What are the key decisions that shape our lives and how can we analyze them?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion explores the concept of decision-making in an individual's life, focusing on the complexity of decision trees and the significance of various choices. Participants consider both qualitative and quantitative aspects of decisions, including their implications and the potential for modeling such scenarios.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • One participant proposes mapping out a decision tree of life with numerous branches to analyze key decisions, questioning the importance of major life choices versus seemingly trivial ones.
  • Another participant questions the mixing of quantitative terms with qualitative questions regarding decision importance and suggests looking into root cause analysis as a potential framework.
  • A different participant raises a concern about the relevance of 'finite density' in relation to the decision tree concept, seeking clarification on the causal connection.
  • Another participant highlights the vastness of the decision tree by considering the implications of every small action and movement throughout a lifetime, questioning the feasibility of such a model.
  • There is a mention of the potential impact of free will on thoughts and decisions, suggesting a complexity that may not be fully captured in a decision tree model.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the feasibility and relevance of modeling life decisions, with no consensus reached on the importance of various types of decisions or the implications of the proposed models.

Contextual Notes

Participants note limitations in the discussion, such as the challenge of quantifying qualitative decisions and the complexity of accounting for every possible action and thought in a decision tree model.

kronon
Say you map out the entire decision tree of an individuals life starting from birth.

Each node has N branches, where N is very large, and delta t approaching zero. Let's keep it finite density because we want some results.

Now you trace out the individuals realized path outcome amongst this vast set of possibilities. From the beginning to the The End.

I want to be able to sort the wheat from the chaff: some kind of principal component analysis to see what the key decisions are - are they 'big' things like education, who you marry etc, or tiny stuff like I poured an extra spoonful of bran flakes, which made me 1 sec late, which meant the bus missed me by a whisker?. How would you get an answer?

Also, how do you separate out the things you can control with things you cant. Which is more important?

What happens if/because delta t is less then the Planck length?

Have you seen any attempts to model such things?
 
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Does t mean time? If so, it seems odd that you are mixing such quantitative terms in with an entirely qualitative question like the "importance" of particular decisions.

You might look into root cause analysis in quality engineering and Ishikawa "fishbone" diagrams.

On a similar but entirely quantitative level, I've always thought that it might be an interesting thing to analyze the set of all the possible branching games of Monopoly you might play, to see what the characteristics are of a game play that lasts forever, which is theoretically possible. I suppose it would be easy to do nowadays if you automated a computerized Monopoly game.
 
There is some strange physics emerging. What causal connection does 'finite density' have to a 'decision tree of life'?
 
The tree of life might be impossibly large,
1) Why didn't you step a half inch further or less (every single step over lifetime)
2) Why did you breath in that direction (every breath and continuous over
a whole breath)
3) Why move any limb or body member in any direction precisely by the amount you did, summed over
all limb, finger, eye movements and continuous (not just end result)
4) I am not sure if it applies to the thoughts and dreams you had (free will to think
what you like when you like)
 

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