TheMathNoob said:
[1] Forest Area-> Plant evapotranspiration and rain cloud formation
[2] Plant evapotranspiration and rain cloud formation->Rainfall
[3] Rainfall->Forest Area
Hi MathNoob:
I confess I also find this loop a bit puzzling.
I added number in brackets to your quote for ease of reference.
First I would think that [1] involved 2 distinct steps:
[1a] Forest Area-> Plant evapotranspiration
[1b] Plant evapotranspiration -> cloud formation
Next, [3] has a limit.
[3x] If rain fall rate grows too much, flooding will reduce forest areas.
Also,
[3y] If rain fall rate diminishes too much, drought will reduce forest areas.
Therefore, rainfall rate has an optimum range, and less or more is bad for the forest growth. I think this is sufficient to break the loop.
Also, the is another link in the opposite direction, that is a negative feedback effect..
[1bx] Cloud formation -> Plant evapotranspiration
If cloud formation increases, Plant evapotranspiration will decrease due to reduced sunlight.
So now there is a negative feedback loop:
Increasing Plant evapotranspiration -> Increasing cloud formation -> Decreasing Plant evapotranspiration
All in all I think this "All the relationships represented in this figure show positive couplings between the components" is seriously flawed.
I also don't understand the following:
The Attempt at a Solution
I can't see the invariant or I don't know if this loop is related to the temperature. Can someone explain me how this loop works?I don't understand what you mean by "invariant", or what "the solution" is supposed to solve. I am guessing the solution is supposed to determine the trend of something, and that is some variable lioke temperature.
So, as I discussed above, I don't think this "loop" works. I am guessing that:
(1) the student is supposed to
ignore reality facts that contradict the premises of the "loop", and
(2a) that the (unrealistic) never ending increase in forests, clouds and rain causes a never ending increase in water vapor in the atmosphere, and
(2b) the increase of water vapor (a greenhouse gas) causes an increase in temperature.
Hope this is helpful.
Regards,
Buzz