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Probability Question Without Knowing the Distribution

  1. Apr 4, 2007 #1

    Thank you to the contributors on this forum.
    My question is not a homework question but rather concerns an idea I have been thinking of for some time.

    Suppose there are two parties to an agreement whereby one party agrees to pay the other party a sum of money, should an asset not appreciate in a value by a percetage (say 5%) over a period of time (say 2 years).

    How do you work out the probability of the asset increasing value by 5% ?

    Many thanks in advance

  2. jcsd
  3. Apr 4, 2007 #2
    Wouldn't it have something to do with what is the asset? And even then you would have to be pretty good to figure that--expecially if you had to also make a profit.
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