Delta Kilo said:
Yes, I think it is fair enough. I'm not sure what are you trying to achieve though, please continue.
It's rather simple.
As said I continue with N identical experiments, with the statistical frequency one observer can derive from her result string "xyxxyxxxx...", and a formula which allows her to predict or post-dict this result. Again this is not about any interpretation but about a correct application of some (yet uninterpreted) formalism; "correct" to be understood in the sense that we can verify / falsify this application by comparing p(x) with f(x) and finding nearly perfect agreement.
Now back to interpretation: we agree that for very simple experiments we know the branch structure. Of course I agree that as soon as the observer as a macroscopic system enters the stage we have to talk about decoherence and a far more complicated branch structure. But we can use a trick and prepare the N experiments such that all N branchings are caused far away from the observer such that she does not affect this "primary' branching" (she could in principle decide not to interact with the microscopic subsystem at all). I think this "primary branching" would not called branching at all but is simply a coherent superposition of all possible results of the N experiments. Right?
What we have achieved so far is that we agree on the "primary branch structure" including its counting. But applying simple branch counting forces us to conclude that most observers reside in branches with rather low QM probability (see my example: only 25% of all observers will reside in a branch with 81% probability).
The conclusion is rather simple: either MWI with its branches is wrong, or my simple branch counting applied to the full branch structure is wrong (or meaningless) and we have to correct it in some way. I would like to agree to the latter position, but then your idea that
one should count all branches and that
the majority of branches have very small measure means that MWI must provide a means to define full branch counting and a derivation of the QM probabilities (in agreement with the observed statistical frequencies).
How is this achieved?
(what I read so far is that nobody has a clear idea how to count branches and how to derive the QM probabilities; some claim that counting is useless, others claim that its not useless but one has to count in the correct way; some claim that the are no probabilities at all - even if there are statistical frequencies; all this seems to be in contradiction with Everett's original idea of a full realistic and straightforward interpretation of the QM formalism b/c all what I read so far says that I am getting it wrong, but nobody is able to tell be how to get it right)