Birthday Probability: 73rd Grandchild Out of 85

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SUMMARY

The probability of being born on a specific date, such as a grandfather's 73rd birthday, while also being the 73rd grandchild out of 85 total grandchildren, is calculated using combinatorial probability. The odds are not nearly 100% as suggested; rather, they are significantly lower due to the multiple variables involved. The calculation requires understanding of both the birthday problem and combinatorial mathematics to accurately assess the likelihood of such an event occurring.

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amazane73
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What are the odds of me being born on my grandfather's 73rd birthday and being his 73rd grandchild? (there are 85 grandchildren total)
 
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amazane73 said:
What are the odds of me being born on my grandfather's 73rd birthday and being his 73rd grandchild? (there are 85 grandchildren total)

I'm guessing, but I'd say it's pretty certain. Nearly 100%. Am I right?
 

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