space Exploration Technologies Corporation (Space-X)
Owner: Elon Musk
How he got rich: Zip2, PayPal
Goal: Perhaps everything

Company: Stratolaunch Systems
Owners: Paul Allen, Burt Rutan
How they got rich: Microsoft (cofounder), aerospace engineering
Goal: Space tourism

Company: Virgin Galactica
Owner: Richard Branson
How he got rich: Virgin Records, Virgin Airlines
Goal: Space tourism
 
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The Cygnus spacecraft also burns up in reentry, similar to Progress, as far as I know.

SpaceX is also pursuing CCDev (Commercial Crew Development -- manned spaceflights to the ISS). Here, their main competitor is Boeing with CST-100.
 
jhae2.718 said:
The Cygnus spacecraft also burns up in reentry, similar to Progress, as far as I know.
Correct. The European Space Agency's ATV and Japan's HTV are also expendable vehicles.
 
  • #10
Cygnus was successfully captured at 7:01 AM EDT. Congrats, Orbital!
 
  • #11
Woot!
 
  • #12
Congrats to Orbital.

And on the SpaceX side, congrats on a good launch of Falcon 9 v1.1.
 
  • #13
http://www.floridatoday.com/proart/20131022/space/131022004/cygnus-completes-first-visit-iss?pagerestricted=1
 
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  • #14
jhae2.718 said:
http://www.floridatoday.com/proart/20131022/space/131022004/cygnus-completes-first-visit-iss?pagerestricted=1

That link appears to require a subscription to the paper...?
 
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  • #15
berkeman said:
That link appears to require a subscription to the paper...?

Hmm, it works for me, but I also have JavaScript and cookies disabled so it could be a badly-designed paywall.
 

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