Size of Universe: Evidence of Finite Limits?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the size of the Universe and whether there is evidence to suggest it is finite. Participants explore various estimates of the Universe's size, the assumptions involved in these estimates, and the implications of spatial curvature within the context of cosmological models.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants note that estimates of the Universe's size vary widely and question whether there is evidence demanding a finite size.
  • It is mentioned that the standard cosmic model ΛCDM is often assumed to be spatially flat and potentially infinite, which simplifies calculations.
  • Participants discuss that estimates of size typically involve additional assumptions, particularly regarding spatial curvature (denoted as Ωk) and the Cosmological Principle, which assumes uniformity across the Universe.
  • One participant explains the concept of the radius of curvature and how it relates to the Hubble radius and Ωk, including the historical context of Ωk's definition.
  • There is a discussion about how different estimates of the Universe's size may arise from differing data rather than differing methods of calculation.
  • Another participant highlights the importance of identifying outliers in data sets to check for intrinsic uncertainties and reliability of the data.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the evidence for the Universe's finiteness, with some asserting there is no evidence for a finite size, while others discuss the implications of curvature and data interpretation. The discussion remains unresolved regarding the definitive size of the Universe.

Contextual Notes

Participants acknowledge that estimates depend on assumptions about spatial curvature and the uniformity of the Universe, which may not be universally applicable or agreed upon.

rjbeery
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I've seen various, wildly different, estimates of the size of the Universe. Do we have evidence demanding that the Universe is finite in size? If so, what are the clues that lead us to estimate that size beyond absolute speculation?
 
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rjbeery said:
I've seen various, wildly different, estimates of the size of the Universe. Do we have evidence demanding that the Universe is finite in size?
No evidence as far as I know.
It's common to use a version of the standard cosmic model ΛCDM which is spatially flat and take for granted that it is spatially infinite---because that is comparatively easy to compute with and is consistent with observations.

...what are the clues that lead us to estimate that size beyond absolute speculation?
Estimates of size, if you read the fine print, usually involve making additional assumptions---and often involve a measurement of spatial curvature.

You can see how assuming a value for the spatial curvature (conventionally denoted Ωk), if you add to that the uniformity assumption called the "Cosmological Principle" so you assume that the rest of the U has the SAME spatial curvature as the region where we can measure, could lead to a figure for the size.
 
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marcus said:
No evidence as far as I know.
It's common to use a version of the standard cosmic model ΛCDM which is spatially flat and take for granted that it is spatially infinite---because that is comparatively easy to compute with and is consistent with observations.

==quote==
...what are the clues that lead us to estimate that size beyond absolute speculation?
==endquote==
Estimates of size, if you read the fine print, usually involve making additional assumptions---and often involve a measurement of spatial curvature.

You can see how assuming a value for the spatial curvature (conventionally denoted Ωk), if you add to that the uniformity assumption called the "Cosmological Principle" so you assume that the rest of the U has the SAME spatial curvature as the region where we can measure, could lead to a figure for the size.
Curvature, of course. Makes sense thanks.
 
rjbeery said:
Curvature, of course. Makes sense thanks.

Yes! It's neat! There is a distance called the "radius of curvature" and (in the positive curvature case where large triangles add up to more than 180º) the formula for it is the Hubble radius divided by the square root of |Ωk|

Because of some cockeyed historical accident which has never been rectified, Ωk was defined with a rogue minus sign so that positive spatial curvature is expressed by -Ωk, so you need the absolute value to take the square root. Anyway if you see a confidence interval for Ωk it will be around zero (the flat case) and it will say something like -Ωk < 0.01. That is the LARGEST the curvature could be (an upper bound) so it tells you the SMALLEST a spatial 3-sphere universe could be (a lower bound on the radius of curvature). So you can multiply that by 2π and get a kind of circumference. If you could pause expansion to make circumnavigating possible, how long would it take to go around...

So then if -Ωk < 0.01 the square root is 0.1 and you know the Hubble radius is 14.4 billion LY, so you divide by 0.1 and give 144 billion LY, the RoC. And multiply by 2π to get the circumf.
Half that would be the farthest away anything could be at this moment.
 
marcus said:
Yes! It's neat! There is a distance called the "radius of curvature" and (in the positive curvature case where large triangles add up to more than 180º) the formula for it is the Hubble radius divided by the square root of |Ωk|

Because of some cockeyed historical accident which has never been rectified, Ωk was defined with a rogue minus sign so that positive spatial curvature is expressed by -Ωk, so you need the absolute value to take the square root. Anyway if you see a confidence interval for Ωk it will be around zero (the flat case) and it will say something like -Ωk < 0.01. That is the LARGEST the curvature could be (an upper bound) so it tells you the SMALLEST a spatial 3-sphere universe could be (a lower bound on the radius of curvature). So you can multiply that by 2π and get a kind of circumference. If you could pause expansion to make circumnavigating possible, how long would it take to go around...

So then if -Ωk < 0.01 the square root is 0.1 and you know the Hubble radius is 14.4 billion LY, so you divide by 0.1 and give 144 billion LY, the RoC. And multiply by 2π to get the circumf.
Half that would be the farthest away anything could be at this moment.
Well that explains the various estimates of the size of the universe; differing estimates for global curvature possibly based on different methods.
 
rjbeery said:
Well that explains the various estimates of the size of the universe; differing estimates for global curvature possibly based on different methods.
Not really different methods. Just different data.
 
Chalnoth said:
Not really different methods. Just different data.
Right, that's what I meant, calculating curvature based off of data collected through different methods...
 
This is also a good way to humor check intrinsic uncertainties between data sets. When a single data set stands out from the others as an outlier, it is usually a good sign that data has unresolved errors and is less reliable than the others in some respect.
 
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