Hey Vanesch, sorry about not responding yesterday.
vanesch said:
Like GWB's words concerning Iraq ? Come on. Iran's leaders are out to become a dominant regional power, and they will do and say anything which helps them - or which they think will help them in that respect.
It is the *do* part that worries me.
vanesch said:
If I'm going to write that I'm going to blow up planet earth, then you're just listening to a lunatic talking. There is in that case absolutely no relationship between what I'm saying and what I could or would possibly do.
I believe a better example would be if you threatened to blow up a local school and began amassing massive amounts of fertilizer. All for gardening purposes of course.
vanesch said:
The *tension* was of course genuine. However, we will never know what were the *real* intentions.
That was not the point I had brought up. I posited that the crisis had been averted because both sides treated the other side as if their announced intentions were real. Not because anyone acted like the other side was merely bluffing.
vanesch said:
This is manifestly and utterly wrong. In fact, even at the end of WWII, the Soviets could *easily* have continued all the way to Spain. After the withdrawal of the bulk of American soldiers, the conventional force of the Western European countries was an order of magnitude below what the Soviets had ready on the other side of the iron curtain. They would have ran over Germany and France in a blink of an eye. It was the fear of a nuclear conflict which refrained them...
That same fear would not have been lessened if the soviets did not possesses nuclear weapons, it would have been increased by many orders of magnitude.
Perhaps my ambiguous use of the pronoun "it" is leading to confusion. I was referring to the fact that if the Soviets did not have a nuclear force and the west did, the soviets would have had to tread much more cautiously.
In the contact of this discussion, I am using it as an example of how the mere possession of a nuclear arsenal allows the possessor to become much more brazen.
I do not think that Iran become more brazen is a good thing.
vanesch said:
I think they mean it to get nuclear weapons. I am sure they don't mean it to use them against Israel.
I am afraid of the other things that they will be able to do, simply because they have a nuclear arsenal.
vanesch said:
The answer to that one is simple: "we are not responsible for all evil that happens throughout the world,...
And the answer to that is, just because you cannot stop al levil does not mean you should not try to stop the evil you can.
vanesch said:
...
and after all, that wasn't such a bad thing, because now we got rid of Evil Iran too, which got blown up by Israelian bombs! Things calmed down a lot in the region since then."
This sounds like the sort of talk that gets attached to members of a certain political party.