Deriving the standard deviation of a resultant vector

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around deriving the standard deviation of the magnitude of horizontal wind from the standard deviations of its orthogonal streamwise and cross-stream components. Participants explore the implications of the data available and the statistical relationships between these components.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant seeks to derive the standard deviation of the magnitude of horizontal wind, given the standard deviations of the streamwise and cross-stream components.
  • Another participant requests clarification on the definitions of "streamwise" and "cross-stream," questioning whether "streamwise" relates to the predominant wind direction or other factors.
  • A participant explains that the streamwise direction is based on the average wind direction over 30-minute intervals and describes the relationship between the components as orthogonal.
  • One participant suggests that knowing the joint distribution of the components is necessary to calculate the standard deviation of the magnitude and discusses the independence of the components.
  • There is mention of the potential for numerical simulation to compute the standard deviation of the magnitude if the distributions of the components are known.
  • Another participant raises concerns about the clarity of the data available, specifically regarding whether the standard deviations pertain to averaged data or individual measurements.
  • A participant notes the lack of raw wind speed data and only having the mean of the magnitude over the interval, complicating the calculation.
  • One participant proposes conjectures on how to compute the streamwise direction from raw data in a Cartesian coordinate system.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express uncertainty regarding the definitions and implications of the terms used, as well as the statistical relationships between the components. There is no consensus on how to derive the standard deviation of the magnitude of the horizontal wind from the given data.

Contextual Notes

Limitations include the lack of raw data and the dependence on the definitions of streamwise and cross-stream components. The discussion also highlights the challenges of calculating standard deviation from averaged data over specific time intervals.

selane
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I am working with some wind speed data and need to work out the standard deviation of the magnitude of the horizontal wind. Unfortunately the only information I have is the standard deviation for the streamwise and cross-stream components of the wind (which are orthogonal). Is it possible to derive the standard deviation of the magnitude of the horizontal wind from these?

Any help greatly appreciated.
 
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For non-meteorologists like me, you need to define what "streamwise" and "cross-streamwise" mean and confirm that "horizontal" mean the component of the wind vector projected on the surface of the earth.

For example, does "streamwise" have something to do with the predominant direction of the wind? - perhaps it's average direction over several hours? Or does it refer to the jet stream? Is a vector that points "streamwise" a two dimensional vector or a 3 dimensional vector?
 
Stephen Tashi said:
For non-meteorologists like me, you need to define what "streamwise" and "cross-streamwise" mean and confirm that "horizontal" mean the component of the wind vector projected on the surface of the earth.

For example, does "streamwise" have something to do with the predominant direction of the wind? - perhaps it's average direction over several hours? Or does it refer to the jet stream? Is a vector that points "streamwise" a two dimensional vector or a 3 dimensional vector?

Sorry - forgot to exit my little meteorology bubble before posting...

My data is averaged into 30 minute blocks, so the streamwise direction is the average direction of the wind over those 30 minutes. The cross-streamwise component is orthogonal to the streamwise component, and both are parallel to the ground. You could think of it as the x and y directions in a Cartesian coordinate system if you prefer.

If x is the wind in the streamwise direction and y is the wind in the cross-streamwise direction, I would usually work out the magnitude of the horizontal wind as h=sqrt(x^2 + y^2). I have the standard deviation of x and y over each 30 minute period, and I need the standard deviation of h.

I hope that makes things clearer.
 
I think the answer to your question is that you need to know the joint distribution of x and y in order to have a chance of calculating the standard deviation of h.

If we take x as the streamwise direction, since it is defined as an average, it wouldn't be surprising if the deviations from it, given by y, are statistically independent of x. If you can assume that the distribution of x and y are independent and that the distribution of each is one that is completely determined by its mean and standard deviation ( for example a normal distribution) then you can compute the standard deviation of h numerically by using a simulation - or perhaps someone has worked out a formula for it.

A question that frequently arises in posts to the forum is: if x and y are independent normal random variables with different means and variances, what is the distribution of h = sqrt(x^2 + y^2). Unfortunately h will not be a normally distributed random variable and I don't know any formula for its standard deviation. (In the case that x and y have the same standard deviation and zero means, we get a Rayleigh distribution and a formula is known.) However, it shouldn't be hard to write a program to compute the standard deviation numerically. There might be some papers written on this topic. We could search the web, if this fits your problem.

It's not yet completely clear to me what data you have and what the random variables are. For example, let's say that the x direction is the stream direction. For each 30 minute interval, do you have one data vector (x,y) representing the 30 minute average x velocity and the 30 minute average y velocity? Or does a block of data consist of measurements taken over shorter intervals of time?

It's tricky to talk about the standard deviation of a variable that varies continuously in time because the standard deviation of a series of measurements of such a variable can depend on the time interval between the measurements. You say that you have the standard deviation of the x and y components. This is relative to some specific time interval, correct?
 
Stephen Tashi said:
It's not yet completely clear to me what data you have and what the random variables are. For example, let's say that the x direction is the stream direction. For each 30 minute interval, do you have one data vector (x,y) representing the 30 minute average x velocity and the 30 minute average y velocity? Or does a block of data consist of measurements taken over shorter intervals of time?

It's tricky to talk about the standard deviation of a variable that varies continuously in time because the standard deviation of a series of measurements of such a variable can depend on the time interval between the measurements. You say that you have the standard deviation of the x and y components. This is relative to some specific time interval, correct?

Unfortunately I only have the standard deviations of x and y over each 30 minute time period. I don't have any velocity data for x or y. I do have the mean of h over the 30 minutes, but don't have the standard deviation of h or any of the raw wind speed data (which would have a sampling frequency of 20 Hz).
 
Suppose the raw 20 mhz data is in the p-q cartesian coordinate system as N vectors [itex](p_1,q_1), (p_2,q_2)...[/itex] How do they compute the streamwise direction s from that?

One conjecture is

[tex]p_{av} = \frac{\sum p_i}{N}[/tex]
[tex]q_{av} = \frac{\sum q_i}{N}[/tex]
[tex]r = \sqrt{( p_{av}^2 + q_{av}^2)}[/tex]
[tex]s = ( \frac{p_{av}}{r},\frac{q_{av}}{r} )[/tex]

Another conjecture is
[tex]p_{av} = \frac{\sum |p_i|}{N}[/tex]
[tex]q_{av} = \frac{\sum |q_i|}{N}[/tex]
[tex]r = \sqrt{( p_{av}^2 + q_{av}^2)}[/tex]
[tex]s = ( \frac{p_{av}}{r},\frac{q_{av}}{r} )[/tex]
 
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