Toba volcano eruptions - 1.000 - 10,000 breeding pairsunb

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers on the Toba volcano eruption approximately 75,000 years ago and its implications for human genetic diversity, particularly the estimate of 1,000 to 10,000 breeding pairs of humans that survived the event. Participants explore the basis for this estimate, the concept of population bottlenecks, and the genetic variation observed in modern humans compared to other primates.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest that the estimate of 1,000 to 10,000 breeding pairs is derived from genetic analysis indicating a population bottleneck coinciding with the Toba eruption.
  • Others note the lack of definitive archaeological evidence supporting the bottleneck theory.
  • One participant raises a question about why the Toba eruption affected human genetic diversity more than that of other animals, particularly other primates.
  • Another participant argues that greater genetic variation in other species does not preclude them from having experienced their own bottlenecks.
  • A participant seeks clarification on the meaning of genetic variation, suggesting it relates to point mutations in genes.
  • Another provides a definition of genetic variation as a statistical measure of differences between genomes, noting that it includes more than just point mutations.
  • One participant references a study suggesting that other mammals and primates also experienced bottlenecks around the same time as Toba, proposing that humans have undergone prolonged periods of low population numbers, contributing to reduced genetic variation.
  • It is suggested that the surviving population from Toba may represent a small ancestral group from which all modern humans descended.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a mix of agreement and disagreement regarding the implications of the Toba eruption on human genetic diversity. While some support the bottleneck theory, others question its applicability to other species and the evidence supporting it. The discussion remains unresolved with multiple competing views present.

Contextual Notes

Limitations include the reliance on genetic data and assumptions about population dynamics, as well as the lack of consensus on the archaeological evidence related to the Toba eruption's impact on human populations.

Murdstone
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I was at the Smithsonian last year. They had a wonderful exhibit on human evolution. One of the displays mentioned the Toba eruption 75,000 years ago and how after that we were left with 1,000 - 10,000 human breeding pairs.

How is this estimate being made? Is there also some information on pop distribution geographically of these 1,000 - 10,000 breeding pairs?

Thanks
 
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The theory is based on genetic analysis suggesting there was a population bottleneck around the same time as the eruption. I've never heard of any definitive archaeological evidence for this theory though.
 
I found this link - http://www.physorg.com/news183278038.html

I have heard the stuff before about the Alu markers. It's amazing what they can do with 2 samples.

The article starts out - "Modern humans are known to have less genetic variation than other living primates"

Someone in the comments made an interesting observation - "I wonder why these disasters endangered humans, lowering our genetic diversity, but didn't do the same to most other animals.." (especially other primates??)

I have no answer.
 
Just because those species have more genetic variation than humans does not mean they did not also go through a bottleneck. If those populations were already more diverse going into a bottleneck then it makes sense they would also be more diverse when the population rebounded.
 
While your explanation provides a plausible answer, the tone of the article seems to suggest that the difference in genetic variation found between other primates and humans is unusual. Meaning at one time they were thought to be equivalent but now are not.

I actually need some help here. What does genetic variation mean? Seems to mean the number of point mutations in a gene, compared to an a priori?
 
Murdstone said:
I found this link - http://www.physorg.com/news183278038.html

I have heard the stuff before about the Alu markers. It's amazing what they can do with 2 samples.

The article starts out - "Modern humans are known to have less genetic variation than other living primates"

Someone in the comments made an interesting observation - "I wonder why these disasters endangered humans, lowering our genetic diversity, but didn't do the same to most other animals.." (especially other primates??)

I have no answer.


Other mammals of the region, in deed even other primates also experienced a bottleneck around that time. See; Martin[/PLAIN] Williams, Did the 73 ka Toba super-eruption have an enduring effect? Insights from genetics, prehistoric archaeology, pollen analysis, stable isotope geochemistry, geomorphology, ice cores, and climate models, Quaternary International, Available online 9 April 2011, ISSN 1040-6182, 10.1016/j.quaint.2011.03.045.
(http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618211001911)


Humans have been experiencing low population numbers for a long time, geologically speaking. Think of it as "extended bottlenecking", which would account for why our variation is lower than other primates.

Also an important point to remember is that we are talking about ancestors. That isn't to say that Toba would have wiped out all humans on Earth at the time except for a small group--Only that one of the pockets of humans that survived the eruption (those estimated 10,000 individuals) were the only ones that went on to become ancestors of all modern humans.

It seems likely that that is probably a recurrent trend in human evolution where we have small isolated pockets, that later become ancestral.
 
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