Graduate Building a better ranking system (probability)

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The discussion centers on calculating the probability that a randomly chosen player will outperform a highly skilled player, referred to as player B, across four games with specified win rates. The win percentages for player B are significantly higher than the average probabilities of winning for each game. The conversation raises questions about defining "more skill," particularly in scenarios where wins and draws are involved. Participants seek clarity on whether winning more games constitutes greater skill, especially if a random player wins more games overall despite player B's higher individual game win rates. The complexity of the problem lies in the need for a precise definition of skill and the conditions under which one player is considered more skilled than another.
ibn_sina76
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Suppose we have four games and the probability that a player will win the game are as follows:

Game 1: 71%
Game 2: 55%
Game 3: 58%
Game 4: 16%

Suppose player b won these games with the following percentages of time:
Game 1: 100%
Game 2: 96%
Game 3: 87%
Game 4: 67%

In other words, he's a very good player. What is the probability that a player chosen at random will play these games with more skill than player b? A random player will play these games with the same skill as the average player.

I really have no idea where to begin on solving this problem. Any help would be appreciated. For the even more advanced, we can add in draws:Game 1: 71%, draw 9%
Game 2: 55%, draw 8%
Game 3: 58%, draw 6%
Game 4: 16%, draw 3%

Player b:
Game 1: 100% wins, 0% draws
Game 2: 96% wins, 3% draws
Game 3: 87% wins, 3% draws
lGame 4: 67% wins, 6% draws
 
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ibn_sina76 said:
What is the probability that a player chosen at random will play these games with more skill than player b?

You must specify what "play these game with more skill means". Are you referring to a contest where the skilled player and the randomly chosen player play each of the 4 games once. What counts as "more skill"? Suppose the randomly chosen player wins 2 games and the skilled player only wins game 1. Do we say the randomly chosen player had "more skill" than the skilled player?
 
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