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Caroline Thompson said:The idea that you can produce a meaningful general formula for the probability of loopholes causing a given bias does not make sense. Every experiment is different.
...Take it or leave it, DrChinese! I merely report what I believe to be the facts.
You aren't reporting any facts, and that is my point. You acknowledge that every experiment is different and yet they all produce exactly the same results - i.e. exactly the same amount of bias and error! How can this be if you are right? If you were right, there would be an exact formula that yields precisely the difference between observation and prediction by LR - at every angle. We could then come to understand the reason for it. But there is no such experimental bias - repeatable loopholes that always affect measurements in exactly the same way regardless of experimental setup! That is why you cannot get from here to there.
It is not science to throw out repeatable experiments and put nothing better in its place. Your logic is wiggling like jello. Make a specific prediction, and specifically explain experimental bias and you have something.