What would happen in the economy if

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Discussion Overview

The discussion explores the hypothetical scenario of everyone in the world waking up to find 1 billion dollars in their possession and its potential effects on the economy, including inflation, deflation, labor dynamics, and the overall value of currency. Participants consider various economic theories and implications, including the transition from currency to barter systems and the redistribution of wealth.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants propose that the sudden influx of money would lead to inflation, decreasing the value of each dollar and causing prices to rise significantly.
  • Others question how quickly inflation would occur and speculate about the potential for deflation once people begin to spend their newfound wealth.
  • Concerns are raised about labor dynamics, with some arguing that if everyone is wealthy, there may be little incentive to work, while others suggest that people may not want to work for dollars.
  • Several participants discuss the potential chaos that could ensue, including a breakdown of commerce and a return to barter systems due to the devaluation of currency.
  • Some argue that the scenario would not lead to catastrophic outcomes, suggesting that markets could stabilize relatively quickly despite the initial disruption.
  • There is a discussion about the global implications of such a scenario, with some noting that the increase in money supply would affect economies worldwide and could lead to hyperinflation if not accompanied by a corresponding increase in capital value.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views on the consequences of the scenario, with no consensus reached. While many agree that inflation would occur, there is disagreement on the extent of chaos, the transition to a barter system, and the overall impact on labor and wealth distribution.

Contextual Notes

Participants acknowledge various assumptions, such as the nature of currency, the readiness of society for a barter system, and the relationship between money supply and economic capital. The discussion reflects a range of economic theories and perspectives without resolving the complexities involved.

  • #31
phinds said:
Now you're REALLY off into never-never land.

I find all your optimism admirable, but totally unrealistic. You and I are just talking past each other, partially I think because we see the world quite differently, and it's clearly pointless to continue since we're not going to convince each other.

Cheers ...

Given the far-fetched topic of the thread - it seemed all possibilities should be considered.
 
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  • #32
why speculate - look at history. Hyperinflations in Germany, Brazil, Zimbabwe etc give you an idea what would happen
 
  • #33
BWV said:
why speculate - look at history. Hyperinflations in Germany, Brazil, Zimbabwe etc give you an idea what would happen

Of course - but that wasn't caused by giving everyone in the world $1Billion each.
 
  • #34
I do have to wonder how fast some of the people would lose their $1Billion gambling?
 
  • #35
loquita2 said:
because Income and gift taxes are rediculous and greedy. And other countries my have some sense of the poor and middle class. Where America doesn't care.

Can you clarify your meaning a bit?
 
  • #36
I think most of you gave the correct answer. If everyone income is shifted up by some constant then economic theory says that prices must change as demand will change. In economics, prices are the outcome of the Walrasian Equilibrium (demand must equal supply), and thus the prices will adjust to guarantee this result. This is the statics of the problem.

The question becomes with regard to the dynamics of the problem how will the markets adjust to reach this stable equilibrium point. However, that requires knowledge of the organization of the market, and such. It might take several years to achieve the new equilibrium point, but there's no guarantee of stability as the problem stated do not give any details.
 

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