Please forgive me if the question is too ambiguous. I've run into mathematics that I've never dealt with before (I only have encountered very basic probability and statistics). Correct me if I'm wrong, but think I see a bit of topology is used in the second and third sections (though this could simply be my ignorance showing), but it seems that most of it is based in probability theory. I found this while searching for papers that detail the use of Monte Carlo Methods for the analysis of Power distribution systems with the hope of determining a way to calculate the reliability of a single circuit breaker located on said system. I was hoping someone could give me direction toward some decrypting documents to lend a hand to my comprehension of this math. Here's the paper: http://www.researchgate.net/publication/249733974_SYSTEM_RELIABILITY_EVALUATION_USING_CONDITIONAL_MONTE_CARLO_METHODS [Broken] Any and all help would be much obliged.