Are chaotic systems really determinitistic?

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Chaotic systems exhibit extreme sensitivity to initial conditions, where minor changes can lead to vastly different outcomes. While chaos theory suggests that knowing initial conditions allows for predicting system behavior, the practicality of achieving such precision is questioned. The discussion highlights the distinction between mathematical determinism and the inherent unpredictability of real-world systems, particularly in chaotic contexts. Participants argue about the implications of determinism in both classical and quantum frameworks, emphasizing that while mathematical models may be deterministic, this does not necessarily reflect the chaotic nature of reality. Ultimately, the conversation raises doubts about the feasibility of predicting complex systems like weather far into the future.
  • #51
atyy said:
My understanding is that every "you" experiences one of every possible reality.

Frankly, interpretations of quantum reality don't even rank as theories. "Many Worlds" is inherently untestable and the picture it paints is beyond absurd (although that alone doesn't prove it's wrong). I've described an intrusion of quantum weirdness into the classical world which I think should be addressed directly in terms of the world we actually experience. Even the Schrodinger's Cat example is not particularly consequential since it just involves just one poor cat (no offense to cat lovers). The Whacko with Power example is potentially very consequential and sadly not unrealistic. I admit I don't like the fatalistic clockwork universe but I'd be more willing to accept it (and have more respect for the scientists involved) if my arguments could be dealt with in a more straightforward manner. There are many undesirable aspects to fatalism, not least of which is how we view the responsibility we have for our decisions and actions.
 
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  • #52
SW VandeCarr said:
Chaos theory deals mostly with macrosystems and I obviously have a problem with the clockwork universe. When you say "knowing one point uniquely determines the time evolution forever" I cannot imagine you're making a statement about the real world. What kind of experimental evidence supports this?
This is how the mathematical models work.
SW VandeCarr said:
Now let's consider human history as chaotic. It seems reasonable that small changes in the initial conditions of some historical process can alter the evolution of that process considerably. (ie if Hitler died in the poison gas attack that hospitalized him in 1918.)
I don't think anyone knows what happens on extremely large scales like that. It's possible that things simply 'average out'.
SW VandeCarr said:
Now suppose some whacko with power decides either to go to war or not go to war based on the outcome of a quantum measurement. A spin up photon means war, a spin down photon means peace. In effect, the course of history is determined by a quantum measurement. You can't say that the outcome of the measurement was predetermined.
Highly unlikely situation :-) People who find themselves in such situations are invariably neurotic or otherwise mentally ill and could hardly be expected to understand or rely on quantum physics. As for measurement in quantum physics, that's a tricky subject.

Personally I find indeterminism more troubling than determinism. What meaning does life have if the universe is flipping a coin?
 
  • #53
SW VandeCarr said:
Frankly, interpretations of quantum reality don't even rank as theories. "Many Worlds" is inherently untestable and the picture it paints is beyond absurd (although that alone doesn't prove it's wrong). I've described an intrusion of quantum weirdness into the classical world which I think should be addressed directly in terms of the world we actually experience. Even the Schrodinger's Cat example is not particularly consequential since it just involves just one poor cat (no offense to cat lovers). The Whacko with Power example is potentially very consequential and sadly not unrealistic. I admit I don't like the fatalistic clockwork universe but I'd be more willing to accept it (and have more respect for the scientists involved) if my arguments could be dealt with in a more straightforward manner. There are many undesirable aspects to fatalism, not least of which is how we view the responsibility we have for our decisions and actions.

Sure. Actually, I personally like determinism, but the most standard "interpretation" of QM is probabilistic, and Bohmian and MWI are still controversial.
 
  • #54
denisv said:
This is how the mathematical models work.

Highly unlikely situation :-) People who find themselves in such situations are invariably neurotic or otherwise mentally ill and could hardly be expected to understand or rely on quantum physics. As for measurement in quantum physics, that's a tricky subject.

Personally I find indeterminism more troubling than determinism. What meaning does life have if the universe is flipping a coin?

It really doesn't matter what you or I think or like. Human beings have the technical ability to measure quantum states in terms of obtaining a single random outcome and this fact alone allows quantum indeterminacy to affect the "classical" world. My example is one variation of many that could be put forward. We don't even need a human actor. The launch of a missile, or many missiles, could be directly tied electronically to obtaining a particular quantum state. This clearly establishes that the classical world is potentially subject to random, unpredictable (in principle) events which can alter the evolution of a given system (chaotic or stable). I don't think we can escape this conclusion simply by resorting to some interpretation like Many Worlds (which is untestable by definition).

As for how mathematical models work, I believe I've made clear that I don't have a problem with the models provided we accept them as approximations to reality under a specified set of largely artificial assumptions (isolated systems, etc). Most posters who have taken issue with me seem to regard the models as reality and the world as actually deterministic.
 
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  • #55
atyy said:
Sure. Actually, I personally like determinism, but the most standard "interpretation" of QM is probabilistic, and Bohmian and MWI are still controversial.

Yes, and I'd come to accept the Copenhagen interpretation as reasonable despite its weirdness. It's like taking a long auto trip. Many routes are possible, but you end up only experiencing one route and that experience is the reality of record. I discuss the "Random Roam" in a book I wrote (see 'About Me' under my user name). The "new determinism" baffles me, given what we've learned from QM. It seems like a throwback to eighteenth century rationalism. It appears Copenhagen is now out of favor. That leaves MW and Bohm's pilot wave. MW is constructed in a way that can't be falsified which means it's metaphysical (not that there's anything wrong with that, it's just not science). I'm less sure about Bohm.

In any case, I think it has been shown (beginning with Schrodinger) that human agency can potentially falsify complete determinism as a description of the world (see my previous post).
 
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  • #56
SW VandeCarr said:
Human beings have the technical ability to measure quantum states in terms of obtaining a single random outcome and this fact alone allows quantum indeterminacy to affect the "classical" world.
This is why quantum measurement is problematic (to my mind, at least).
SW VandeCarr said:
As for how mathematical models work, I believe I've made clear that I don't have a problem with the models provided we accept them as approximations to reality under a specified set of largely artificial assumptions (isolated systems, etc). Most posters who have taken issue with me seem to regard the models as reality and the world as actually deterministic.
Whenever you represent a system with fewer degrees of freedom than it has in reality, you are making a (deterministic) approximation. I think this is commonly accepted.
SW VandeCarr said:
Yes, and I'd come to accept the Copenhagen interpretation as reasonable despite its weirdness.
What about an interpretation of the Copenhagen interpretation? :-)
SW VandeCarr said:
It's like taking a long auto trip. Many routes are possible, but you end up only experiencing one route and that experience is the reality of record.
It's more like taking a trip where you take a fuzzy-wavy route (defined by a deterministic equation of motion) and then at the end you randomly teleport to one of the possible destinations. Putting it like that, I think most would agree that it's quite a bizarre way of travelling.
SW VandeCarr said:
The "new determinism" baffles me, given what we've learned from QM. It seems like a throwback to eighteenth century rationalism.
I think the idea that the world is deterministic is a matter of faith in human reasoning. The human concept of randomness is based on what I would call practical knowledge. Eg. a coin flip is random to us, but ultimately there is an underlying deterministic system. It is a belief that the ultimate system underlying reality is deterministic. In practice this system may be incomprehensibly complex and we may be stuck with quantum physics forever, but surely a system exists.
 
  • #57
denisv said:
This is why quantum measurement is problematic (to my mind, at least).

I think the idea that the world is deterministic is a matter of faith in human reasoning. The human concept of randomness is based on what I would call practical knowledge. Eg. a coin flip is random to us, but ultimately there is an underlying deterministic system. It is a belief that the ultimate system underlying reality is deterministic. In practice this system may be incomprehensibly complex and we may be stuck with quantum physics forever, but surely a system exists.

No. The world is not deterministic. The models are deterministic. I think I made the case explicitly. Through human agency, we can alter the evolution of a macroscopic system based on the outcome of a quantum measurement. We can inject the randomness of outcomes of quantum measurements into the classical world. This has nothing to do with free will (which may or may not exist). Schrodinger gave the first example although few have understood that his thought experiment falsified complete determinism as a viable view of the world (unless you want to invalidate QM). QM is deterministic in terms of superposition of quantum states, but in terms of what we actually observe, it is random (according to a strict probability model). The essence of science is based on observation and testing. The outcomes of quantum measurements are random. Yes it's a problem. It's a problem for complete determinism.
 
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  • #58
I would say indeterminism is a much bigger problem for quantum mechanics than quantum mechanics is a problem for determinism.
 
  • #59
denisv said:
I would say indeterminism is a much bigger problem for quantum mechanics than quantum mechanics is a problem for determinism.

Fair enough, but your burden is much greater than mine. You are going to need to show that the outcomes of quantum measurements are not random.
 
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  • #60
It seems to me that the physical definitions are confused with literal meanings of terms.

Deterministic systems are those whose equation of motion is specified. Now within such formalism, the case of positive Lyapunov exponent means that the system is called "chaotic"; in other words systems, whose equation of motion leads to diverging trajectories which differ a 'little' in initial conditions, are said to be chaotic !

Now the end result of 'chaos' is "space filling" (mathematically) for any physical system whose phase space is confined. For ex, water confined in beaker. For our purposes consider only the surface of water. Disturb the surface a little at point X, a set ripples form. Disturb it at X +dX, a different pattern arises. But due to confinement, in the end ripples create crests and troughs at all points of surface without any bias i..e full phase space allowed for excitations is covered. (Incidentally a analogous situations leads to equilibrium in molecular dynamics; here the confining parameter is external pressure or temperature etc.)

But for those systems whose phase space is not confined, the net effect seems to be totally erratic. Imagine water not confined in the above situation i.e. water at the tip of beaker. A small change in the place where u disturb water surface wud lead to completely different behaviour ! (how different i can't say w/o invoking dynamics.)

You might wonder now, which dynamics have i associated with these situations ? I believe one can invoke dynamics of diffusion kind and be able to simulate both these phenomena. In effect we can "write down" equations of motion; which means our dynamics are deterministic. If invoked and simulated properly, am sure the chaotic nature of dynamics can be ascertained..

Thus, chaos is only defined by the property of equation of motion generically i.e its a dynamical property; the end observation might vary acc' to other external constraints imposed on the phase space of the system !
 
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  • #61
xshell said:
Thus, chaos is only defined by the property of equation of motion generically i.e its a dynamical property; the end observation might vary acc' to other external constraints imposed on the phase space of the system !

Exactly. Science works with deterministic models which can be very accurate with certain limits. But the models are based on the assumption that the systems are isolated. In practical terms this usually works well, but no system is really isolated.

Now consider the pattern of ripples and waves on the surface of water you described. Take a (hypothetical) Planck time exposure picture of that surface with Planck length resolution. If you read through the posts on this thread, its clear that complete determinism says that the exact contours of that surface are in principle fully determined (from the time of the Big Bang?) The posters make no bones about preferring complete determinism as opposed to allowing even a little bit of randomness into the world. Randomness is imposed on us by quantum measurement. It is a defect which must be dealt with. It's even called the Quantum Measurement PROBLEM.

I think I made the case for a very narrow exception to complete determinism at classical scales, but it depends on the nature of the measurement problem. If the determinist can find a sub-quantum stratum of "hidden" variables, they win.

According to complete determinism, no one can be held responsible for their actions. Adolf Hitler wasn't a bad man. He was just following the inevitable course nature set for him.
 
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