Evo said:
This is the kind of question that makes me bang my head on my desk. Why do people spend time on such useless questions?
This is a valid question, and a long thread, so I don't know if it was taken up. But I think it's fair to include, with the question "why does anything exist?", the question "why ask why in the first place?" In my experience, there are basically two types of people in the context of philosophical discussion-- those who think it is a waste of time (yet are drawn to it anyway, by the desire to state that it is a waste of time), and those who think there is value in pursuing it (obviously, the OPer is in the latter group). Many switch groups-- those in the first group who "don't get it" may have a false sense of what philosophy is for, and when they better understand its purpose, they may (or may not) become more interested in it. And some in the second group have impossible ideas about what philosophy could do for them, eventually become frustrated by the impossibility of their expectations, and end up in the former group! So I would comment that in my opinion, the answer to "why ask why" starts with a better understanding of what philosophy actually is.
Aristotle had a concise dictum about this, that went:
"If you would philosophize, then you would philosophize.
If you would not philosophize, then you would philosophize."
In other words, all our attitudes are fundamentally philosophy of one stripe or another. Hence, the art of philosophy is little more than paying attention to the things that we hold as true-- even if one of those things is holding that "why does anything exist" is a useless question. That's a philosophy too, so all that remains is to dig into that philosophy and see where it comes from-- which is just what philosophers do.
So the point of philosophizing is to dig into the assumptions we are making that lead us to the various attitudes we have. Some don't want to know those assumptions, they may be afraid to find out what it is they have taken to be true that they cannot actually argue is true. The last thing they want is to go from thinking we know something to knowing that we only think something! But that's what philosophy does, like it or not-- the only alternative is the head in the sand approach, a kind of default philosophy.
So I would say that the goal of asking "why is there anything" is not to find a definitive answer to it, but rather, to connect all the possible answers to it with various possibilities about what we may hold as true. Elucidating those connections is the whole point of philosophy, not answering the question. Hence philosophy is a lot like reverse-engineered mathematics-- we start from the conclusions (like "that's a useless question") and reason back to the axioms, rather than the other way around. That this reverse reasoning is not unique is an important aspect of philosophy-- not a bug, but a feature, it leads to good discussions (the forward logic of math does not).
So that's my take on the question "why ask why." As to "why does anything exist", I can't be convinced that the issue has anything to do with probability, because it just seems like a misuse of the concept of probability to me. I think probability is used to reason from what is known to what is not known, it is a way to deal with incomplete information when you already know a lot about what you don't know. But existence is not something we know a lot about what we don't know, it is something we don't know a lot about what we know. We know we exist (it seems a reasonable meaning for the word to apply in this manner), but we don't know why, and we don't know anything about any other possibilities. So I don't think it is the ultimate question, I think it is the ultimate common ground, the ultimate starting point for discussion about any other question. To me, establishing that is the point of asking it-- we start with "can we agree that
something exists", and go from there, because if we cannot, then there's no point in attacking more complicated issues about what actually does exist.
What's more, I think this is a very context-related question, as was mentioned early on. In one context, we may say something exists, but in more general terms, we may say that without the contextual information, we cannot say that anything exists. The concept of existence is an effective notion, so we must focus on what we gain by attaching existence to things. I'd say it's a kind of judicial fancy, a mental idealization that serves us. So the question shifts-- "why does it serve us to imagine that anything exists?"
I would answer that, that's just how we think about things, it's what connects with our experience-- it doesn't need to be true, it needs to work, in the appropriate contexts. We say we exist because that's the purpose of the language around the word "exist", and so something exists, and we go from there-- it's a starting point for thought, not a conclusion we can reach. The tricky part is the details of a definition of "exist" such that something does it, or more correctly, such that it serves us to imagine that something does it-- and that definition is what is contextual. In most contexts I can think of, for example, it's important for me to use a meaning of the term "exist" such that I do it, and in many contexts, it's important for me to adopt a meaning such that you do it too. However, it is also important for me to recognize that this is simply a choice I am making-- I don't actually believe that I exist in any kind of objective or context-free way, I think I am largely manipulating images and illusions (not illusions like mirages, which can't satisfy your thirst, but illusions like water, which can satisfy your thirst), because that's the purpose of my brain, and I organize that manipulation so as to produce meaning to terms like "I" and "exist." If you ask me "but who is doing that manipulating", I say, "it serves me to create the judicial fancy that 'I' am doing that, this is the only way I can use language to answer your question. There, I did it again."