- #1

- 66

- 14

I am trying to analyze the game of tennis. I started very simply by analyzing just the ground strokes, ignoring the serve, and calculating the odds of winning a single point given the odds of returning each ground stroke.

I got a surprising (to me) result showing that the player to goes first always has a lower probability of winning the point than the opponent. My derivations and results are in the attached PDF. I would appreciate any critical comments.

Are my formulas correct?

Thanks

I got a surprising (to me) result showing that the player to goes first always has a lower probability of winning the point than the opponent. My derivations and results are in the attached PDF. I would appreciate any critical comments.

Are my formulas correct?

Thanks