Understanding the Odds of Rolling 4 Dice Together

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the probability of rolling a sum of four six-sided dice and whether the chances of obtaining an even sum are greater than those of obtaining an odd sum. Participants explore the implications of the combinations of odd and even outcomes from the dice rolls, focusing on the statistical reasoning behind their claims.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant suggests that the chance of rolling an even sum is higher than rolling an odd sum, citing the number of combinations that yield even versus odd outcomes.
  • Another participant counters this by listing all possible outcomes and calculating that there are equal numbers of even and odd sums, asserting a 50% chance for both.
  • Some participants emphasize that the order of the dice does not affect the outcome, focusing instead on the number of even and odd results regardless of arrangement.
  • Further clarification is provided regarding the use of combinations to calculate frequencies of outcomes, reinforcing the argument for equal probabilities of even and odd sums.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus; there are competing views regarding the probabilities of even versus odd sums, with some asserting that they are equal and others arguing for a higher likelihood of even sums.

Contextual Notes

Participants discuss the importance of considering combinations and the frequency of outcomes, but there are unresolved assumptions about the interpretation of the results and the implications of order in the calculations.

deep519
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Hi guys,

I have a very simple but confusing problem that I have with die.

It's not a homework problem, more a general understanding question.

Now, question (im my own words)

Four six-sided die are rolled together and independently to each other.
Is the chance to roll a sum of (even) or (odd) the same or is rolling even higher.


Now, i think that rolling four die, the chances that their sum are even is higher than rolling odd for the reason that the possible combination's - reminded that it doesn't matter which order the dice are rolled are:

Where 1 means odd and 0 is even
0 0 0 0 = Even
0 0 0 1 = Odd
0 0 1 1 = Even
0 1 1 1 = Odd
1 1 1 1 = Even

Unless I am missing something, there is a higher chance to roll even since 3E > 2O.

Maybe this is a very fundamental stats problem, but I'm a little confused.

Me and friend are arguing about it, so if somebody could clarify the correct answer.
 
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you missed something, look at all the possible outcomes

0 0 0 0 : even
0 0 0 1 : odd
0 0 1 0 : odd
0 0 1 1 : even
0 1 0 0 : odd
0 1 0 1 : even
0 1 1 0 : even
0 1 1 1 : odd
1 0 0 0 : odd
1 0 0 1 : even
1 0 1 0 : even
1 0 1 1 : odd
1 1 0 0 : even
1 1 0 1 : odd
1 1 1 0 : odd
1 1 1 1 : even

So 8 times even so chance you have even is 50% so equal chances.
 
Well, the thing is order should not matter since if four dice are rolled, you will get only those 5 combinations.

0110 or 1100 would still mean two dice were even and two were odd, thus why would the order matter.

1110 or 1011 same thing... ect..

We are just concerned with the chance that the sum is even or odd.
 
deep519 said:
Well, the thing is order should not matter since if four dice are rolled, you will get only those 5 combinations.

0110 or 1100 would still mean two dice were even and two were odd, thus why would the order matter.

1110 or 1011 same thing... ect..

We are just concerned with the chance that the sum is even or odd.

It is true that you are interested in the frequency and not the order but you have to take into account the frequency which is what the above poster has pointed out.

When interested in unordered sets we use nCr so for the frequency we get

0 0 0 0 - x 1
0 0 0 1 - x 4
0 0 1 1 - x 6
0 1 1 1 - x 4
1 1 1 1 - x 1

Total frequency - 16
Total even - 1 + 6 + 1 = 8 = 50%
Total odd - 4 + 4 = 8 = 50%
 

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