Positive feedbacks and negative feedbacks (global warming)

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the feedback loop involving clouds, rainfall, and forest area, specifically examining whether the relationships among these components represent a positive or negative feedback loop. Participants explore the implications of these feedbacks on temperature variation and the overall dynamics of the system.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants propose that the feedback loop consists of positive couplings: forest area positively influences rainfall, which in turn positively affects plant evapotranspiration.
  • Others argue that the feedback loop is more complex, suggesting that there are limits to the relationships, such as flooding and drought potentially reducing forest areas, which could break the loop.
  • A participant introduces the idea of a negative feedback effect, where increased cloud formation could lead to decreased plant evapotranspiration due to reduced sunlight.
  • There is uncertainty regarding the concept of "invariant" and how it relates to the feedback loop and temperature, with some participants expressing confusion about the intended solution to the problem.
  • One participant questions the validity of the premise that all relationships are positive, suggesting that this assumption may overlook real-world complexities.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on whether the feedback loop is purely positive or if it incorporates negative feedback mechanisms. Multiple competing views remain regarding the nature of the feedbacks and their implications.

Contextual Notes

Participants express uncertainty about the definitions and implications of the feedback loop, particularly regarding the concept of "invariant" and the relationship to temperature changes. The discussion highlights the complexity of environmental feedback systems and the limitations of the initial assumptions.

TheMathNoob
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Homework Statement


Consider the feedback loop involving Clouds, Rainfall and forest area.
All the relationships represented in this figure show positive couplings between the components:
Forest area is positively coupled to rainfall, plant evapotranspiration is positively coupled to forest area, and rainfall is positively coupled to plant evapotranspiration.

Is this a positive or negative feedback loop

Homework Equations


Forest Area-> Plant evapotranspiration and rain cloud formation
Plant evapotranspiration and rain cloud formation->Rainfall
Rainfall->Forest Area

The Attempt at a Solution


I don't actually understand that loop because I can't see the invariant. In my class we are analyzing how those feedbacks influence the variation of the temperature. In this case, I can't see the invariant or I don't know if this loop is related to the temperature. Can someone explain me how this loop works?
 
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TheMathNoob said:
[1] Forest Area-> Plant evapotranspiration and rain cloud formation
[2] Plant evapotranspiration and rain cloud formation->Rainfall
[3] Rainfall->Forest Area
Hi MathNoob:

I confess I also find this loop a bit puzzling.

I added number in brackets to your quote for ease of reference.

First I would think that [1] involved 2 distinct steps:
[1a] Forest Area-> Plant evapotranspiration
[1b] Plant evapotranspiration -> cloud formation​

Next, [3] has a limit.
[3x] If rain fall rate grows too much, flooding will reduce forest areas.​
Also,
[3y] If rain fall rate diminishes too much, drought will reduce forest areas.​
Therefore, rainfall rate has an optimum range, and less or more is bad for the forest growth. I think this is sufficient to break the loop.

Also, the is another link in the opposite direction, that is a negative feedback effect..
[1bx] Cloud formation -> Plant evapotranspiration​
If cloud formation increases, Plant evapotranspiration will decrease due to reduced sunlight.
So now there is a negative feedback loop:
Increasing Plant evapotranspiration -> Increasing cloud formation -> Decreasing Plant evapotranspiration​

All in all I think this "All the relationships represented in this figure show positive couplings between the components" is seriously flawed.

I also don't understand the following:

The Attempt at a Solution


I can't see the invariant or I don't know if this loop is related to the temperature. Can someone explain me how this loop works?​
I don't understand what you mean by "invariant", or what "the solution" is supposed to solve. I am guessing the solution is supposed to determine the trend of something, and that is some variable lioke temperature.

So, as I discussed above, I don't think this "loop" works. I am guessing that:
(1) the student is supposed to ignore reality facts that contradict the premises of the "loop", and
(2a) that the (unrealistic) never ending increase in forests, clouds and rain causes a never ending increase in water vapor in the atmosphere, and
(2b) the increase of water vapor (a greenhouse gas) causes an increase in temperature.

Hope this is helpful.

Regards,
Buzz
 
Last edited:
Buzz Bloom said:
Hi MathNoob:

I confess I also find this loop a bit puzzling.

I added number in brackets to your quote for ease of reference.

First I would think that [1] involved 2 distinct steps:
[1a] Forest Area-> Plant evapotranspiration
[1b] Plant evapotranspiration -> cloud formation​

Next, [3] has a limit.
[3x] If rain fall rate grows too much, flooding will reduce forest areas.​
Also,
[3y] If rain fall rate diminishes too much, drought will reduce forest areas.​
Therefore, rainfall rate has an optimum range, and less or more is bad for the forest growth. I think this is sufficient to break the loop.

Also, the is another link in the opposite direction, that is a negative feedback effect..
[1bx] Cloud formation -> Plant evapotranspiration​
If cloud formation increases, Plant evapotranspiration will decrease due to reduced sunlight.
So now there is a negative feedback loop:
Increasing Plant evapotranspiration -> Increasing cloud formation -> Decreasing Plant evapotranspiration​

All in all I think this "All the relationships represented in this figure show positive couplings between the components" is seriously flawed.

I also don't understand the following:

The Attempt at a Solution



Regards,
Buzz
Never mind what I said. I understand now what is going on, but consider just the positive feedbacks. The problem is telling us that there is just positive feedbacks between the events, so it would be a positive or a negative feedback loop?
 
Hi MathNoob:

I edited some addition to my previous post while you were posting #3. Your #3 seems to confirm some of my guesses.

Regards,
Buzz
 

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