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Complicated probability question with urns and balls

  1. Oct 5, 2011 #1
    1. The problem statement, all variables and given/known data

    Suppose that Joe draws k balls from and urn containing n red balls and n green balls, without replacing the balls after they are drawn. Similarly, Mary draws k balls from an urn containing m red balls and m green balls, without replacing the balls after they are drawn. We want to computer the probability that Joe and Mary will draw the same number of red balls.

    2. Relevant equations



    3. The attempt at a solution

    Let E be the event that J and M draw the same number of red balls.
    So P(E) = P(J draws i red balls and M draws i red balls)
    = P(J draws i red balls) P(M draws i red balls)

    I don't know how to write P(J draws i red balls)
     
  2. jcsd
  3. Oct 5, 2011 #2

    Ray Vickson

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    Look up the hypergeometric distribution. See, eg.,
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypergeometric_distribution or
    http://stattrek.com/lesson2/hypergeometric.aspx .

    RGV
     
  4. Oct 5, 2011 #3
    the chance that J will draw i red ball is

    (n choose i) * (n choose k - i) / (2n choose k)

    is that right
     
  5. Oct 5, 2011 #4

    Ray Vickson

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    Yes.

    RGV
     
  6. Oct 5, 2011 #5
    so J and M both draw i balls is

    [(n choose i) * (n choose k - i) / (2n choose k)] * [(m choose i) * (m choose k - i) / (2m choose k)]

    right
     
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