[Statistical Physics] No. of dice rolls so prob of getting a 6 is >90%

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SUMMARY

To determine how many times a fair die must be rolled to achieve a probability greater than 90% of rolling at least one '6', one must calculate the complementary probability of rolling no '6's. The formula used is P(no 6's) = (5/6)^N, where N is the number of rolls. Setting this probability to less than 10% allows for the calculation of N, which results in N being at least 10. Additionally, the probability of rolling three '6's can be calculated using the binomial distribution formula.

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Flucky
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This question is really wearing me out, any ideas?

Homework Statement



How many times must I throw a fair dice in order to make the probability of getting at least one ‘6’ greater than 90%?
With this many throws, what is the probability of getting three ‘6’s?

It's the first part I'm struggling with.

Homework Equations



The relevant question is the one on the top of the pic attached.

Where
P = probability of outcome interested in
N = number of throws

The Attempt at a Solution



Attatched.

I'm using P(1) as the probability of getting 1 six, so n=1.
For the second part of the equation I would use P(3).
 

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You are trying to calculate the probability of getting one 6. The question is what's the probability of getting AT LEAST one six. that includes two 6s, three 6s, etc. Try calculating the probability of getting NO 6s. That should be 10% since 90% of the time you're getting at least one 6.
 
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You want to consider the probability of getting at least one six. That would include the probability of getting two sixes, or three sixes, ... or N sixes.

How does the probability of getting at least one six in N throws relate to the probability of getting no sixes in N throws?

edit: I've added nothing to what dauto already said.
 
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"At least"... such a rookie mistake missing something like that. It's unreal how much time I've just wasted.

Thanks, I've got it now.
 

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