alt
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nismaratwork said:Thanks cobalt, I look forward to it, you keep me on my toes.
Alt: Thanks very much! I agree with what you're saying, and that's the dangerous nature of revultions... you tear down the capacity to gather and have those thoughts. Even the extreme elements are going to insist on a voice now, and they need to have it... but the military needs to guarantee they are only a VOICE. They can have an ambition, but it's shaped away from known dangerous (AQ, Hamas, Hezbollah) structures.
If you look at the history of Turkey, you can see the military first locking down to protect their new constitution (new quite a while ago), but NOT stifling the political process. Now we have the emergence of a moderate religious party that isn't trying to stone women or put them in sacks.
I think the stasis you reference needs to be both cultural, with people retaining a sense of their national identity without having to demonize another figure... and military. There is just no other institution in Egypt that has the power right now. In addition, I see it as a VERY good sign for the interim that the military leadership has promised to uphold all current treaties; to me that says radical elements are NOT running the show (yet), and there is real hope for a gradual transition over decades and more to a true democratic Egypt.
I don't know what a democratic Egypt looks like, and I doubt the Egyptians do either... as you say, that's going to be a very long and active debate in all sectors. To do that, there needs to be stability, but not Mubarak's brand of stability.
My bolded - Military rule is always a concern, I reckon. Best of intentions at the moment, though anything can happen.
And did you see the news recently ? Iranian protestors starting the same movement as in Egypt. This one might be brutal. I don't see the Iranian parliament / military going 'softly softly' .. though this probably deserves a thread of it's own.
Anyhow, as always, you make interesting and pertinent points.