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I am trying to analyze the game of tennis. I started very simply by analyzing just the ground strokes, ignoring the serve, and calculating the odds of winning a single point given the odds of returning each ground stroke.
I got a surprising (to me) result showing that the player to goes first always has a lower probability of winning the point than the opponent. My derivations and results are in the attached PDF. I would appreciate any critical comments.
Are my formulas correct?
Thanks
I got a surprising (to me) result showing that the player to goes first always has a lower probability of winning the point than the opponent. My derivations and results are in the attached PDF. I would appreciate any critical comments.
Are my formulas correct?
Thanks
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