Advanced Probability Question

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on calculating the probability of a 26-year-old individual, who has not recalled a dream in six years, experiencing six vivid dreams over six consecutive nights. Participants conclude that this scenario cannot be mathematically quantified due to the lack of established probabilities for dream recall and interwoven dreams. The consensus is that the occurrence may be influenced by a triggering event, making it a singular event rather than a random distribution of dreams.

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crimsonking024
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appreciate your help greatly.

I am very good with probability but am no expert.

I am looking to find the probability for a subject that is 26 years old, whom hasn't recalled a dream in six years, to all of a sudden have six extremely vivid dreams on six straight nights. Also the dreams are all interwoven and consist of the same subject and place and expand upon the others(if you can't formulate this part that is fine).

If someone could help me out with writing this out and also getting the actual probability of this scenario, I would really appreciate it! If you have any questions or need any more factors, just let me know but I think that what was given should be enough to generate an equation and get an answer.

Thanks
 
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Hi crimsonking024,

This is not something that can be determined mathematically with the information you gave us. There's no standard for "probability that one recalls a dream" or "probability two dreams are interwoven" so we can't really help you with this problem. If you can provide some numbers or you have other questions then we'll be happy to help.

Jameson
 
Jameson said:
Hi crimsonking024,

This is not something that can be determined mathematically with the information you gave us. There's no standard for "probability that one recalls a dream" or "probability two dreams are interwoven" so we can't really help you with this problem. If you can provide some numbers or you have other questions then we'll be happy to help.

Jameson

Yea, I figured that might be impossible. There should be way to determine the odds of someone not dreaming for six years and having six dreams on six consecutive days though...
 
crimsonking024 said:
Yea, I figured that might be impossible. There should be way to determine the odds of someone not dreaming for six years and having six dreams on six consecutive days though...

The six dreams on six consecutive nights is probably irrelevant from a probability point of view as there may well be a triggering event and so these are not samples from a random distribution of vivid dreams over time, but in effect a single event.

CB
 

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