Caculate the probability using a binomial distribution

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating probabilities using a binomial distribution in the context of survey responses. The original poster presents a scenario where a survey indicates varying levels of agreement with a statement, and they seek to determine the probability of a certain number of individuals agreeing in a smaller sample.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster attempts to apply the binomial distribution formula to calculate the probability of at least 5 individuals agreeing in a mini-survey of 10 people, questioning the appropriateness of this method.

Discussion Status

Some participants affirm the use of the binomial distribution for this scenario, indicating that the conditions of the problem align with the characteristics of a binomial experiment. There is acknowledgment of the original poster's approach, but no further exploration of the calculations or results has been provided.

Contextual Notes

The discussion includes a specific probability setup based on survey results, with percentages indicating levels of agreement, disagreement, and uncertainty among the population. The original poster's calculations are based on these percentages, but the completeness of the information or any constraints is not fully explored.

Cyannaca
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Ok so I have a problem I am not sure of the method I should use. In a recent survey, 60% of the population disagreed with a given statement, 20% agreed and 20% were unsure. Find the probability of having at least 5 person who agree in a mini-survey with 10 people.

I tried to caculate the probability using a binomial distribution with n=10, p=0,2 agree and 1-p = 0,8 who either agree or are unsure, and

P(X) = (n!/ (k!(n-k)!)) (p^x) ((1-p) ^(n-x))

I added p(5), p(6)... p(10) and I got p(total) = 0,0328

Is it right to use a binomial distribution in this case?
 
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Yes, that is the correct distribution to use.
 
Yes. The number of people agreeing with the statement in n trials is random variable with a binomial probability distribution. This is because each individual event or trial has two possible outcomes (agreement or not agreement, if you choose to group them that way), and as a result is described by a Bernoulli random variable.
 
Thank you!
 

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