Predicting adult height given current height, age and growth plate measurement

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SUMMARY

This discussion centers on predicting adult height using current height, age, and growth plate measurements, particularly in the context of an individual with Marfan syndrome. The orthopedic specialist indicated that the individual was not halfway through their growth, suggesting that medical evaluations are crucial for accurate predictions. The conversation highlights the importance of regression models, specifically adjusted R^2, for refining predictions based on individual circumstances. The user encourages others to consult relevant literature and share data for community input.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of growth plate assessment and X-ray interpretation
  • Familiarity with regression analysis and statistical modeling
  • Knowledge of Marfan syndrome and its implications on growth
  • Basic understanding of the coefficient of determination (R^2) and its adjusted version
NEXT STEPS
  • Research regression models for predicting height based on growth data
  • Explore the implications of Marfan syndrome on growth patterns
  • Learn about the coefficient of determination and its adjusted form (adjusted R^2)
  • Investigate medical literature on growth predictions and orthopedic assessments
USEFUL FOR

Individuals seeking to understand height prediction methods, orthopedic specialists, medical professionals, and researchers interested in growth disorders and statistical modeling.

moonman239
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I went to see an orthopedic specialist this year, when I was 15 years and 5 months old. I am 5 ft, 11 1/4 in. The specialist looked at my then-recent X-rays and I was not even halfway done growing. (I'm pretty sure I scored a 2 out of 5.)

I am due for another X-ray sometime next year, at which point I may have a better idea of how quickly I am growing.
 
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I think this may be more of a medical issue than a statistical one, tho you may want to check some regression models for prediction.
 
I just want to make it clear that I have no special training in that area, and
that I am just giving my opinion based on what you posted, so please don't
take what I said as an authoritative statement. Instead, I was suggesting you
could take a look at the literature, look for some studies that you believe best describes
your situation, and then maybe post the data here for us to suggest.
 
Bacle said:
I think this may be more of a medical issue than a statistical one, tho you may want to check some regression models for prediction.

That's what I've been trying to do. Wish there was a Website I could input that data into. Also, I probably should have mentioned this but I have Marfan syndrome, which may eed to be factored into a prediction. Maybe I should just wait until my next ortho appt.
 
You might want to consider then R^2 adjusted for your syndrome; see the bottom of:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coefficient_of_determination: .

With the same caveat as in my 2nd post. Good Luck.

Edit: I thought it would be fair to give Pyrrhus credit for introducing me to adjusted R^2.
 
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