Wax
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At the moment, electronic records doesn't save any money. It's more expensive to have someone monitor the system then to pull a document.
jreelawg said:Corruption is a bipartisan phenomena.
The price you came up with is the cost of insurance pre health care reform. You haven't considered the whole picture. In order to be convinced, I would need to know how much profit insurance companies would make off of the plan, because after reform, profits will be forced down as competition sets in.
Secondly, reform goes deeper than just these regulations. For example, a lot of the spending goes into making health care more efficient. For example, electronic records, which will save a lot of money. When you add up and account for all the factors which will save money, adjust the profit margin to a realistic level, and throw in the money earned by those who currently don;t have insurance who will be forced to, there would be a difference.
If the plan works, insurance companies will pay less because care will be cheaper, and they will lower their rates accordingly. The competition of a public option will enforce this.
Vanadium 50 said:It looks like the rational thing to do is to buy cheap insurance, pay the $3000 fine, and then if you get really sick, then opt-in.
WhoWee said:The cost of health insurance will increase due to Obama's mandates.
Obama has specified that policies will no longer have maximum lifetime limits. Currently, insurance purchasers can typically choose from $1 million, $3 million, $5 million, or $7 million per person on individual policies. The insurance companies consider their potential exposure and price accordingly. Now, assume you are the CEO of XYZ insurance, if the President mandates that you may not set a limit and tells you that you're no longer allowed to pre-approve procedures (which means doctors and patients are free to do whatever they want) and you realize your exposure could be $20 million, $50 million (who knows) - would you raise your rates?
Next, Obama has specified that people with pre-existing conditions will have to be accepted and can not be dropped. This means a person with a (bad heart, strokes, cancer, diabetes) has to be covered. You know their care will cost more. Would you charge them more than a health person?
Wax said:That works fine for me. The doc can give me the best treatment possible without having to worry about what my insurance pays for.
There is no such thing as a pre-existing condition in any other industrialized country. Why must we have it? Every single developed country in the world has some type of nationalized health care system; everyone is covered which means there is no such thing as a pre-existing condition.
Costs will not rise with a public option. Insurance companies can't raise prices if they want to compete.
WhoWee said:If insurance premiums don't increase to cover the costs - then TAXES will increase or DEFICITS will increase.
Wax said:Not of you restructure the payment plan. One of the main points of the bill is to reduce costs by restructuring the billing option. The concept of paying individually for an MRI, X-Ray, and checkups are being thrown out the door. The bill is being restructured so that you will be paying for your illness and not for the individual procedures. There will be no incentive to do extra procedures but there will be incentives to get it right the first time around.
WhoWee said:Can you please reference the specific section of the Bill you are describing?
That's still overstated by ~twenty million, but at least he's now taking pains to subtract illegals from the former hyperbole.Obama said:There are now more than thirty million American citizens who cannot get coverage.
Wax said:Not of you restructure the payment plan. One of the main points of the bill is to reduce costs by restructuring the billing option. The concept of paying individually for an MRI, X-Ray, and checkups are being thrown out the door. The bill is being restructured so that you will be paying for your illness and not for the individual procedures. There will be no incentive to do extra procedures but there will be incentives to get it right the first time around.
I realize many people are offended by the word, but I'm using it generically, not as an insult or reference to infamous past socialists, or any official party.f95toli said:No offense, but I am getting REALLY tired of people throwing the word "socialist" around like that.
jreelawg said:The price you came up with is the cost of insurance pre health care reform. You haven't considered the whole picture. In order to be convinced, I would need to know how much profit insurance companies would make off of the plan, because after reform, profits will be forced down as competition sets in.
Al68 said:I realize many people are offended by the word, but I'm using it generically, not as an insult or reference to infamous past socialists, or any official party.
Could you suggest an alternative to the word "socialist" that could be used, that would mean a belief in government control of economic matters?
I simply don't know an alternative that isn't either confusing because of multiple definitions (like "left", "liberal", "statist", etc.) or impractical because it takes too many words to explain.
I'm not sure it's that simple at all. Yesterday I heard that the non-profit "rocky mountain health plans" is 30% cheaper than the average in the US. The documentary was in french and I did not find numbers in an english reference. One explanation was that with much better coverage, illnesses are detected at earlier stages making the costs eventually less.Vanadium 50 said:One can get an idea by looking at what the insurance companies are making now. According to their 10-K's, United Health Care has earnings that are 3.6% of revenues and Wellpoint has earnings that are 4.7%.
So, even in a world where health care profit is illegal, we'd expect the cost to be of order 4% cheaper overall.
Vanadium 50 said:One can get an idea by looking at what the insurance companies are making now. According to their 10-K's, United Health Care has earnings that are 3.6% of revenues and Wellpoint has earnings that are 4.7%.
So, even in a world where health care profit is illegal, we'd expect the cost to be of order 4% cheaper overall.
"Tax and Spend Democrats" doesn't convey the meaning I want to convey. I do notice that whenever I use the word "socialist", there is no confusion about what I mean. Some object to the word, yet know exactly what is meant by it with no confusion. Why object to the use of a word when its use accurately conveys the intended meaning? It's just a word.WhoWee said:Don't complicate things, just say "Tax and Spend Democrats" - nothing new here. Giving them control is like letting your kids do the shopping - lot's of junk, nothing you need, and very expensive.Al68 said:I realize many people are offended by the word, but I'm using it generically, not as an insult or reference to infamous past socialists, or any official party.
Could you suggest an alternative to the word "socialist" that could be used, that would mean a belief in government control of economic matters?
I simply don't know an alternative that isn't either confusing because of multiple definitions (like "left", "liberal", "statist", etc.) or impractical because it takes too many words to explain.
Are you assuming that the existence of profit actually makes things cost more in general? What do you think things would cost if they weren't profitable?Vanadium 50 said:One can get an idea by looking at what the insurance companies are making now. According to their 10-K's, United Health Care has earnings that are 3.6% of revenues and Wellpoint has earnings that are 4.7%.
So, even in a world where health care profit is illegal, we'd expect the cost to be of order 4% cheaper overall.
humanino said:I'm not sure it's that simple at all. Yesterday I heard that the non-profit "rocky mountain health plans" is 30% cheaper than the average in the US. The documentary was in french and I did not find numbers in an english reference. One explanation was that with much better coverage, illnesses are detected at earlier stages making the costs eventually less.
Anyway, the US spends 16% of GDP and the US average citizen has worse coverage than Germany of France spending 10% for instance, I guess everybody agrees on those numbers., whichever theory explains the difference, the US can do better for sure. The comparison is even similar with Canada.
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The Congressional Budget Office has a different take on the number of uninsured.mheslep said:In the Wed night speech I'm happy to see the US President vanquished the '47 million' uninsured figure he and other Democrats have used again and again, and again. Instead he nhttp://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/sep/09/text-barack-obamas-speech-joint-session//print/" :
That's still overstated by ~twenty million, but at least he's now taking pains to subtract illegals from the former hyperbole.
Analysts warned that increases in the overall numbers of the uninsured were likely to be just the beginning. Based on current job losses, some researchers estimate the present-day number of uninsured is closer to 50 million. That's the number now cited by the Congressional Budget Office and it could continue to grow without meaningful reform.
WhoWee said:Now you want to make profits illegal?
Note your quote said simply said 50 million uninsured, it does not say citizens as did the President, because we know millions of them are not. When the 45-50 million figure is thrown around it is often done so to encourage the belief that passing a bill like HR3200 will simply cover all of them, and it certainly will not.turbo-1 said:The Congressional Budget Office has a different take on the number of uninsured.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090911/ap_on_go_ot/us_census_uninsured;_ylt=AshwU8hhGyvHi5JZEcGhL11p24cA;_ylu=X3oDMTJxZGdhZW5lBGFzc2V0A2FwLzIwMDkwOTExL3VzX2NlbnN1c191bmluc3VyZWQEcG9zAzEwBHNlYwN5bl9wYWdpbmF0ZV9zdW1tYXJ5X2xpc3QEc2xrA2dyb3d0aG9mZ292dA--
Yes, but the logic of your argument is that anywhere we eliminate profits, that we somehow we lower the delivered cost by roughly the amount of the former profits, while obtaining the same product/value. That does not follow.Vanadium 50 said:I'm not advocating anything. The argument was advanced that there would be cost savings with lower profits, and I am pointing out how much of an effect this is.
From the same article (emphasis mine):mheslep said:Note your quote said simply said 50 million uninsured, it does not say citizens as did the President, because we know millions of them are not. When the 45-50 million figure is thrown around it is often done so to encourage the belief that passing a bill like HR3200 will simply cover all of them, and it certainly will not.
Overall, the number of Americans without health insurance rose modestly to 46.3 million last year, up from 45.7 million in 2007. The poverty rate hit 13.2 percent, an 11-year high.
Then the AP is sloppy and wrong, and not for the first time. There are not 47-50 million uninsured Americans, implying citizens or at least legal residents, as has been documented numerous times in these health threads.turbo-1 said:From the same article (emphasis mine):
Surely you jest. It's not like they have consistently portrayed what Democrats tell them as objective unbiased fact for years.mheslep said:Then the AP is sloppy and wrong, and not for the first time.
Notice that he dishonestly says over 30 million "cannot get coverage", knowing that a quarter of those are currently eligible for public coverage, and over 18 million of the uninsured have over $50,000 a year household income.mheslep said:In the Wed night speech I'm happy to see the US President vanquished the '47 million' uninsured figure he and other Democrats have used again and again, and again. Instead he nhttp://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/sep/09/text-barack-obamas-speech-joint-session//print/" :Obama said:There are now more than thirty million American citizens who cannot get coverage.
'Household' income is an ambiguous creature. If there are 4.5 people in that house then all the individuals are under the poverty level.Al68 said:... and over 18 million of the uninsured have over $50,000 a year household income.
Interesting attempt at an argumentation. As a matter of fact, I have been in both systems, European and US. I dare say, the US health system is the single most important reason why I would consider not living in the US. Your argument essentially is "if it's cheap, it can not be good quality". I do not consider it deserves an answer.WhoWee said:Do you choose your doctor based on the lowest price?
Good point. But the source I used listed it that way, so I had to.mheslep said:'Household' income is an ambiguous creature.
Well, not according to the U.S. Census Bureau (http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/poverty/threshld/thresh08.html ), they would not be unless there were over ten people in the house. The relationship between required income and household size isn't linear.If there are 4.5 people in that house then all the individuals are under the poverty level.
I have Canadian friends who feel exactly the same way, including a nice lady that works as a medical lab technician.humanino said:Again, there is no argument, I do not care to argue, and I do not care to convince anybody. Your system is terribly bad. If you do not want to change it, that's your decision. I am just stating that it is silly and impossible to understand from an broader perspective.
$50k is a livable wage for a family. But let's look at whether or not the earner has coverage through an employer there. If the earner's employer doesn't offer anything, then he/she might have to get an individual plan. Now that's still workable for most people, but if one of the kids has chronic problems - say asthma - then the premiums might take a serious bite out of that $50k.Al68 said:My kids never lacked for anything (they needed) when I made much less with 4 of us.
That's not a bad thing, but if health insurance coverage is mandatory with no public option, people will have to buy their coverage from the private insurers, who will then have no incentive to reduce costs.mheslep said:Of course we don't need anything like HR3200 to address that. McCain and other's had plans that would shift the employer tax break to individuals, and would set up guaranteed pools for the chronically ill.
seycyrus said:There is a logical fallacy here.
The assumption that since mistakes and abuses occur in the present system, they will not occur in the proposed system.
This is a ludicrous claim.
In fact, from my experience with govt. I envision the number of mistakes getting greater, and the abuses getting far worse.
mheslep said:$50k is a livable wage for a family. But let's look at whether or not the earner has coverage through an employer there. If the earner's employer doesn't offer anything, then he/she might have to get an individual plan. Now that's still workable for most people, but if one of the kids has chronic problems - say asthma - then the premiums might take a serious bite out of that $50k.
Of course we don't need anything like HR3200 to address that. McCain and other's had plans that would shift the employer tax break to individuals, and would set up guaranteed pools for the chronically ill.
mheslep said:$50k is a livable wage for a family. But let's look at whether or not the earner has coverage through an employer there. If the earner's employer doesn't offer anything, then he/she might have to get an individual plan. Now that's still workable for most people, but if one of the kids has chronic problems - say asthma - then the premiums might take a serious bite out of that $50k.
Of course we don't need anything like HR3200 to address that. McCain and other's had plans that would shift the employer tax break to individuals, and would set up guaranteed pools for the chronically ill.
byronm said:You're claim is even more ludicrous. Our government has been working for two centuries. Our democracy is strong. Affordable Health care only makes it stronger.
The only delusion there is, is the self prophesying delusion that government is a failure which is only true if your goal is to make it fail.
byronm said:The best thing about the public option is that it doesn't chain me to my employer. I could go independent and still have benefits as i would working for someone else. Thats the ultimate democratization of health care if you ask me!
The tax incentive would be the same as one gets from the employer, so the self employed is exactly on the same footing as one covered by an employer. That is anything but meaningless. It frees one from getting coverage via an employer, as you advocate below.byronm said:At 50,000 dollar wages that tax incentive is meaningless and much less than what the monthly premium for insurance is.
Guranteed Access Plans - defined by the state and federal governments, funded by federal money given to the states. The idea is make insurance for the truly unexpected, and let the GAPs cover the chronic ongoing illnesses, thus cutting insurance costs.byronm said:What money would be used to "pool for the chronically ill" and who gets to decide who is covered by that pool and who isn't?
http://www.heritage.org/research/healthcare/bg2198.cfmMcCain GAP said:Direct Help for the Hard Cases
I wouldimprove the non-employer, individual insurance market by building on existing Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) protections for people with pre-existing conditions and by expanding support for guar*anteed access plan (GAP) coverage in the states that would insure them if they are denied private coverage or only offered coverage at very high premium costs.[40]
Under McCain's Guaranteed Access Plan (GAP), the federal government would work with governors and provide federal assistance to develop models for states to ensure that individuals who experience dif*ficulty obtaining coverage would have access to health insurance. One model envisioned under this approach would be a type of high-risk pool, in which a state or states would provide insurance with reasonable premiums to uninsurable individu*als. In the recent analysis by the Lewin Group, the GAP provisions would cost an estimated $235.4 bil*lion over 10 years.[41]
<shrug> I agree health care has to be cut loose from employers. But if we use a public option to do it then you're chained to a government program and the taxes to pay for it.byronm said:The best thing about the public option is that it doesn't chain me to my employer. I could go independent and still have benefits as i would working for someone else. Thats the ultimate democratization of health care if you ask me!
That's misleading. There is an economic chain. Outside of an employer, one takes a tax hit buying coverage. HSAs help that some, but they're still not the tax equivalent of employer coverage. Also, without the size advantage of a large pool there's a negotiation disadvantage.WhoWee said:Nobody is "chained to their employer" based plans now (unless you have a pre-existing condition). Employer based plans cost less for the individual, but you're free to spend more and buy your own.
mheslep said:That's misleading. There is an economic chain. Outside of an employer, one takes a tax hit buying coverage. HSAs help that some, but they're still not the tax equivalent of employer coverage. Also, without the size advantage of a large pool there's a negotiation disadvantage.
Yes I've looked into them too, a good way to if one is on their own. So? Employer based plans still have a tax and size advantage. I would prefer they didn't under current laws, but they do.WhoWee said:I opted for an HSA with a high deductible. It lowered my premium and allows me to save the funds in an account - to be used for medical purposes or roll over until next year. Once I meet my deductible, the plan pays 100%.
I think the tax benefits are fair.
WhoWee said:I don't see the level of specifics you've outlined - very vague - and seems to be focused on the public option.
Even if your interpretation is correct, the cost of individual tests must be paid somewhere - not just thrown out the door as you stated.
What choice? They accept the government insured patients or they go out of business, except for the high end operations like Mayo.Wax said:...The government option is a choice, hospitals and clinics choose to accept the insurance. They are not in any way forced to take the payment plan. Government insurance exist today and it's called Medicaid and Medicare.
That's exactly wrong. It's well known that Medicaid/Medicare costs are shifted onto private insurance.They both pay 80% of what a private insurance company pays and the costs does not translate into higher private insurance because the hospitals and clinics chooses to accept those terms and conditions.
mheslep said:What choice? They accept the government insured patients or they go out of business, except for the high end operations like Mayo.
That's exactly wrong. It's well known that Medicaid/Medicare costs are shifted onto private insurance.
The public plans don't shift costs onto private payers. The private payers shift costs onto others by refusing to cover people who actually get sick and need insurance to pay for treatment.Wax said:No, it's a choice. There are clinics inside of the U.S. today that only accept private insurance.
I haven't seen any article that says Medicaid and Medicare shifts costs onto private insurances.
Yes, I am aware of that and cited one. But not every clinic/hospital can be a world class Mayo. Many of them can not turn away all the government plan patients and survive. Likewise in single payer systems, a provider does what they are told by the government or they go out of business.Wax said:No, it's a choice. There are clinics inside of the U.S. today that only accept private insurance.
I agree with you here. Obviously a family of 4 making $50K would never get a Cadillac policy, like the one HR3200 requires, unless it's part of their employment package. As someone pointed out before, their only practical option would be to simply keep the normal medical insurance they have temporarily.mheslep said:$50k is a livable wage for a family. But let's look at whether or not the earner has coverage through an employer there. If the earner's employer doesn't offer anything, then he/she might have to get an individual plan. Now that's still workable for most people, but if one of the kids has chronic problems - say asthma - then the premiums might take a serious bite out of that $50k.
Wax said:...I haven't seen any article that says Medicaid and Medicare shifts costs onto private insurances.
Q [...] I've learned that Medicare pays about 94 percent of hospital cost. And I've learned that Medicaid pays about 84 percent of hospital cost. And I've learned this from a reputable source, my brother who is a chief administrative officer at a large hospital group. He also explains to me, when I communicate with him, that private insurers -- his hospital collects about 135 percent of cost from private insurers, and that makes up the difference. So if public option is out there, will it pay for its way, or will be under-funded like Medicare and Medicaid? Thank you.
THE PRESIDENT: [...] But here's the short answer. I believe that Medicare should -- Medicare and Medicaid should not be obtaining savings just by squeezing providers.
Now, in some cases, we should change the delivery system, so that providers have a better incentive to provide smarter care. Right? So that they're treating the illness instead of just how many tests are done, or how many MRIs are done, or what have you -- let's pay for are you curing the patient. But that's different from simply saying, you know what, we need to save some money, so let's cut payments to doctors by 10 percent and see how that works out. Because that's where you do end up having the effect that you're talking about. If they're only collecting 80 cents on the dollar, they've got to make that up somewhere, and they end up getting it from people who have private insurance.
Note that this only addresses hospitals and physicians. Many nursing homes receive most of their income from government plans, http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m0795/is_n1_v13/ai_11676874/", and are very sensitive to underpayments. Nursing homes also consequently have no choice but to accept government plans, especially Medicaid, or go out of business. Yes there are exceptions for homes that specialize in the like of Bill Gates parents.[...]We estimate the total annual cost shift in the United States from Medicare to Medicaid to commercial payers is approximatey $88.8 billion. [...]
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/sickaroundtheworld/interviews/ikegami.html[Q] If I'm a doctor, why don't I say, "I'm not going to do them; it's not enough money"?
[A] You forgot that we have only one payment system. So if you want to do your MRIs, unless you can get private-pay patients, which is almost impossible in Japan, you go out of business. ...