Calculating Expected Value for Independent Selections | A and B | Catalog Items

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves calculating the expected value of the number of items selected by two individuals, A and B, from a catalog of 10 items, where each selects 3 items independently. The original poster expresses confusion regarding their calculations and the expected value provided by an answers page.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the probabilities associated with B selecting items that A has chosen, with some attempting to clarify the reasoning behind the calculations. Questions arise about the assumptions made regarding the independence of selections and the total number of items remaining after each choice.

Discussion Status

The discussion is ongoing, with participants providing insights and questioning each other's reasoning. Some guidance has been offered regarding the calculation of probabilities, but there is no explicit consensus on the correct approach or outcome yet.

Contextual Notes

There is a noted discrepancy between the original poster's calculated expected value and the value provided by an external answers page, which raises questions about the assumptions and methods used in the calculations.

talolard
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Homework Statement


A catalog contains 10 itmes. Two people, A and B each select 3 items from the catalog independently. What is the expected value of the number of items A and B ordered.

My attempt:
Let A chose any 3 items. The probability that B
Chose 1 similar item is 3/10
Chose 2 of the same items = 3/10*2/9
Chose 3 of the same items = 3/10*2/9*1/8

And so the expected value is 1*(3/10) +2*(3/10*2/9) + 3*(3/10*2/9*1/8) = 11/24
But he awnsers page sais it is 0.9
I don't really know what I'm doing wrong
Guidance needed :)
 
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How did you compute your probabilities?
 
Last edited:
A chose any 3 items.
Then the chance that B chose one of them is 3/10. He has three chances to chose one of ten objects. The chance that B chose 2 of the same is 3/10*2/9 since he had 3 chances for the first one and two chances out of the nine remaining for the next one. etc
 
The probability that the first item B chooses is one of A's items is 3/10. But what about the other two? With no restriction, they could be anything: one of A's or not one of A's, coincidental with the first item, etc.
 
I don't see why.
The chance that B took one item is 3/10. Then to chose another item he has two choices left out of 9 other items. So 2/9 and multiply by 3/10 since to get the seconed item he had to get the first item.
 
Suppose you want to know the probability that B chooses exactly one of A's items. Then he has to choose one of the 3 items of A, and two of the remaining 7.
 
Ok. I got it. Thanks for the help, much apreciated.
Tal
 

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