Possible Explanations To Fermi's Paradox?

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The discussion on Fermi's Paradox explores the absence of contact with alien civilizations and questions whether this indicates humanity is alone in the galaxy. Participants suggest that intelligent life may be rare, interstellar travel impractical, and that technological civilizations often self-destruct shortly after achieving advanced capabilities. The conversation also highlights the possibility that advanced alien civilizations may exist but are unrecognizable to us, akin to how humans perceive ants. Concerns about humanity's potential for self-destruction through technology and ecological disasters are emphasized, alongside the notion that survival rates may depend on the ethical behavior of societies. Ultimately, the dialogue underscores the complexity of the Fermi Paradox and the importance of prioritizing ethical considerations in the face of technological advancement.
  • #31
MonstersFromTheId said:
I DO take issue with the idea that "broadcasting on 21 cm would be like dialing 911 on your cell phone". That's a pretty over the top assumption to make imo. Broadcasting on 21 cm could very well be more like beating on a phone wire with a stick. IF the phone company had sensors installed on phone wires to detect attempts at communication by people far too primitive to figure out how to tap into the line somebody might notice. But I'm not sure that that's all that likely.
Broadcasting and listening on the 21 cm band may ultimately be fruitless, but it's a pretty smart way to attract attention for two reasons.
1) Neutral hydrogen is pretty fundamental, and it's a good bet that anybody mapping the universe in EM will pay special attention to that wavelength and actually conduct surveys (large-area studies) in that wavelength.
2) Patches of neutral hydrogen do not exhibit modulations in complex repeating patterns, and any such broadcast would be a pretty good indication of intelligence behind the source.

You might not like Chronos' comparison of 21 cm to 911, but it is a valid point. Anywhere in the US, you can dial 911 on your cell phone and it will be universally recognized as a call for assistance. I don't know how many other countries might have adopted that code (ignorant on that count) but it is very handy here. Not being able to communicate with other civilizations yet (and set up a common meeting ground), we have to guess where they might be looking for signs, and 21 cm is a very logical place to look.

Compared to putting plaques and phonograph records on interplanetary probes, broadcasting and searching at 21 cm is just a little (maybe 1010 times :devil:) likely to yield something, if only a qualified negative result.
 
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  • #32
"Btw, you have some out there analogies. Fish, tattoos, pixie dust..."
;-)
I know K, but I'm trying to keep this on the level of a friendly chat hanging out over a back yard fence post. A little absurd humor never hurts you know?
-------------------

"in other words we are simply to primitive to see aliens- even if they were right in front of us"

A valid point setAI, and to an extent that's what I'm getting at. If the day comes when we either develop, or stumble onto, a practical means of communicating across interstellar distances, we could well find the universe chuck FULL of civilizations, all babbling all away to each other, in a vast noisy conversation in which ours becomes just one more voice among the throng.
-------------------------------

"Broadcasting and listening on the 21 cm band may ultimately be fruitless, but it's a pretty smart way to attract attention for two reasons.
1) Neutral hydrogen is pretty fundamental, and it's a good bet that anybody mapping the universe in EM will pay special attention to that wavelength and actually conduct surveys (large-area studies) in that wavelength.
2) Patches of neutral hydrogen do not exhibit modulations in complex repeating patterns, and any such broadcast would be a pretty good indication of intelligence behind the source."

Actually Turbo I think it's an admirably shrewd way of calling attention to ourselves *given the tools we've got to work with at the moment*.

And I have to stress, yet again, that it's, at least imo, no waste of time on our part to try despite our evident handicaps and/or the odds against our getting an answer. We're NEVER going to get anywhere by throwing up our hands and crying in our beer over the fact that we don't have better means at out disposal. Our ancestors put up with using horses and sail boats to explore their world, and before that used their feet, but they didn't wait around with their collective thumbs in their mouths for the advent of airplanes, helicopters, "humvees" and air conditioned land rovers to do it in more practical and comfortable style.

But... consider for a moment the implications of a culture that has access to "practical means of interstellar communication". I'm being very intentionally vague about what "practical means of interstellar communication" means for a reason. I've got no idea what that means would be. I'm a cave dweller speculating on the possible existence of radio waves here remember, we all are.
*IF* such means even exist, and frankly, I think we all have to admit that none of us have any way at all of knowing that one way or another at *this* point in time, then it's possible that nobody out there is "mapping the universe in the EM bands" anymore (at least no one still restricted to such primitive means of mapping things, that also happens to be close enough to respond with an answer in the next thousand years).
Why bother continuing to map the universe in the EM band when you've got much more interesting and productive ways of mapping things? Any such civilizations may have completed "mapping the universe" at least in the EM band, several thousand years ago, and moved on to mapping it by considerably more productive ways. The EM band might well be something they just don't bother paying much attention to anymore.

All of which could be mistaken for an argument against things like SETI, but it's not, it's an argument for patience an perseverance.
Fermi, for all his genius, was being a bit of a jackass imo, by posing the question that if there IS intelligent life out there, why haven't we all ready heard from them?
All I'm trying to point out is that there are probably PLENTY of reasons we haven't heard from them, that getting and answer soon or easily could very well be unlikely, and that inferring that there's no one out there just because we haven't heard from them (using what could well be woefully primitive and inadequate means of doing so), borders on childish petulance and sublime arrogance.
 
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  • #33
I think you have too lightly dismissed what Turbo was saying. Dodging and twisting does not make a compelling argument. Searching for signals at 21 cm makes perfect sense.
 
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  • #34
Please take the floor and expand Chronos.
Seriously, I really don't mind having it stuck up my nose when it's due. (That's half the fun of this forum, and a good way to learn).
 
  • #35
turbo-1 said:
You might not like Chronos' comparison of 21 cm to 911, but it is a valid point. Anywhere in the US, you can dial 911 on your cell phone and it will be universally recognized as a call for assistance. I don't know how many other countries might have adopted that code (ignorant on that count) but it is very handy here. Not being able to communicate with other civilizations yet (and set up a common meeting ground), we have to guess where they might be looking for signs, and 21 cm is a very logical place to look.
Here in Britain we dial 999, (which I believe is where the idea for the American 911 came from, but that is another story!) But it does highlight the fact that we have to watch on all other possible "21cm" frequencies as well. And "all" can be a very large number!

Garth
 
  • #36
Personally, I believe that the Fermi Paradox is not a paradox at all. I believe it to be an extremely simplistic answer(sarcastic too) to an all to important question. "Are we alone in the universe?" Fermi simply couldn't believe in the possibility of extraterrestrial life, hence the question. Extraterrestrial life has and is possibly visiting us right now. The desire to deny the existence of a thing has no bearing on whether or not it does. Our world is still home to an altogether too violent a species. Certainly not worthy of benign extraterrestrial contact. It could also be that some extraterrestrials have no interest in us as a neighboring species. No thread of kinship exists, because we are like ants on the evolutionary scale. They may not wish to tip the balance of power in favor of one faction over another. This could result in the destruction of their favorite experiment(possibly)us. Maybe, heaven forbid, there is an even more sinister side to the equation and we're better off not knowing. There are a multitude of logical answers to Fermis Paradox, you simply have to think about it. If you want to.

Rouellet
 
  • #37
turbo-1 said:
It's a sobering (actually depressing) thought, but in our society the motivations and efforts of decent ethical people can be undone by those who lust only for power and control. These maniacs realize that through lies, manipulation, etc, they can acquire the means to destroy life, destroy societies, etc. Usually, they fill their rhetoric with words like "freedom", "liberty", and "security", while they work very hard to deny these things to entire classes of people, sometimes entire societies. Eventually, careless use or intentional use of the destructive capabilities controlled by these sociopaths may spell the end for the human race. For this reason, the Drake equation should contain a term for the ethics of the intelligent species. In a truly ethical society, all life would be valued and individuals would act in a manner consistent with the Golden Rule.

I'm sure the distances involved is a big factor, but I often wonder if it is our lack of predictability that precludes other intelligent species from seeking contact with the human race. We have a very bad habit of putting little or noemphasis on life even among our own race, not to mention what we do to other forms of life on this planet. I think another intelligent species would be very reluctant to reveal themselves to the human species. From their perspective, it would be like playing a game of Russian Roulette.
 
  • #38
Taking up Turbo's point given our track record if we did make contact with another species how long would it be, if we sussed them out and found they were militarily inferior to us, before we enslaved and otherwise exploited them. I'd say there are many civilizations in the 'new' world who wish to god they had ran and hid when the first european explorers arrived. Perhaps the reason we can't find alien lifeforms is because they are trying very hard not to be found :biggrin:

We have plenty of intelligent lifeforms on this planet such as dolphins and whales and look how we treat them; not to mention how we treat one another.
 
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