Volcanic super-eruption frequency revised to shorter time

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SUMMARY

The study titled 'The global magnitude-frequency relationship for large explosive volcanic eruptions' by J. Rougier et al. reveals that the average interval between volcanic super-eruptions is significantly shorter than previously estimated. Researchers from the University of Bristol analyzed geological records from the last 100,000 years, concluding that the average time between these eruptions is now estimated to be between 5,200 and 48,000 years, with a best guess of 17,000 years. This revision suggests a more frequent occurrence of super-eruptions than earlier studies indicated, prompting discussions about the implications for civilization.

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'The global magnitude-frequency relationship for large explosive volcanic eruptions' by J. Rougier, S. Sparks, K. Cashman, and S. Brown, in Earth and Planetary Science Letters.

(If someone can post a link to at least the abstract that would help)

After analysing a database of geological records dated within the last 100,000 years, a team of scientists from the University of Bristol has discovered the average time between so-called volcanic super-eruptions is actually much less than previously thought.

Popular science version:
http://bristol.ac.uk/news/2017/november/volcanic-super-eruptions.html

The revision makes out the average time much less than what was posted in earlier papers:

... in our paper just published, we re-estimate this range as 5.2 - 48 thousand years, with a best guess value of 17 thousand years.”

Should we worry? Probably not. There are too many other potential major issues facing civilization in the very near term - compared to the geologic timeline. In other words 'A BIG boom is a lesser worry than a long litany of already manifesting problems.' (my down home version)
 
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jim mcnamara said:
Should we worry? Probably not. There are too many other potential major issues facing civilization in the very near term - compared to the geologic timeline.
Am I supposed to find this reassuring? 'Cause I'm not. :H
 
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