MHB What are the Probabilities of Committee Compositions and Coin Selections?

  • Thread starter Thread starter rainbow1
  • Start date Start date
AI Thread Summary
The discussion focuses on calculating probabilities related to committee compositions and coin selections. For a committee of 4 selected from 6 men and 10 women, the probability of selecting at least one woman is 27/28, while the probability of selecting 0 men (all women) is 3/26. The probability of the committee being composed of either all men or all women is the sum of these two probabilities, yielding 1/28 + 3/26. Additionally, the thread explores coin selection probabilities from a purse containing pennies, dimes, and quarters, emphasizing the importance of calculating probabilities with and without replacement. The calculations illustrate the application of combinatorial principles and probability theory in real-world scenarios.
rainbow1
Messages
13
Reaction score
0
from a group of 6 men and 10 women, a committee of 4 is selected at random. write your answer as a fully reduced fraction.

a. find P(at least 1 woman). b. find P(0 men)
c.Find P(all men or all women).a coin purse contains 10 pennies, 4 dimes, and 4 quarters. four coins are selected at random with replacement. Write your answer as a fully reduced fraction. a. find P ( dime then penny then penny then quarter).
b. find P(quarter then penny then nickel then nickel)c. find P(quarter then dime then dime then dime)
 
Mathematics news on Phys.org
I'll give you some help and then see if you can finish b and c..

a. find P(at least 1 woman)
P(at least 1 woman) = 1 - P(no women) = $1 - \frac{\text{(choose 4 of 6 men)(choose 0 of 10 women)}}{\text{(choose 4 of 16 total)}} = 1 - \frac{{6 \choose 4}{10 \choose 0}}{{16 \choose 4}}$

It will be difficult to calculate the probability of choosing at least 1 woman. Because that is the probability of choosing 1, 2, 3, or 4 women for a 4 person committee. So instead, we will do 1 minus the probability of choosing no women at all.

That means we are picking all men! So we want to choose all 4 committee members to be men out of the 6 men available. And we want to choose 0 women committee members out of the 10 available.

Then we divide by the total number of possibilities... choosing 4 from the 16 (10 women + 6 men) people we have.

I'll let you do the calculations.

b. find P(0 men)
P(0 men) = $\frac{\text{(choose 0 of 6 men)(choose 4 of 10 women)}}{\text{(choose 4 of 16 total)}}$

Try completing b and c.
 
For the first one, as joypav said, it is 1 minus the probability of all men (you could do it by calculating the probabilities of "exactly one woman", "exactly two women", "exactly three women", "exactly four women" and then adding but that is much more difficult).

Rather than use a formula I would argue:
There are originally 6 men and 10 women, a total of 16 people. The probability the first person selected is a man is 6/16= 3/8. There are then 5 men and 10 women remaining. The probability the next person selected is a man is 5/15= 1/3. There are then 4 men and 10 women remaining. The probabilty the third person is selected is a man is 4/14= 2/7. Finally there are 3 men and 10 women. The probability the fourth person selected is a man is 3/13.

The probability all four selected are men is (3/8)(1/3)(2/7)(3/13)= 6/(8(7)(3))= 1/(4(7))= 1/28. The probability "at least one woman" is selected is 1- 1/28= 27/28.

The probability there are 0 men selected for the committee is exactly the probability that there a 4 women. Calculating as above, the probabilty the first person selected is a woman is 10/16= 5/8, the probability the second person selected is a woman is 9/15= 3/5, the probabiity the third person is selected is 8/14= 4/7, and the probability the fourth person selected is a woman is 7/13. The proability there is no man on the committee is (5/8)(3/5)(4/7)(7/13)= 3(4)/(8(13))= 3/(2(13))= 3/26.

The proababilty the committee consists of "all men" or "all women" is the sum of the two probabilities separately:
1/28+ 3/26.
 
Insights auto threads is broken atm, so I'm manually creating these for new Insight articles. In Dirac’s Principles of Quantum Mechanics published in 1930 he introduced a “convenient notation” he referred to as a “delta function” which he treated as a continuum analog to the discrete Kronecker delta. The Kronecker delta is simply the indexed components of the identity operator in matrix algebra Source: https://www.physicsforums.com/insights/what-exactly-is-diracs-delta-function/ by...
Suppose ,instead of the usual x,y coordinate system with an I basis vector along the x -axis and a corresponding j basis vector along the y-axis we instead have a different pair of basis vectors ,call them e and f along their respective axes. I have seen that this is an important subject in maths My question is what physical applications does such a model apply to? I am asking here because I have devoted quite a lot of time in the past to understanding convectors and the dual...
Back
Top