russ_watters said:
Well thanks, but you didn't really agree with that much of what I said: I was arguing specifically against both the need and wisdom of "fundamental change".
Well, first we have to decide what fundamental change is. In my opinion fundamental change happens all the time in law, politics, economics, technology and through social movements. Another name we might give to such events is "black swan's".
When economic downturns happen, some people will have the knee-jerk reaction that it means the system requires "fundamental change". It doesn't. The economy is cylical and downturns happen. Some are worse than others, and this one is pretty bad. And while it has some specific causes, most do and those particular causes (credit default swaps, unreasonably low interest rates, poorly-conceived lending rules) can be fixed without dynamiting the entire system. People just need to relax a little and focus on the real problems.
Well, what do you consider dynamiting the system? Did the New-Deal dynamite the system of Laissez-faire capitalism in favor of a system of state/corporate capitalism? If we went back to small government and system that gave large corporations less of an advantage would this be dynamiting the system, gradual change or something in-between?
All efforts to try to stabilize a system of market imbalances in the end lead to greater instabilities in the long run. The longer we try to keep the market from self correcting the greater the crash and the greater the likely hood of a knee jerk reaction that will take us in the wrong direction.
We can fight all we want to protect the value of the capital the people who hold the wealth have accumulated but but if the system is failing a large sector of the population and nothing is done to address the flaws in the system then those in power are creating a dangerous and unstable environment.
Now while I argued that a sufficiently advanced economy can afford to take a little off the top to help those at the bottom, the middle of a downturn is precisely the WORST time for such change, as the economy is less able to withstand a reduction in growth in bad times than in good times. Unfortunately, though, major changes require political capital and political capital is at its greatest during hard times. This is why hard times are dangerous, and we've seen examples throughout history of countries failing because when times got tough they made ill-conceived, fundamental changes.
Do you expect demand to be driven by the people at the top or the people at the bottom. It is true that the people at the top can create demand but the assets the people at the top hold in a large part derive their wealth based on the products they sell the people at the bottom.
At the same time, this thread is focused on one particular symptom as evidence that the system needs "fundamental change", when the symptom isn't even relevant to the supposed disease. None of what ails us now as a result of the recession is caused by an uneven wealth distribution.
If it is okay to inject a little bit of history in this discussion let me state this again:
"
What economists call over-production is but a production that is above the purchasing power of the worker, who is reduced to poverty by capital and State. Now, this sort of over-production remains fatally characteristic of the present capitalist production, because workers cannot buy with their salaries what they have produced and at the same time copiously nourish the swarm of idlers who live upon their work.
http://www.panarchy.org/kropotkin/1896.eng.html
This was written in 1898 by Piotr Kropotkin
The simple fact is that the combination of large wealth inequality and having a high percentage of the economies wealth valued based on the purchasing power of the people at the bottom leads to a situation where the poor do not have the money to create the demand needed to justify the wealth holdings of the rich. All efforts to perpetuate these imbalances lead to unnecessary inefficiencies which result in hardship. These inefficiencies are allowed to be created because financial institutions are allowed to leverage based on an overvaluation of their capital. This expands the money supply based on fictitious wealth and erodes the buying power of the poor.
The refusal of main stream media and politicians to address these imbalances and contradictions means that the people who do address these issues will gain political power. Currently the only somewhat main stream politician addressing the fact that the poor don't have the money to stimulate the economy and the relationship between wealth inequalities and major economic downturns is Robert Reich. My guess is Reich favors a large public sector and unless people who favor smaller government are willing to address these issues it is likely that we are headed in the direction of large governments.
In fact, the OP's link shows that the wealth of the uber-rich grew substantially in the early to mid-90s, then crashed in 2000 with the stock market, then started back up again a couple of years later. The 90's, being the liberal heyday, this shows clearly that liberals are interpreting the data backwards: The vast growth in upper level incomes in the 90's, due to stock market growth and the internet boom caused spectatularly low unemployment and budget surplusses due to more capital gains income from the upper level earners and less welfare/unemployment payouts to the lower level earners.
If you read the book, "The Dollar Crisis" it essentially said that the only progress Clinton made on the debt was due to capital gains taxes". In other word the mild progress that Clinton made on the debt was simply a result of a bubble fueled by cheap money which essentially leads to a growth in debt.
That is -- if income inequality is the symptom and not the disease. Liberals fall victim (partially due to politicians pounding it into them) to the idea that wealth is a zero sum game and 'the rich get richer while the poor get poorer', so wealth inequality is a measure of poverty. That's false. Income inequality certainly has risen in the past 20 or 30 years, but poverty? Nope. So the income inequality issue really is either a misunderstanding of what inequality means or is jealousy over how much faster the rich are getting richer than the poor: The rich are too rich, so we must take their wealth. Sorry, but that's no way to run an economy. Certainly no reason to scuttle the system we have.
I'll address this last paragraph in another thread but I don't believe that the buying power of the bottom have of the income distribution has remained constant.