What is the Set and Probability of Drawing Coins with Replacement?

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves drawing coins from a purse containing 9 nickels and 1 quarter, specifically focusing on the concept of drawing with replacement. Participants are tasked with determining the set of possible outcomes and the probabilities associated with each outcome.

Discussion Character

  • Conceptual clarification, Probability reasoning, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster attempts to define the set of outcomes and calculate probabilities for drawing two coins with replacement. Some participants question the implications of independence in probability when drawing with replacement. Others explore how to calculate the probabilities for different combinations of coins drawn.

Discussion Status

Participants are actively discussing the calculations of probabilities for various outcomes, with some expressing confusion about the total probabilities not summing to one. There is recognition of the need to consider the order of drawing coins and how it affects the probability calculations.

Contextual Notes

Some participants are grappling with the concept of independence in probability and the implications of drawing with replacement, which may lead to misunderstandings in their calculations. There is also a mention of the order of drawing affecting the outcomes.

magnifik
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A coin purse contains 9 nickels and 1 quarter. Two coins are drawn WITH REPLACEMENT. What is the set S of this random experiment? What are the probabilities of the elementary events?

i'm a little confused by the "with replacement" concept. I'm just wondering if I'm doing it correctly. i have the equation n-1+k choose n-1 so here's my work:

set S = {two nickels, two quarters, one nickel and one quarter}
total possible ways of selection: (10-1+2) choose (10-1) = 55
P[two nickels] = (9-1+2) choose (9-1) / 55 = 45/55
P[two quarters] = (2-1+2) choose (2-1) / 55 = 3/55
P[one nickel and one quarter] = 1 - Pall other events = 1 - (45/55 + 3/55) = 7/55

have i done the problem correctly?
 
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What is the probability of drawing a quarter for the first coin? With replacement, would the probability of drawing a quarter the second time be any different?

The results of the coin drawings would be independent events, so what would the probability of drawing two quarters be, in terms of the probabilities of drawing a quarter for the first and second drawings?
 
MisterX said:
What is the probability of drawing a quarter for the first coin? With replacement, would the probability of drawing a quarter the second time be any different?

The results of the coin drawings would be independent events, so what would the probability of drawing two quarters be, in terms of the probabilities of drawing a quarter for the first and second drawings?

probability for drawing a quarter for the first coin = 1/10
probability of drawing a quarter for the second coin = 1/10
so P[drawing 2 quarters] = 1/100 ?

do i follow the same approach for the probability of each of the elementary events? like for 1 nickels..
probability of drawing 1 nickel first = 9/10
probability of drawing 1 nickel second = 9/10
so P[drawing 2 nickels] = 81/100

and then for 1 nickel and 1 quarter
probability of drawing 1 nickel = 9/10
probability of drawing 1 quarter = 1/10
P[1 nickel, 1 quarter] = 9/100

but the probabilities do not add up to 1 so i am still confused :\
 
Mod note: Moved from Engineering & CS section.
 
magnifik said:
but the probabilities do not add up to 1 so i am still confused :\
There are two ways the two coins drawn would be a nickel and a quarter.
 
Last edited:
MisterX said:
There are two ways the two coins drawn would be a nickel and a quarter.

Ahh, I see. This is because order doesn't matter, correct? so P[1 nickel, 1 quarter] = 9/100 + 9/100 = 18/100 = 9/50
 

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