What Alternatives Exist for Fitting Models to Erratic Data in Excel?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on fitting models to erratic data in Excel, specifically systolic blood pressure over time. Users report that standard trendline options in Excel yield poor R-squared values due to the scattered nature of the data. The consensus is that either additional data or more precise measurements are necessary for improved trendline accuracy. Attempting to fit a model to random data is deemed a significant error.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of R-squared values and their significance in model fitting
  • Familiarity with Excel's trendline options and their limitations
  • Basic knowledge of data plotting and interpretation
  • Concept of noise in data and its impact on statistical analysis
NEXT STEPS
  • Explore advanced regression techniques beyond Excel's built-in options
  • Learn about data smoothing methods to reduce noise in datasets
  • Investigate statistical software alternatives like R or Python for model fitting
  • Study the implications of data quality on statistical modeling outcomes
USEFUL FOR

Data analysts, statisticians, healthcare researchers, and anyone involved in modeling and interpreting time-series data.

HalcyonStorm
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Homework Statement


I need to fit a model to some data, where y = systolic blood pressure and x = time in weeks. The problem is, all of the 'usua' trendline options on Excel produce awful R squared values. Is there some other method I can do to fit a different sort of model that would be accurate?


Homework Equations


None that I know.


The Attempt at a Solution


Only thing I can put here are the graphs, but that seems a little pointless.

Weeks (x)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Systolic BP (mmHg) (y)
135
115
130
110
120
125
130
130
115
125
120
130
140
115
125
120

Thanks heaps!
 
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I'm not sure anything other than a linear fit will be good. That data, from what I saw when I plotted it, is pretty scattered. That's why your R squared value is so low. You will either need more data or more precise data in order to get a better trendline.
 
HalcyonStorm said:

Homework Statement


I need to fit a model to some data, where y = systolic blood pressure and x = time in weeks. The problem is, all of the 'usua' trendline options on Excel produce awful R squared values. Is there some other method I can do to fit a different sort of model that would be accurate?


Homework Equations


None that I know.


The Attempt at a Solution


Only thing I can put here are the graphs, but that seems a little pointless.

Weeks (x)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Systolic BP (mmHg) (y)
135
115
130
110
120
125
130
130
115
125
120
130
140
115
125
120

Thanks heaps!

When plotted, your data looks almost random, with considerable "noise" masking the signal. That is why your R is so large---as it should be! It would be a great mistake to try to fit an accurate formula to random data.

RGV
 

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