Calculating Insurance Premiums with Variable Damages and Probabilities

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves calculating an insurance premium based on variable damages and their associated probabilities. The scenario includes a deductible and a desired expected profit, prompting participants to explore how these factors influence the premium calculation.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Mathematical reasoning, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the relationship between the premium, profit, and damages, questioning how to incorporate the deductible into their calculations. There is an exploration of the expected value and its relevance to the problem.

Discussion Status

Some participants have begun to formulate equations to express the relationship between the premium and the company's profit under different damage scenarios. There is an acknowledgment of the need to include the premium in profit calculations, and some clarity is emerging regarding the impact of the deductible.

Contextual Notes

Participants are navigating the complexities of the problem, including the implications of the deductible and the expected profit, while some foundational equations and concepts remain uncertain.

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Homework Statement



Suppose that one year, an insurance company incurred dollar damages,
X, in four different amounts with probabilities, p(x), shown below:

X
0
1000
5000
10000

p(x)
0.7
0.2
0.08
0.02

If the company offers a $500 deductable and wants and wants an
expected profit of $150, how much should it charge for the premium?

Homework Equations



Not even sure what's relevant here. Maybe the expected value is involved somehow:
E(x) = sum ( x*p(x) ) = 800

The Attempt at a Solution



How would I even go about with a problem like this?
 
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If the premium is P, what is the company's profit when damages = $0? How about when damages = $1000?
 
company's profit is $500 for 0 damage and -$500 profit for 1000 damage.
 
You're not including the premium P, the amount the customer pays for the insurance policy.

First the customer pays the insurance company an amount P. Then later, the company pays back to the customer an amount depending on what the damages are.
 
I think I'm getting it.
So overall, if I made up an equation, would this seem right?
Premium = profit + (damages - deductable)
so then my answer should be $800
 
That's right.

(Of course, whenever damages are less than the deductible, no payment is made, but it looks like you realize that.)
 
thanks! ^.^
 

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