Standard deviation and probability help

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a probability problem related to quality control testing of towels, specifically focusing on the acceptance criteria based on water absorption tests and the statistical analysis of towel lengths. The original poster presents two parts: calculating the probability of accepting a batch of towels based on failure rates and determining a threshold length for acceptance based on statistical measures.

Discussion Character

  • Mixed

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster attempts to solve part (b) by applying statistical concepts, but there is confusion regarding the calculation of variance and standard deviation. Participants question the method used to derive the variance of the total length of towels and the correct application of standard deviation in the context of the problem.

Discussion Status

Participants are actively engaging in clarifying the calculations related to standard deviation and variance. There is a productive exchange of ideas, with some participants offering corrections and seeking to understand the original poster's reasoning. However, there is no explicit consensus on the correct approach yet.

Contextual Notes

There appears to be confusion regarding the application of statistical formulas, particularly in the context of combining variances and calculating standard deviations for a sample size of 20 towels. The original poster's reference to the provided answer suggests a discrepancy that remains unresolved.

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Homework Statement


A sales contract between a manufacturer and a buyer requires 20 towels to be subjected to a water absorption test. If no more than 2 towels fails the test, the batch is accepted. If 2 or 3 towels fail the test, an additional 20 towels are tested. The batch is then accepted if 3 or less (out of 40) fail the test. Otherwise, the batch is rejected.

(a) If a batch of towels contains 5 % which would be rejected by the test,what is the probability that the batch is accepted.

(b) The lengths of 20 towels are measured and if the mean length is less than a value a specified in the contract, the batch is rejected. What should the value of a be to give a probability of 0.99 of accepting a batch with mean length of 106 mm and standard deviation of 6 mm.

I solved (a). The probability that the batch is accepted is 0.8961.

But I can't solve (b).




Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



Here is my attempt on (b) :

Let X:length of a towel.
Y:total length of 20 towels

Y~(2120,720)

P( mean of Y >a ) = 0.99

P ( Y >20a ) = 0.99

P( Z > [20a-2120]/sqrt(720) ) = -2.326

[20a-2120]/sqrt(720) = 0.01

a = 102.9 mm

But the answer provided is 104.3 mm.

Can anyone help me with (b)? Thanks!
 
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Where do you get 720 from?
It looks like you multiplied the standard deviation of a single towel by the square of the batch size, rather than the square root?
 


CompuChip said:
Where do you get 720 from?
It looks like you multiplied the standard deviation of a single towel by the square of the batch size, rather than the square root?

6 x 6 x 20 = 720

I'm not sure if my approach is correct.
 


But why is your standard deviation 6^2 \times 20? Shouldn't it be (\sqrt{6}) \times 20?
 


720 is the variance.
In the calculation of z score, I used sqrt(720) to get standard deviation.
 

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