Rolling Two 3s: Probability & Combinations

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    Dice Probability
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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the probability of rolling two dice and both landing on the number 3. Participants explore various approaches, including the use of combinations and permutations, while addressing misconceptions related to these concepts.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant suggests that the total number of combinations for rolling two dice is 21 and proposes that the probability of rolling two 3s is 1/21.
  • Another participant counters that the probability of rolling a 3 on a six-sided die is 1/6, leading to a combined probability of 1/36 for two rolls.
  • A participant expresses confusion regarding the application of permutation and combination formulas to this problem.
  • One participant lists all 36 possible outcomes of rolling two dice, asserting that each outcome is equally likely, thus supporting the probability of 1/36.
  • Another participant speculates that the initial method may have involved "6 choose 2," which is not applicable in this context.
  • Some participants clarify that the problem relates to Bernoulli trials rather than permutations or combinations.
  • A participant acknowledges a misunderstanding regarding the use of permutations with repetition.
  • One participant emphasizes the independence of the two rolls, reinforcing the calculation of the combined probability as (1/6)(1/6) = 1/36.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the initial claim regarding combinations. There is disagreement on the appropriate mathematical approach to calculate the probability, with multiple competing views presented throughout the discussion.

Contextual Notes

Some participants express uncertainty about the definitions and applications of combinations and permutations, indicating a need for clarity on these concepts in the context of probability calculations.

new_at_math
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Say you roll a dice twice.You want to calculate the probability of getting both dice to land on 3. Using the formula for combinations: the total number of combinations is 21. so is the probability of getting a 3 on both dice 1 /21 ?
 
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The probability of rolling a three on a six sided die is ##\frac16##. Doing it twice is ##\frac{1}{6} \cdot \frac{1}{6} = \frac{1}{36}##
 
explain

I don't see the logic
how is it permuation formula(combination formula ).
What is wrong with my method?
 
Whatever formula you have in mind, but there are 36 possible outcomes: [itex]\{(1,1), (1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (1,6), (2,1), (2,2), (2,3), (2,4), (2,5), (2,6), (3,1), (3,2), (3,3), (3,4), (3,5), (3,6), (4,1), (4,2), (4,3), (4,4), (4,5), (4,6), (5,1), (5,2), (5,3), (5,4), (5,5), (5,6), (6,1), (6,2), (6,3), (6,4), (6,5), (6,6)\}[/itex]
If each of these seems equally likely to you, then the answer is [itex]\frac1{36}[/itex].
 
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I'm guessing your method was to plug in "6 choose 2", which is the formula that tells you how many ways to pick a pair of people from a collection of 6 people. That doesn't describe the situation you named.
 
hi new_at_math! :smile:
new_at_math said:
Say you roll a dice twice.You want to calculate the probability of getting both dice to land on 3. Using the formula for combinations: the total number of combinations is 21.

no, you're completely misunderstanding what combinations are for :redface:

21 is the number of different results you can get from two seven-sided dice if you're not allowed doubles …

12 13 14 15 16 17 23 24 25 26 27 34 35 36 37 45 46 47 56 57 67 …

start again: write out the possible combinations for a 3 (you did mean 3-total?) :smile:
 
I get it now it was a permutation with repetition;my bad.
 
new_at_math said:
Say you roll a dice twice.You want to calculate the probability of getting both dice to land on 3.
I don't believe any formula with the word "permutation" or the word "combination" is an effective way to approach this problem.
 
new_at_math said:
I get it now it was a permutation with repetition;my bad.

No. Permutation is a rearrangement of a collection of objects.
Your example is a Bernoulli trial.
 
  • #10
new_at_math said:
Say you roll a dice twice.
You roll a die twice. (Or you roll two dice.) "Dice" is the plural of "die".
You want to calculate the probability of getting both dice to land on 3. Using the formula for combinations: the total number of combinations is 21. so is the probability of getting a 3 on both dice 1 /21 ?
Another way of looking at this is that if "A" and "B" are independent events, then the probability of "A and B" is the probability of A times the probability of B.

There are 6 faces on a die, one of which is a "3". As long as the faces are all equally likely to come up, the probability of a "3" is 1/6. The second roll of the die is independent of the first so the probability that both will come up "3" is (1/6)(1/6)= 1/36.
 
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