Is Human-like AI Just Around the Corner?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the timeline and feasibility of achieving human-like Artificial Intelligence (AI), specifically referencing Ray Kurzweil's prediction of conscious AI by 2029. Participants highlight the exponential growth of AI capabilities following significant discoveries, while also acknowledging the current limitations of machine learning, which is more accurately described as statistical learning. The consensus is that we are still in the early stages of AI development, with existing techniques serving as foundational elements for future advancements toward Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) or Artificial Superintelligence (ASI).

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Ray Kurzweil's predictions on AI development
  • Familiarity with machine learning and statistical learning concepts
  • Knowledge of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and Artificial Superintelligence (ASI)
  • Awareness of historical context in scientific breakthroughs, such as Fermat's theorem
NEXT STEPS
  • Research Ray Kurzweil's theories on AI and technological singularity
  • Explore the differences between machine learning and statistical learning
  • Investigate current advancements in AGI and ASI technologies
  • Study historical scientific breakthroughs to understand timelines of innovation
USEFUL FOR

Futurists, AI researchers, technology enthusiasts, and anyone interested in the potential and timeline of human-like AI development.

homeylova223
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I am wondering will there be an AI soon. I mean AI something like a machine which can actually be almost like a human without emotions. I can learn to perform task,have a conversation with you and make decisions based on fact. It can also answer human questions.
 
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Also the I want to say the AI would have a self. It would not simply be programmed to act in certain way by a human but could have its own goals or purposes.
 
homeylova223 said:
I am wondering will there be an AI soon.
No.

This question has been discussed here many times. I suggest a forum search.
 
Sorry I will search the forum. I just watched this video by Ray Kruzweil saying that the the power of AI is increasing exponentially once a small discovery in AI is made progress in AI will increase exponentially.

Ray Kurtzweil says by 2029 we will have a conscious AI. Many of his predictions are true I mean he predicted all students would have acess to computers.

2029 is only 9 years away.
 
Ray is a futurist. He uses trends from existing work to predict where it will lead. AI is far more mercurial than we can imagine and its really impossible to day such a breakthrough will happen.

It took about 300 years before Fermat's theorem was proven. It could well take that long for AI.

Machine learning is popular now and is a bit of a misnomer. It's more like statistical learning. Programming wise its like building the frame of a house and letting the decorate it inside making a kind of data-driven program with limitations.

I would say we are still in the early years of development and that all our AI techniques are mere small building blocks to the eventual AGI or ASI.

Closing the thread because speculation leads to personal theories which we don’t discuss here.
 
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