Probability independence problem

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves demonstrating the independence of two events, E and F, defined in terms of other independent events A, B, C, and D. The events are expressed as E = A ∪ ¬B and F = ¬D ∪ C, and the task is to show that E and F are independent based on the independence of A, B, C, and D.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss using set theory to simplify the intersection of E and F and explore the definitions of independence. There are attempts to express probabilities in terms of unions and intersections, with some participants questioning the simplification steps taken.

Discussion Status

Some participants have provided guidance on how to approach the problem, suggesting alternative expressions for the probabilities involved. There is an ongoing exploration of different methods to combine the expressions for P(E) and P(F) to establish their independence.

Contextual Notes

Participants note the importance of recognizing preliminary properties of independence, such as the relationship between events and their complements, which may influence their approach to the problem.

naptor
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Homework Statement


Let
E= A \cup \bar{B} and F= \bar{D} \cup C
Assuming that A,B,C,D are independent show that
F and E are independent

Homework Equations


By definition A and by are independent if and only P(AB)=P(A)P(B).

The Attempt at a Solution


I tried to use set theory to simplify E\capF.But I couldn't imply the definition,all I got was this bunch of unions :
EF=A \bar{D} \cup A C \cup \bar{B} \bar{D} \cup \bar{B} C
 
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hi naptor! :smile:

start with, what is P(A \cup \bar{B}) ? :wink:
 
tiny-tim said:
hi naptor! :smile:

start with, what is P(A \cup \bar{B}) ? :wink:

Hi tim :smile thanks for the reply

ok so :P(A \cup \bar{B})=P(A)+P(\bar{B})-P(A \cap \bar{B}) I can get rid off A \cap \bar{B} using P(A)=P(A\cap B )+P(A \cap \bar{B}) \Rightarrow P(A \cap \bar{B}) =P(A)-P(A\cap B ) now I can plug this in my first eq and use the hypothesis I got:P(A \cup \bar{B})=P(A)+P(\bar{B})-P(A)P(\bar{B}) and the same thing for P(\bar{D}\cup C). I'm trying to combine these expressions in oder to get P(E \cap F)=P(E)P(F).
Am I on the right track?
 
Last edited:
hi naptor! :smile:
naptor said:
P(A \cup \bar{B})=P(A)+P(\bar{B})-P(A \cap \bar{B}) I can get rid off A \cap \bar{B} using P(A)=P(A\cap B )+P(A \cap \bar{B}) \Rightarrow P(A \cap \bar{B}) =P(A)-P(A\cap B ) now I can plug this in my first eq and use the hypothesis I got:P(A \cup \bar{B})=P(A)+P(\bar{B})-P(A)P(\bar{B})

a bit long-winded, and you still have a P(A), which should have canceled :redface:

easier would have been P(A \cup \bar{B})=P(\bar{B})+P(A \cap B) :wink:

try again :smile:
 
naptor said:

Homework Statement


Let
E= A \cup \bar{B} and F= \bar{D} \cup C
Assuming that A,B,C,D are independent show that
F and E are independent

Homework Equations


By definition A and by are independent if and only P(AB)=P(A)P(B).

The Attempt at a Solution


I tried to use set theory to simplify E\capF.But I couldn't imply the definition,all I got was this bunch of unions :
EF=A \bar{D} \cup A C \cup \bar{B} \bar{D} \cup \bar{B} C

It is a lot easier to first recognize some easily-proven preliminary properties: (i) two events U \text{ and } V are independent if and only if U \text{ and } \bar{V} are independent; and (ii) If U, V, W are independent, then U \text{ and } V \cup W are independent, as are U \text{ and } V \cap W.

Because of these properties it does not matter whether we use B \text{ or } \bar{B} and it does not matter whether we use C \text{ or } \bar{C}. So, we can ask instead whether A \cup B \text{ and } \bar{C} \cup \bar{D} are independent, or equivalently, whether A \cup B \text{ and } C \cap D are independent. This last form is easier to work with. We have
P\{ (A \cup B)\cap( C \cap D) \} = P\{ (A \cap C \cap D) \cup (B \cap C \cap \D) \}\\<br /> = P\{A \cap (C \cap D) \} + P\{B \cap (C \cap D) \} – P\{ (A \cap B)\cap(C \cap D)\} \\<br /> = P\{A\} P\{C \cap D\} + P\{B\} P\{C \cap D\} – P\{A \cap B \}P\{ C \cap D\}\\<br /> = P\{ A \cup B\} P\{ C \cap D\},
so A \cup B \text{ and } C \cap D are independent.

RGV
 

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