arunma said:
A few hundred years ago there would have been a very strong correlation between affluence and scientifc calibre.
And an obvious causal relationship as well.
Based on the people in my physics department, a cleverly chosen sample could show a strong correlation between getting trashed on weekends and scientific calibre (that seems to be a common behavior among most of the other physicists I know, don't ask me why).
This is not a rigorous statistical test; it is in fact, by your own admission, not based on a random sampling. It is at best a distortion of anecdotal evidence. And even without the distortion, that would be meaningless.
If causality could be established by correlation, we could arrive at all kinds of absurd results.
I am not saying that causality would follow simply from correlation. Even if I did, I would have to select the cause and the effect, which, given nothing else, would be arbitrary.
If so, then you know that causality isn't established by experiments alone, but by theory. This is not to disparage the importance of empirical data. As an experimental physicist myself, I rely heavily on data. But you need to construct a model from known physical laws, which can then be confirmed empirically, in order to demonstrate causality.
The model has already been proposed. See Siddharth's earlier post on compartmentalizing.
If you don't have any theoretical reason as to why atheists make better scientists, you can't make any conclusive statements from correlation plots. In fact, the existence of preeminent theistic scientists and scientifically illiterate atheists would call your conclusion seriously into question.
No, it would not. In a probabilistic model, it would require an accordingly significant size of such a set to trouble the model.
Many theistic religions have some basis in history (whether this historicity is valid is another topic, and is not relevant to this discussion).
If they have an invalid basis in history, how can one say that they have a basis in history? And so, how can one ignore the validity of the historicity (whatever that means in this context)?
Thus the belief is rational.
I have no idea how this follows from your previous statement. So, perhaps, I do not understand what "basis in history" means.
Crystal magic and astrology, on the other hand, are arbitrary, and have no basis in reality.
I would say that they have a basis in history just as most religions do. There are historical accounts of all kinds of magic and all sorts of accurate predictions of this and that performed by astrologers, entrail readers, palmists, and and dozen other kinds of such folk.
Furthermore, I would add that if you're going to accuse any group of people of experiencing cognitive dissonance, it might be a good idea for you to propose some testable means of detecting this.
I made no accusation of any such kind. All I did was ask you how one group of people was different from the other. I'm not even sure what cognitive dissonance entails, and never even used the term in any of my posts. You were the one accusing a certain group of people of suffering a cognitive dissonance. So, perhaps it is your job to propose the test you seek.
Saying that certain people are compartmentalizing simply because they hold beliefs that you don't like isn't very scientific (let me know if this is not what you're saying).
I never said any such thing, or even anything remotely close to it. I merely asked you a question. Siddharth, however, did say something about compartmentalizing, and I mostly agree with his statement.
Also, from personal experience I've found that atheists seem to have a much stronger tendency towards irrationality, especially militant atheists. The most irrational and emotionally-charged arguments I've ever heard came from militant atheists. Angry people tend to say foolish things. But maybe I'm encountering a biased sample, so I certainly wouldn't presume to present my personal experience as evidence of any kind.
I've kept my own set of anecdotes out of the thread, since they would be just as meaningless as yours, for the purpose of this discussion.