What Is the Probability That Exactly 3 Out of 8 Children Are Girls?

Click For Summary
SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating the probability that exactly 3 out of 8 children are girls using the binomial distribution formula. The relevant formula is p(x=k)=\binom{n}{k}(p)^{k}(1-p)^{n-k}, where n=8 (total children), k=3 (number of girls), and p is the probability of success. Participants agree that for this problem, p should be assumed as 0.5, indicating an equal likelihood of having a boy or a girl. This assumption is standard in introductory statistics courses.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of binomial distribution
  • Familiarity with probability concepts
  • Knowledge of combinatorial notation, specifically binomial coefficients
  • Basic statistics principles
NEXT STEPS
  • Learn how to calculate binomial probabilities using the binomial distribution formula
  • Explore real-world birth rate statistics to refine probability assumptions
  • Study the concept of expected value in probability distributions
  • Investigate variations of the binomial distribution, such as the negative binomial distribution
USEFUL FOR

Students studying statistics, educators teaching probability, and anyone interested in understanding binomial distributions and their applications in real-world scenarios.

thegreengineer
Messages
54
Reaction score
3
Thread moved from a different forums, so no HH Template is shown
Right now I'm having a problem with a statistics problem. More specifically with a binomial distribution problem.

The problem says:
There is a family composed by 8 children. Calculate the probability that 3 of them are girls

As far as I know, binomial distribution formula says:
p(x=k)=\binom{n}{k}(p)^{k}(1-p)^{n-k}

In which:
*n is the number of trials
*k is the number of success
*p is the probability of success
*(1-p) is the probability of failure, sometimes denoted as q in some textbooks

I know two things, since we are talking about eight children then n=8. The number of success is k=3, therefore the number of failures must be n-k= 5. At this point I feel I'm going well. However the problem begins that problem isn't giving me the probability of success (p). I first tried to calculate it by knowing that if 8 children means 100% of all the trials then 3 girls means 37.5% (I found this by rule of three); yet I'm not completely sure if that's the right way of finding the probability of success p when problem isn't giving it to us.

Thanks.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
MarcusAu314 said:
Right now I'm having a problem with a statistics problem. More specifically with a binomial distribution problem.

The problem says:
There is a family composed by 8 children. Calculate the probability that 3 of them are girls

As far as I know, binomial distribution formula says:
p(x=k)=\binom{n}{k}(p)^{k}(1-p)^{n-k}

In which:
*n is the number of trials
*k is the number of success
*p is the probability of success
*(1-p) is the probability of failure, sometimes denoted as q in some textbooks

I know two things, since we are talking about eight children then n=8. The number of success is k=3, therefore the number of failures must be n-k= 5. At this point I feel I'm going well. However the problem begins that problem isn't giving me the probability of success (p). I first tried to calculate it by knowing that if 8 children means 100% of all the trials then 3 girls means 37.5% (I found this by rule of three); yet I'm not completely sure if that's the right way of finding the probability of success p when problem isn't giving it to us.

Thanks.

I think they want you to assume that boy and girl babies are equally likely, so that ##p = q = 1/2##. In reality that is not quite true; if you want, you can look up the boy/girl birth rates in a database, and use that instead. However, assuming ##p = q = 1/2## in such problems is pretty standard in an introductory course.
 
Last edited:
MarcusAu314 said:
There is a family composed by 8 children. Calculate the probability that 3 of them are girls
Exactly three in total, at least three in total, or a specific three? Ok, I agree they probably mean exactly three in total.
 

Similar threads

  • · Replies 15 ·
Replies
15
Views
3K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
6K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
3K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
2K
Replies
2
Views
1K
  • · Replies 9 ·
Replies
9
Views
2K
Replies
5
Views
3K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
5K
  • · Replies 9 ·
Replies
9
Views
3K
Replies
1
Views
1K