Poisson distribution and random processes

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the Poisson distribution, specifically its parameters and applications in modeling random processes, such as the occurrence of raindrops falling on a surface. Participants explore how to determine the appropriate value for the parameter lambda (λ) and how to verify if a given process follows a Poisson distribution.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Technical explanation, Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • One participant inquires about the meaning of lambda (λ) in the context of the Poisson distribution and its application to falling raindrops.
  • Another participant explains that λ represents the expected number of occurrences in a given interval and provides an example of calculating λ based on average occurrences.
  • A participant clarifies that they meant 100 drops per second and seeks guidance on how to determine if the process of raindrops falling can be modeled by a Poisson distribution.
  • Another participant suggests that time is necessary for determining λ and mentions that tests exist for assessing whether a real-world process follows a Poisson distribution, although they lack specific knowledge about those tests.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express varying levels of understanding regarding the application of the Poisson distribution and the determination of λ. There is no consensus on how to check if a process is described by this distribution, and the discussion remains unresolved on specific methodologies.

Contextual Notes

Limitations include the lack of detailed methodologies for testing whether a process follows a Poisson distribution and the dependence on specific definitions of occurrences and intervals.

paul-g
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Hello!

I am writing because I recently became interested in probability distributions, and I have to you a few questions.

Poisson distribution is given as a probability:

f(k;\lambda)=\frac{\lambda^{k}e^{-\lambda}}{k!}

But what is lambda?

Suppose that we consider as an unrelated incident falling raindrops. If these drops fall 100 in 1 on a surface second how much \lambda will be?

How to check if the falling drops of rain or some other unrelated events are described in this distribution?
 
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From Wikipedia: λ is a positive real number, equal to the expected number of occurrences during the given interval. For instance, if the events occur on average 4 times per minute, and one is interested in the probability of an event occurring k times in a 10 minute interval, one would use a Poisson distribution as the model with λ = 10×4 = 40.

I'm not sure what you mean by "100 in 1."
 
Meant falling about 100 drops per second on the area.

Im curious how can be checked whether a process is described in this distribution.

For example, the number of drops falling on the glass. How can I check if they are described Poisson distribution.
 
I think you would also need a time, since λ measures the expected number of occurrences and not the rate.

I've only taken one statistics course, but generally the problem will explicitly tell you if it follows a Poisson distribution. There are tests for Poission distributions if you're doing "real world" statistics, but I don't know anything about such tests. Maybe try googling "Poisson distribution test."
 

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