Check Your Answers: Probability of a Committee Vote Favour

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on calculating the probability of a committee vote favoring a proposal formed from a group of 17 scientists, comprising 7 biologists, 4 physicists, and 6 chemists. The participant correctly identifies the sample space as 680 for all questions and applies combinatorial methods to determine the probabilities. The calculated probabilities for the scenarios are 36% for all biologists in favor, 75.7% for all chemists against, and 67.5% for a mixed scenario with abstaining physicists. The methods used, including the addition rule and combinatorial calculations, are appropriate and yield accurate results.

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  • Familiarity with probability concepts, including sample space and events.
  • Knowledge of the addition rule in probability.
  • Basic understanding of majority voting systems.
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I WANNA KNOW IF MY ANSWERS AND METHOD ARE CORRECT

Homework Statement



A science committee of 3 people is to be formed from a group of 17 scientists (7 biologists, 4
physicists and 6 chemists) with each possible committee equally likely.
What is the probability the committee vote in favour of a proposal given:-
(a) all biologists in favour, everybody else against?
(b) all chemists against, everybody else in favour?
(c) all biologists in favour, all chemists against and all physicists abstain?

Homework Equations


none


The Attempt at a Solution


Favour =Majority of comitte favour i.e at least 2 of 3 favour
For question 1
Sample space = (17C3)=680
If biologist all favour.. Then for favour, 2 biologist or 3 biologist in the comitee
Event 1= 2 biologist and 1 other=(7C2)*(10C1) =210
Event 2= 3 biologist and 0 other=(7C2)*(10C0) =35

245/Sample space = 245/680 = 49/136=36%

IS THIS CORRECT?

For question 2
Sample space = (17C3)=680

If bioligist all favour + phyicists all favour + all chemist against. Then we have many events. So is better to use addition rule.

Addition rule = E + NOT E=Sample Space.....where E= favour

NOT E= 2 chemists or 3 chemists in comitee

Event 1= 2 chemist and 1 other=(6C2)*(10C1) =150
Event 2= 3 chemist and 0 other=(6C2)*(10C0) =15

NOT E=150+15=165

(Sample space-NOT E) = E=680-165=515
515/Sample Space=Probability of E=515/680=103/136=75.7%

IS THIS CORRECT METHOD?
For question 3
Sample space = (17C3)=680

If all biologist favour + all chemist against + all physicists don't give a damn.
Favour = (3 biologist)+(2 biologist+1 Other) =Question 1
Favour = (1 bioligist + 2 physicists) +(2 bioligist + 1 physicists)
Favour = (2 bioligist + 1 chemist)

Then we have many events. So is better to use addition rule.

NOT favour=(1 chemist + 2 physicist) + (2 chemist + 1 physicist) + (3 chemist)
NOT favour=(2 chemist + bioligist)

NOT favour=(6C1)(4C2) + (6C2)(4C1) +(6C3) + (6C2)(7C1)=36+60+20+105=221

Sample space - NOT favour = 680-221=459
459/680=27/40=67.5%

IS THIS CORRECT METHOD AND ANSWER?
 
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