Chernobyl Did Chernobyl divers prevent a multi megaton explosion?

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The discussion centers on the myths surrounding the Chernobyl divers and the potential for a catastrophic explosion if corium had reached the water tanks. Participants argue that while a steam explosion could have occurred, it would not result in a multi-megaton explosion as depicted in dramatizations. The consensus is that a nuclear reactor, even when severely damaged, cannot explode like a nuclear weapon due to the low enrichment of the fuel and the nature of nuclear fission. Concerns were more about containing the radioactive material and preventing further contamination rather than an explosive event. Overall, the conversation emphasizes the importance of distinguishing between fact and dramatization in media portrayals of the Chernobyl disaster.
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If the molten corium of chernobyl had breached the water tanks, would anything more dramatic than what we see when lava flows reach the ocean happen?
There appears to be much myth about the 'divers' that swam through radioactive water to drain the water underneath reactor 4 at Chernobyl. This History channel link alludes to some of the myth https://www.history.co.uk/article/the-real-story-of-the-chernobyl-divers. It also links to a youtube video where Vasili Nesterenko talks of a possible 3 to 5 megatons explosion if the corium reached the water. The 2nd episode of the Chernobyl min-series has a Belorussian Physicist (a composite character? played by Emily Watson) warning of a 30-40 megaton explosion.

I'm not a physicist I just find the physics of reactors and weapons interesting, I have only high school physics from 40 years ago and what I've learned through Wikipedia and the internet. I could see how a steam explosion might cause further damage to reactor 4, causing more mess. But to all three remaining reactors? I presume for such megaton class explosion some nuclear weapon type triggering must happen. But I don't see it. The corium isn't going to drop en masse into the water, it will initially drip, faster and faster. At some point the evaporating water is going to form a crust on the corium like the lava flows from kilauea when they meet the ocean.

I'm guessing that someone is theorising that the pressure from a sudden steam explosion is going to compress the corium causing it to detonate like an atomic device. Perhaps... perhaps, a steam 'explosion' might compress and increase the fission rate of the corium. But it would be a poor bomb, the enrichment levels are very low. A RBMK reactor might work only natural (unenriched) uranium. Megaton class explosion is in the H-Bomb range, did someone think the 0.0156% of the hydrogen in the water that is deuterium might start a fusion reaction?

Does anyone have a realistic thought out explanation for what would have happened if the corium had reached the water tanks?

Jeremy Thomson
 
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Jeremy Thomson said:
The 2nd episode of the Chernobyl min-series has a Belorussian Physicist (a composite character? played by Emily Watson) warning of a 30-40 megaton explosion.

Ridiculous. A nuclear reactor, even when severely damaged, is not a nuclear weapon and will not explode with anything close to this kind of energy. If for no other reason than the fact that the fuel will blow itself apart into tiny fragments before enough reactions have occurred to generate a multi-megaton explosion.

Jeremy Thomson said:
I'm guessing that someone is theorising that the pressure from a sudden steam explosion is going to compress the corium causing it to detonate like an atomic device.

I can't see how. Nuclear weapons using an implosive strategy require an extremely well timed series of explosive blasts placed around the core. Any deviation in the timing of these explosives causes the core to become deformed when imploding (a bit like trying to squeeze a balloon) and you don't get anything but a fizzle.

A steam explosion is simply not going to do this.
 
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It’s not possible for a nuclear fission reactor to explode. Nuclear fission reactors usually use Uranium-238 at relative low concentration, and the half life of it is very long. Even large chunks of uranium 238 will not go off even without graphite to slow down neutrons. Nuclear weapons, however, uses a highly unstable isotope, U-235, when it receives a neutron, it turns into U-236 and split apart, releasing more neutrons and cause a chain reaction. An U-238 atom won’t turn into U-236 or U-235 naturally. So it is impossible for a reactor to explode. In fact, in most cases, turning a nuclear reactor into a nuclear weapon is pretty much ridiculous. We sometimes see ideas of overloading reactors to cause a mass destruction in sci-fi movies, but in reality, it won’t do more than melting down and cause a catastrophic radiation leak, just like what happened in Chernobyl.
For fusion reactors, they are perfectly safe. If you want to disable the magnetic field, the reaction just stops. Nuclear reactors never explode. The exploding reactors in sci-fi are likely to be antimatter reactors, and we don’t have them right now because we don’t have enough antimatter.
 
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Jeremy Thomson said:
I presume for such megaton class explosion some nuclear weapon type triggering must happen. But I don't see it. The corium isn't going to drop en masse into the water, it will initially drip, faster and faster. At some point the evaporating water is going to form a crust on the corium like the lava flows from kilauea when they meet the ocean.
You are correct. For example in case of Fukushima it did happen, and while it likely had effect on the internal pressure of the reactor, the explosions happened due a complete different reason (and likely: different time).

As I recall there was two (real) dangers involved in this story: one is that the corium might reach criticality when submerged in water - this could have rendered the whole basement inaccessible for a long time. Second is, that the corium could have flushed the water out of the basement. Also, it is still possible that they feared the possibility of a big explosion. With that much knowledge about the actual status of structure... Well, even we can't dig out the truth of the matter, so how could they?
 
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Seems like with the HBO's new drama "Chernobyl" and other news articles Chernobyl is back in business as a cool scare story for the average person.

They also dug a long tunnel underneath the whole reactor building, this as well as most other things were done purely to contain and save what was left in order for there not to be an even bigger contamination of the surroundings including freshwater.
I kind of doubt that the top Soviet nuclear physicists that were all called in on duty with respect to Chernobyl were so illogical that they really thought that tons of low enriched Uranium mixed with concrete, steel, sand and dirt(all of which only minimize the chances of fission) all combined into a lava could make a large let alone megaton range nuclear blast. This is probably folklore and there is plenty around this event, simply because thousands of people were involved and millions more have heard about it.
 
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They were worried that a huge steam explosion could propel the already pulverized fuel debris further than the initial explosion.

A 2% enriched fuel could never cause a nuclear explosion.
 
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exactly , they did the things that they could do in order to contain as much of the debris inside as they could which involved not only covering the blast area with neutron absorbers and fire retardants but also making sure the contamination doesn't go underground, surely water was to be cleared in the way because otherwise the water that was already radioactive would have become extremely radioactive and steam would carry contamination further inside the building probably.

just in case for someone reading if they did not know, the reactors 1,2,3 were later reopened and kept running for years so obviously they tried to salvage as much as possible because the reactors had a rather high net electric capacity (1000MW each) and they did not want to lose that.But you know it's always like that, those few who are truly interested know the facts while the rest can't be bothered to read further than a few lines in VICE or elsewhere, surely Chernobyl has become a meme , just a cliche , a word much like Jesus or The Beatles, most of the ones who use these words know very little behind them, others use them for their own benefit.
My own personal experience shows that History channel is just another "fake news" source. I don't like that most of their narratives use voices that exaggerate the importance of the facts presented while at other times they dramatize simple events. I personally enjoy history without interpretation.
 
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artis said:
My own personal experience shows that History channel is just another "fake news" source. I don't like that most of their narratives use voices that exaggerate the importance of the facts presented while at other times they dramatize simple events.

Agreed, the same thoughts here. I don't get pay TV at home, so it's usually at a motel somewhere on holiday.
Some of the things I have seen on various programs of theirs have left me stunned in disbelief at the inaccuracies.Dave
 
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  • #10
Perhaps they were afraid of a hydrothermal or phreatic eruption ?
 
  • #11
@davenn
Agreed, the same thoughts here. I don't get pay TV at home, so it's usually at a motel somewhere on holiday.
Some of the things I have seen on various programs of theirs have left me stunned in disbelief at the inaccuracies.

Exactly, and in the case of Chernobyl such poorly made documentaries that aim for drama and entertainment usually interview "experts" who where actually some pipe welders without university diploma at best and then they answer complicated questions like levels of contamination in different places and possible risks involved and they make this concerned looking face and in the background depressing classical music plays ever louder.
@Nik_2213 I don't think so, it is wrong to imagine the red hot lava being thrown into a large pool all at once which surely if a large hot mass gets suddenly introduced to large amounts of cold water can cause a violent steam explosion, just because the RBMK did not have a western style reinforced concrete dome around it doesn't mean it was built from paper and plastic exactly.
The reactor still had a thick reinforced concrete so called "biological shield" around the graphite/pipe channel structure which was filled with sand and lead, altogether the thickness was few meters, underneath the reactor were the pipe inlets for each channel (imagine a large pipe network) underneath that was a reinforced concrete pool meant for suppressing a leak if one or two of the channel pipes burst. The hot lava was not introduced to the bottom of the reactor all at once , it moved slowly just like you imagine a large hot mass breaking through concrete and steel , in the process it cooled off a little and mixed with all kinds of crap.
At best it could have boiled the water below and caused radioactive steam to spread in all direction that's about it. But compared to the amounts of steam and ash already blown into atmosphere this would be just a minor thing in the overall scheme of matters.
243699


Notice how the lava has stopped and solidified within a steel diverter pipe which means that once the lava broke through layers of concrete and steel it was already cool enough and incapable of melting any more steel.

Basically the only real danger for the red hot fuel mass was that it was very toxic and radioactive so they only tried to contain it within the building and not let it out and that's all , everything else is speculation and fake news.
 
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  • #12
243700
Just a side point , notice the news articles , these were the papers a few days after the west got some information bits about what happened in the USSR the republic of Ukraine, only a few firefighters were dead at the time alongside a few of the staff of the 4th reactor that blew up, surely a number of people were transferred to specialized hospitals to treat acute radiation sickness and would later die but the numbers presented here were purely made up by the morning coffee table. So clearly the news media has been in the money earning and scare business even back then.I would suggest to the mods making a special thread and permanently attaching it in the nuclear subforums where legitimate pictures and documentaries could be attached with some historically accurate and physically correct explanations in order to save time because there will probably be a dozen more of these Chernobyl threads given HBO's new drama and other films about the events.
 
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  • #13
artis said:
...everything else is speculation and fake news.
The problem with this kind of things that it is so easy to draw conclusions from facts known at a later point of time. However, the different questions has different answers: if somebody asks if they feared a big explosion (by any reason) that has absolutely nothing to do with later simulations or any scientific basis. To answer that question the only thing needed to know is if they feared it or not.

It might be kinda' like the question 'did people fear the End of the World within ten years in 990?'. Yes, they did. If you want to do any type of historical stuff about that era then you just can't omit that part, even in you already know that the world did not end that time and all those fears were without basis.

So, about those divers: the only fact known that they did dive there and opened some valves so the water in the basement and/or in the tanks in the basement could be removed before the corium poured in. The attached historical context is that it was to prevent things getting worse, possibly by explosion or further contamination. The scientific context according to our present time is that explosion was unlikely to happen, especially anything nuclear.
And these three things can be true simultaneously.
 
  • #14
Ok , technically the workers and scientists at the time had no way of knowing everything so they simply assumed with their best calculations surely, before later they were able to drill holes in the walls that took them months and found out the reactor was gone for good.

But this still doesn't exonerate the media claiming victim counts without any proof or mass hysteria, much less History channel's and other news media dramatic actor voice-over narratives and twisting historical facts.

PS. as much as the Soviet government had lied in the past, in the second half of 1980's they were getting more honest about matters and being under pressure with respect to Chernobyl they actually released a correct count of the workers who died which was 31 about a month after the accident , another 20 or more folks died in the months after from cancer and overall psychological and physical damage.
 
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  • #15
I'm not a nuclear physicist, but I don't understand how molten nuclear fuel coming into contact with cold water could cause a nuclear explosion.

A steam explosion, yes, but a nuclear blast?

Here is a video of volcanic lava coming into contact with ocean water, and there is no explosion. The lava is a similar temperature to the molten fuel at Chernobyl.

 
  • #16
ElliotSmith said:
I don't understand how molten nuclear fuel coming into contact with cold water could cause a nuclear explosion.

Because the cold water is a very effective neutron moderator and can cause the fuel to go supercritical, which is what a nuclear explosion is--an uncontrolled supercritical chain reaction. That can't happen with lava. Whether it actually will happen with the molten nuclear fuel will depend on the details of its physical configuration.
 
  • #17
the scientist in the show spoke of a 3-4 megaton explosion, not 30-40. The source for the writers appears to be from this documentary



"Our experts studied the possibility and concluded that the explosion would have had a force of three to five megatons," said Soviet physicist Vassili Nesterenko. "Minsk, which is 320 kilometers from Chernobyl, would have been razed and Europe rendered uninhabitable."

Vassili Nesterenko (2 December 1934 – 25 August 2008) was a Soviet and Belarusian physicist from Ukraine and a former director of the Institute of Nuclear Energy at the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus (1977-1987).[1]

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vassili_Nesterenko
PeterDonis said:
Because the cold water is a very effective neutron moderator and can cause the fuel to go supercritical, which is what a nuclear explosion is--an uncontrolled supercritical chain reaction. That can't happen with lava. Whether it actually will happen with the molten nuclear fuel will depend on the details of its physical configuration.

So, hypothetically, immersion in water could have triggered a nuclear explosion? Only hydrogen bombs, to my limited knowledge, have generated blasts of this magnitude, so
a) is there some set of conditions where a melting reactor core could transform into a multi-megaton nuclear explosion? And b) did rightly or wrongly, did the Soviet authorities at the time believe this scenario to be probable?
 
  • #18
pardon my ignorance but something doesn't add up here. In H bombs the primary device is an A-bomb, usually plutonium (have there been U235 primaries?)
so the fusion which makes the yield stronger is made possible by the extreme radiation and heat from the A-bomb, but in case of U235 we are talking about clean precisely timed 90 something % enriched U235,

Correct me please but to the best of my knowledge the highest chance the RBMK fuel ever had to go boom was when it was still in the core at the moment when the reactivity got out of control and the core went "supercritical" ,but I guess because reactors work with slow neutrons the power couldn't climb fast enough (as in a bomb) and the core tore itself apart before the fuel had the chance to develop anything close to a nuclear explosion, after the first steam explosion the core was thrown apart , tons of graphite moderator were flying every direction landing on the roof and premises of the building.

The part where the scientists worry about the second explosion they essentially have a "dirty" molten fuel mixed with dirt and sand, boron, lead, concrete and metal , everything they threw from helicopters and everything the fuel itself melted along the way as it descended down through metal pipes and reinforced concrete structural elements,
so how can such fuel cause an explosion that would rank in the H bomb category?
either I fail to see something obvious here or something is exaggerated?
 
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PS. Could a reactor core, if it had the strength to hold itself together for long enough develop a nuclear type explosion under runaway conditions, with such low enrichment?

the molten fuel falling into water would probably be like a moderated core that unlike the real core could probably hold together for longer, probably as long as the water surrounds the fuel before it evaporates violently.
 
  • #20
artis said:
...or something is exaggerated?
Exactly. There is a deeply studied concern that core debris might go critical when submerged in water, but that is not like an explosion and this possibility depends on many things, like enrichment of the fuel and additional materials in the debris/corium pile. While it is considered a possibility it does not have really high chance with the standard fuel used in commercial reactors these days.
If it happens then it is expected to boil the water and dance on the very edge of criticality till water lasts or enough boron is added, finally.
Such recriticality could have made the basement inaccessible due radiation and hot water/steam. But that's still not an explosion.

Again: this is a speculation based on knowledge available at a later point of time. What they did fear that time is primarily a historical question.

Ps.:
artis said:
Could a reactor core, if it had the strength to hold itself together for long enough develop a nuclear type explosion under runaway conditions, with such low enrichment?
The definition of the 'nuclear type explosion' is a bit too vague, but in general it is a no. What they had in Chernobyl is more or less the biggest blast that a (commercial) reactor can possibly produce (and they had to work very hard to push that old reactor with that no longer even acceptable design to the edge of disaster - and then push it a bit further).
 
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  • #21
BWV said:
"Our experts studied the possibility and concluded that the explosion would have had a force of three to five megatons," said Soviet physicist Vassili Nesterenko. "Minsk, which is 320 kilometers from Chernobyl, would have been razed and Europe rendered uninhabitable."
What? Is he actually saying that? That doesn't make any sense.
 
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  • #22
I too wonder why even back then with the limited knowledge they had about the details of the accident they would think in terms of megatons as the fuel was like 2%? enriched and at the moment of explosion already halfway burned, sounds rather weird given that in 1986 the Soviets already had a 40 year experience with both A-bombs and H- bombs in their arsenal, so their top scientists must have had a rather good knowledge of what it takes to yield certain explosive power.

Maybe they worried the explosion could be strong enough to completely destroy the already half destroyed structure and so take the neighboring 3rd reactor with it or something along those lines, who knows.
 
  • #23
artis said:
I too wonder why even back then with the limited knowledge they had about the details of the accident they would think in terms of megatons as the fuel was like 2%? enriched and at the moment of explosion already halfway burned, sounds rather weird given that in 1986 the Soviets already had a 40 year experience with both A-bombs and H- bombs in their arsenal, so their top scientists must have had a rather good knowledge of what it takes to yield certain explosive power.
How much of a "top scientist" does one need to be to know that a nuclear reactor isn't an A-bomb and an A-bomb isn't an H-bomb? I read "The Sum of All Fears" when I was in high school, does that count?

I can't fathom who that guy is or why he would say that, but one thing's for sure; I'm not watching the show to find out! And I even watched a little of the Tesla Death Ray show!
 
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  • #24
If by "the show" you refer to HBO's Chernobyl then after watching all five episodes I must say the director has shown a lot of respect and care for the detail and deviated only in certain places for the sake of drama and tv.

I also listened to the podcast where Craig Mazin explains each episode and I must say he has done his research,

Both Dyatlov's rude and arrogant character and Toptunov's inexperience and mistakes as well as the positive void coefficient and xenon poisoning were all addressed quite accurately and that in itself is already a good sign.

Personally I did not knew before that in the court where Anatoly Dyatlov, alongside his colleagues in crime Viktor Bryukhanov (the station director at the time) and chief engineer Fomin were given the chance to say their position Dyatlov contrary to his colleague testimonies said that he did not give the directive to override safety instructions and warning from the SCALA computer because he was in toilet (yes I checked , turns out this was the excuse he came up with), so he said his colleagues decided for themselves to carry on. So he lied.
Also Akimov insisted that they shut down the reactor as they were approaching certain suicide but Dyatlov (apparently relying on the SCRAM to save him) dismissed him and carried on.
So basically Dyatlov's dance with the devil was rather calculated and reckless at the same time but he did not know the control rods had graphite tips, but he should have know that they take 22 (IIRC) seconds to fully insert( which wasn't a secret) which is too long for a reactor that is put to the point where the core has almost no neutron moderation and only relies on xenon poisoning (which can't be calculated real time) and coolant light water to absorb neutrons , so as the water boiled away (after Dyatlov ordered the pumps to be switched off) and apparently so did the xenon at the same time, the core "ran away" for good.I'd suggest @russ_watters watch the show, there is no hype or hysteria like in China Syndrome, mostly historical facts presented on screen with some minor drama.
As someone who has lived in the former USSR I can tell you this show unlike others is surprisingly accurate
 
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  • #25
artis said:
I'd suggest @russ_watters watch the show, there is no hype or hysteria like in China Syndrome, mostly historical facts presented on screen with some minor drama.

What HBO’s “Chernobyl” Got Right, and What It Got Terribly Wrong - by Masha Gessen
https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-...obyl-got-right-and-what-it-got-terribly-wrong
Another criticism - What HBO's 'Chernobyl' gets right (and wrong) about the world's worst nuclear power plant accident
https://www.businessinsider.com/chernobyl-hbo-whats-true-myths-2019-5
Folks have asked me about the program, but I have not watched it. I thought it was a documentary, but apparently it is a dramatization based on an historical event, and according to Gessen, the writers/producers introduce commentary based on their imagination.

As for a multi-megaton explosion of a low enriched core with a moderate fission product distribution, it seems unlikely it would be in the megaton (1 MT = 4.184e+15 J) range. One would have to know the reactivity insertion and rate, then calculate the neutron flux (pulse) from which one would calculate the power and energy produced in the reactor core.

Designers do consider so-called hypothetical core disruption accidents, and basically we design core and systems to preclude such events. Chernobyl was a severe transient resulting in a steam explosion, which then led to dispersion of some of the core, melting of other parts of the core, and chemical reaction (oxidation) of still other parts.

One article puts the energy yield of the Chernobyl accident at 10t TNT, which is not even in the kT range.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00024-009-0029-9
 
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  • #26
Well just to be fair, the megaton explosion risk idea came from a rather unknown scientist not the HBO show, but it is in the show because this prediction historically happened and is not made up.

Also a historical fact is that they drained the lower suppression pool and I believe the main reason was not fears of megaton explosions but in order for there not to be any more contaminated steam causing explosions within the building itself and doing any additional damage.

As for the show , well it's a show so take it with facts and a grain of salt.
All I said was that compared to other shows with zombies and mutants this one is as close to reality as ever for a show.
 
  • #27
artis said:
this one is as close to reality as ever for a show.
You should watch Threads sometime.
 
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  • #28
artis said:
...there is no hype or hysteria like in China Syndrome...
I have a feeling that what @russ_watters is annoyed about is the hysteria around the movie, and not about the hysteria in the movie... What is indeed getting really annoying. It is getting really hard to do any search for facts, and it is just started to spin... I've already started using time-limited search: any hit from the past half year excluded.

The movie is a psychological/societal drama based on really well gathered background, but adapted to TV/movie. I see less and less reason to discuss the content of the movie (!) in science topics.
 
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  • #29
PeterDonis said:
Because the cold water is a very effective neutron moderator and can cause the fuel to go supercritical, which is what a nuclear explosion is--an uncontrolled supercritical chain reaction.

Cold water can also reflect fast neutrons back in.

A glob of molten fuel dropped into a pool of water might well go critical
produce an awful lot of heat
and make a huge steam explosion
and spew an awful lot of radioactive fission products
as has been described earlier in the thread.

But how does one put a number on the consequences that'll make sense to civilians?

I suppose were i a physicist
i'd estimate the amount of those fission products likely to be released in the steam explosion
and compare what size weapon would make a similar release
and tell the civilians they might expect consequences equivalent to that size weapon
although the actual energy released would be much smaller.

The reactor core has been fissioning uranium atoms since its last reload maybe months ago so it carries a tremendous inventory of fission products of varying radioactities
while the weapon only fissions for a fraction of a second.

Now the conversion from megawatt hours to tons of tnt is only 1.16 ,
that is it takes the same number of fissions to to produce the heat equivalent of either a ton of tnt or 1.16 megawatt hours
whether you do them all in a split second or stretch them out over months..

RMBK 1000 makes 3200 megawatt hours every hour, the heat equivalent of around 3200/1.16 = 2759 tons of tnt per hour.
So it builds up equivalent fission products at the rate of, let's round to 2.76 kilotons per hour.
That'd be 66.24 kilotons per day, which is 1987 kilotons in a 30 day month or 2053 in a 31 day month.

Can we just call it 2 megatons per month? 24 megatons per year?
How long had Chernobyl run in that fuel cycle prior to the explosion ?

Anyhow -
That'd be my guess
as to why a pyhysicist told them to expect consequences similar to a few megatons ,

even though the steam explosion would amount to orders of magnitude less.It's what i'd probably do..

Anything wrong in my reasoning? I just asked myself "Why would a rational man say that ?"

old jim
 
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  • #30
I like your thinking Jim, indeed maybe we dismissed the rather unknown physicist too early thinking just in terms of the physical blast yield but not in terms of the fallout damage, indeed a well made modern A or H bomb to the best of my knowledge is "cleaner" (much cleaner?) than a Chernobyl type event,
even after the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki we see that the population of those cities got back to normal only some 15-20 years after the blasts.

@jim hardy , hard to say how long the fuel was in the core given that RBMK have the capability to change individual fuel assemblies while online , which they routinely do, but overall the 4th reactor opened in 1983, so I would suspect that some of the fuel was still there from the beginning , anyhow although I can't find any direct info about this I'd bet that atleast half of the fuel assemblies were long into their useful lifetime.@Rive I am not discussing the show , just the parts that are historically accurate which i found interesting to add.
 
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  • #31
Bandersnatch said:
You should watch Threads sometime.
and Peter Watkins' 1965 "The War Game" ..
 
  • #32
jim hardy said:
Can we just call it 2 megatons per month? 24 megatons per year?
How long had Chernobyl run in that fuel cycle prior to the explosion ?

Anyhow -
That'd be my guess
as to why a pyhysicist told them to expect consequences similar to a few megatons ,
Reactivity transients (and explosions) take place over millisecond time frames. In PWRs, some tests have pulse widths of 10 to 30 ms, so the megatons would be greatly reduced to tons. During a pulse, the power can be many times the steady state level, usually less than a factor of 10. However, I have not seen numbers for the pulse height (peak power level) or pulse width for Chernobyl 4.

Mikhail V. MALKO, The Chernobyl Reactor: Design Features and Reasons for Accident
http://www.rri.kyoto-u.ac.jp/NSRG/reports/kr79/kr79pdf/Malko1.pdf
Malko provides an estimate of 1.0 TJ, "equivalent to the energy of explosion of approximately 200 tons of the trinitrotoluene." (top of page 22, and reference 18).

It is difficult to determine the configuration of the core since those records are not readily available. We know the following:

First Criticality: 25 November 1983
First Grid Connection: 21 December 1983
Commercial Operation: 25 March 1984
Permanent Shutdown: 25 April 1986 (Catastrophically destroyed)
Ref:
https://www.world-nuclear.org/reactor/default.aspx/CHERNOBYL-4
Chernobyl 4 was a RBMK-1000. It had 1661 fuel channels, and it was capable to replace 2 fuel channels per day, so it would take approximately 830 days to replace all the fuel in the reactor, which is more than two years, but Chernobyl 4 reactor was operating for 2.3 years at the time of the accident. Various papers mention that the reactor was shutting down for routine maintenance, but they do not mention the frequency associated with routine, e.g., an annual schedule, which means that it the unit was shutting down for the second outage.

Malko mentions comments "blue light corresponds to the temperature about 6,000 K," which is true, however Cerenkov radiation is blue, so very likely the "blue flash" was due to Cerenkov radiation, or ionization of the air/steam/hydrogen after the initial steam explosion. One can observe a blue flash in a pulsed reactor.

Another good reference on the accident (See Table 1 and Figure 11, and Figure 10)
https://mragheb.com/NPRE 402 ME 405 Nuclear Power Engineering/Chernobyl Accident.pdf
 
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  • #33
interesting to see the gamma ray interference when the camera is rather close to the core and the water thickness is not high enough, in the other research type pool reactors the camera is further away, the blue light still can be seen but there seems to be no destructive interference with the camera photo-electronics , would this indicate that a thick layer of water not only moderates/absorbs neutrons but to a large extent shields gamma radiation?I have no detailed information on the subject but my intuition tells me that they rushed the test so it can be finished (hopefully) before the planned maintenance shutdown of the reactor where probably also some (most?) fuel assemblies would be changed because the dates from commercial operation until spring 1986 suggest 2 years of full power which would seem as many fuel assemblies were at the end of their useful life so full of fission products.
PS. @Astronuc , even though a bit off topic, I wonder when they changed a fuel assembly while reactor is online, as the fuel assembly comes out, did they close the water flow of that specific channel beforehand? Otherwise I fail to see how this would not result in hot water/steam spewing everywhere.
What still intrigues me is how each assembly rod had a seal that could be tightened or loosened by the remote machine in order for the channel to be sealed before being put back into operation. I assume CANDU'S have similar things since their also channel type.
 
  • #34
Astronuc said:
However, I have not seen numbers for the pulse height (peak power level) or pulse width for Chernobyl 4.

surely there's no direct measurement.

This statement from your second reference seems plausible
pdf page 17, right below the picture fig 14.
244788
 
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  • #35
artis said:
PS. @Astronuc , even though a bit off topic, I wonder when they changed a fuel assembly while reactor is online, as the fuel assembly comes out, did they close the water flow of that specific channel beforehand? Otherwise I fail to see how this would not result in hot water/steam spewing everywhere.
What still intrigues me is how each assembly rod had a seal that could be tightened or loosened by the remote machine in order for the channel to be sealed before being put back into operation. I assume CANDU'S have similar things since their also channel type.
I'm more familiar with the CANDU system, but I understand in both cases, the refueling machine locks onto the cooling channel, then the cap is removed, the spent fuel is retrieved and fresh fuel inserted, then the cap is returned and locked. I don't know if there are valves to block/stop the coolant flow into the channel, but perhaps there is.

CANDUs have horizontal channels, whereas RBMK are vertical. In CANDU systems, to refuel a channel, a pair of fuelling machines latch onto each end of the channel. New fuel bundles are inserted at one end, old fuel is pushed along the channel, and spent fuel is discharged into the other machine. Typically, four or eight fresh bundles are added at each fuelling. The RBMK must refuel from one end, the old fuel must be retrieved, then the new fuel installed.

See page 4/5 - https://canteach.candu.org/Content Library/20043404.pdf
 
  • #36
Astronuc said:
...so the megatons would be greatly reduced to tons.
Agreed . The energy released in the explosion is orders of magnitude less than a weapon generates.

The fission product inventory in the reactor core that's available for release by that comparatively small explosion however is disproportionately large because it's been building since reactor startup.

That was my point.
The physicist could have said "You're going to get maybe a ton's worth of explosion but megatons worth of fallout. "
Would they have stopped listening halfway through his statement ?

The scene as played made better drama.
I sure don't now what really was said

old jim
 
  • #37
@jim hardy, I understand your point. Someone has estimated the contamination from Chernobyl,

The resulting radioactive release, Medvedev estimates, was equivalent to ten Hiroshimas. In fact, since the Hiroshima bomb was an airburst--no part of the fireball touching the ground--the Chernobyl release polluted the countryside much more than ten Hiroshimas would have done.
Ref:https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/reaction/readings/chernobyl.html
I'd like to see the calculation.
 
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  • #38
Isn't it a bit misleading in general to compare fallouts from exploded very specific design nuclear reactors (specific design in a way that only worsens the damage, aka burning graphite etc) and nuclear bombs?

Every bomb ever has had the chance to fission for a very brief amount of time versus a reactor that has piled up large amounts of fission products , especially the RBMK given it had the largest sized core of all known commercial reactors and I guess also the most fuel in tons compared to other smaller cores.
Just asking.

As far as I am aware of all the countless nuclear bomb detonation places none is so heavily polluted that it requires a sealed off exclusion zone.
 
  • #39
artis said:
Isn't it a bit misleading in general to compare fallouts from exploded very specific design nuclear reactors (specific design in a way that only worsens the damage, aka burning graphite etc) and nuclear bombs?

Every bomb ever has had the chance to fission for a very brief amount of time versus a reactor that has piled up large amounts of fission products , especially the RBMK given it had the largest sized core of all known commercial reactors and I guess also the most fuel in tons compared to other smaller cores.
Just asking.
I believe it is quite natural to compare fallout from nuclear weapons tests, since there was substantial fallout and contamination from atmospheric tests.

As far as I am aware of all the countless nuclear bomb detonation places none is so heavily polluted that it requires a sealed off exclusion zone.
I believe the areas of the Marshall Islands, e.g., Bikini and Eniwetok atolls are off-limits due to contamination, and I believe other areas where weapons were tested are exclusion zones, e.g., Maralinga in South Australia.
 
  • #40
artis said:
Isn't it a bit misleading in general to compare fallouts from exploded very specific design nuclear reactors (specific design in a way that only worsens the damage, aka burning graphite etc) and nuclear bombs?

Maybe.
One tries to reach an audience by relating to something with which they are familiar.

My generation is old enough to remember cold war days when Civil Defense(in US) handed out educational material on fallout. So we learned that a weapon creates fallout that's dangerous over only so much area for so much time.

If i misled you (or anybody else) please forgive me. I picked a familiar-to-me idea assuming it would resonate.. i guess today's population by and large doesn't remember "Duck and Cover" drills in grade school.

It would be a mistake to present the explosive forces as similarly powerful
but not a mistake to present the respective fallouts as similar in effect.

How else would you reach an audience of non-scientific people? That's a question not an argument.

old jim
 
  • #41
No Jim, everything is fine the comparison was actually great,
 
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  • #42
Rive said:
I have a feeling that what @russ_watters is annoyed about is the hysteria around the movie, and not about the hysteria in the movie... What is indeed getting really annoying. It is getting really hard to do any search for facts, and it is just started to spin... I've already started using time-limited search: any hit from the past half year excluded.

The movie is a psychological/societal drama based on really well gathered background, but adapted to TV/movie. I see less and less reason to discuss the content of the movie (!) in science topics.
The problem is that [my understanding is] the movie is presented as a historical documentary, not a dramamentary* or even historical fiction, and it is being discussed in a technical section of PF, not the sci-fi section.

What little I've read about it is not good: there are wildly false stories being told and due to the tone and statements from the producers claiming accuracy, people - including reviewers - are coming out claiming false things to be true, while championing the accuracy! In terms of informing the public, that's as bad as it could possibly be.

That's much worse than "The China Syndrome", which is an openly fictional movie.

*I just made that up; I don't know if there is a term for it.
 
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  • #43
Here's a critical review from no less a science stalwart than Forbes. There's two separate takes:
1. "Chernobyl" isn't about nuclear power (so it doesn't matter that it gets stuff wrong) -- but it is.
2. "Chernobyl" is pretty accurate -- but it isn't.

The first:
This is a point that the creator of “Chernobyl,” Craig Mazin, has stressed. “The lesson of Chernobyl isn’t that modern nuclear power is dangerous,” he tweeted. “The lesson is that lying, arrogance, and suppression of criticism are dangerous.”...

Personally, I’m not so sure. Having now watched all five episodes of “Chernobyl,” and seen the public’s reaction to it, I think it’s obvious that the mini-series terrified millions of people about the technology...

“I watched the first episode of Chernobyl,” tweeted Sarah Todd, a sports writer at the Philadelphia Inquirer. “Then I spent a couple of hours reading about nuclear power. Now I’m in a full blown panic and I need someone to explain to me how it is at all okay to live on the east coast when this is the situation.”
FYI, Philly is 25 miles from the Limerick nuclear plant and I live 6 miles from the plant. She's panicking over the plant while I'm happy it isn't a coal plant.

A couple of examples of the second point:
In interviews around the release of HBO’s “Chernobyl,” screenwriter and show creator Mazin insisted that his mini-series would stick to the facts. "I defer to the less dramatic version of things,” Mazin said, adding, “you don’t want to cross a line into the sensational."

In truth, “Chernobyl” runs across the line into sensational in the first episode and never looks back...

“Chernobyl” ominously depicts people gathered on a bridge watching the Chernobyl fire. At the end of the series, HBO claims, “it has been reported that none survived. It is now known as the "Bridge of Death.”

But the “Bridge of Death” is a sensational urban legend and there is no good evidence to support it...

The New Yorker repeated the claim that a woman’s baby “absorbed radiation” and died. The New Republic described radiation as “supernaturally persistent” and contagious (a “zombie logic, by which anyone who is poisoned becomes poisonous themselves”). The Economist, People, and others repeated the “bridge of death” urban legend.
The title topic of this thread is of course another example of an event that didn't happen (discussed in the article).

https://www.forbes.com/sites/michae...chernobyl-gets-nuclear-so-wrong/#52c2bc5a632f
 
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  • #44
In reference to the OP's question of "Did Chernobyl divers prevent a multi megaton explosion?"and assuming the Soviets had a nuclear physicist worth his salt advising them at the time, would such a physicist have had any good reason at the time--perhaps allowing for imperfect or unknown information at the time-- to think that, in the worst case, such a megaton+ explosion was possible from the corium encountering a large pool of water under the reactor?

I'm not sure if it has any bearing on the answer, but from my reading these RBMK reactors were designed to both produce electricity and enrich fuel for nuclear weapons (unlike in the West, where there are reactors for power generation and different reactors for creating weapons fuel). That is according to Wikipedia, which says that for RBMK reactors, their primary use was:
Primary useGeneration of electricity and production of weapon grade plutonium
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RBMK
So, maybe the Chernobyl fuel, used to produce weapon grade plutonium, was or became different enough and more dangerous than the typical western style nuclear power fuel that is perhaps being assumed here?
 
  • #45
No Chernobyl used the same uranium as western plants only with less enrichment as the reactor core physics and design was different that's it, any fuel develops byproducts as it is irradiated one of them is plutonium , the reason why an RBMK can be used for Pu production is not in physics but in the design of the reactor, as it can be reloaded while online, you can take individual fuel assemblies in and out of the core one at a time wile the rest of the core pipes are delivering steam and the chain reaction doesn't stop. That's it.
you could open a PWR and take it's fuel out for Pu production it just wouldn't be economical as the reactor design is such that it takes a lot of time to do that and the reactor must be shut off.
 
  • #46
@russ_watters I totally understand your point, people these days will freak out about everything, to give Craig Mazin some credit I must say he is a screenwriter not a physicist and there have been far dumber things presented on screen than Chernobyl , IMDB lists it as "drama, history" so obviously the viewers should at least get the point their not watching a documentary.
The thing that got us talking about this in the first place is the shows very high ratings and popularity which means that from an arts point of view it is rather good, I personally liked it too but maybe because I already know my facts so for me it was just another entertainment thing.
But in all honesty I think the ones to truly blame for the fact that Chernobyl ever became a word in the English language are the Soviet bureaucrats who cared more for promotions than anything else (a historical fact) and the designers of the reactor which somehow managed to screw up (knowingly) a few technically rather simple but very important aspects like the control rods and their insertion time.
Then of course there's Dyatlov whose best excuse until his death was "I did everything right"
And for Dyatlov's credit it's hard to work in a job if you are not told the whole truth and full specifications of the thing you are operating. The reactor designers never told the operators that the core has positive reactivity and the details of it, that is why in Ignalina NPP for example they found this fact out by surprise when shutting down one of the reactors for planned maintenance, it had happened in other plants too.
In Leningrad NPP back in 1975 this was probably the reason for a burst in one of the channels under a planned power increase. All these instances were reported but ignored by the higher authority and no changes were made only after 1986.

Pardon for getting off topic here but indeed this accident could have been totally avoidable and nuclear power today would have had a much better name, all of this because of lies, incompetence and the absurd secrecy surrounding everything in the USSR . At least Mazin has got this on point.PS. @russ_watters I totally agree I too would have nothing against living next to a reactor but a modern one operated by sane people like the one you are living next to, not an RBMK pre-upgrade version one operated by sociopaths and high school students (Toptunov was 25 and inexperienced)
 
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  • #48
russ_watters said:
FYI, Philly is 25 miles from the Limerick nuclear plant and I live 6 miles from the plant. She's panicking over the plant while I'm happy it isn't a coal plant.
artis said:
PS. @russ_watters I totally agree I too would have nothing against living next to a reactor but a modern one operated by sane people like the one you are living next to, not an RBMK pre-upgrade version one operated by sociopaths and high school students (Toptunov was 25 and inexperienced)
Amen .. I worked in one for thirty years.

Agreed, it is important that workers understand of what these things are capable.
Humble attention to detail is a must. Else the small things of the Earth will confound the mighty.
Big machinery demands humility and it will punish the haughty cavalier attitude with a venegeance.

Remember that last scene in "Devil's Advocate" :


old jim
 
  • #49
I believe that from all the commercial reactor types RBMK, especially before the updates was the most "critical" (pun intended) reactor in terms of operator knowledge and ability to think and make right decisions in short time scales.
I talked with one engineer who worked his whole life in my local university's experimental reactor and we basically agreed that the operators should understand nuclear physics at least the basics like what drives what and which actions influence which outcomes.I wonder did the guys back at unit 4 of Chernobyl understood that for a reactor that operates on such a small reactivity margin, disabling turbine steam and decreasing water flow through the core means more(all?) water turning into steam and essentially the core loosing it's only left neutron absorber.
But then again nobody told them that the reactor also has positive reactivity at the low side of power,
essentially Dyatlov was carrying out the test as if he was operating a genIII or IV PWR plant but he wasn't.

The only thing I wonder is given the guys had some time and experience with their RBMK, do such things as positive reactivity somehow can be witnessed and felt by intuition(reading gauges and analyzing) during operation and shutdowns and startups, because the operators had noticed these things at other plants.
But I guess this is a topic for it's own thread.
 
  • #50
Lots of interesting discussion here. My view is that there was no certainty in April 1986, immediately after the accident they had to guess at the cause and guess at the best way to deal with each problem they faced. They must have just been in total shock to be in the center of such a catastrophic sequence of events. Many of their mitigating actions now seem misguided and have simply added to the tonnage of radioactive debris that is now going to need to be removed and safely processed.

Firstly, they did not know the core was 'empty' and I do not think at that stage they were aware of the corium, or where it was located, this happened during the 'Complex Expedition' in December 1986, and the discovery shocked them. In April they were assuming the core was still mainly one mass and that a meltdown was in progress below it, this was the basis for imagining that contact with the water could simultaneously cause a core implosion and neutron reflection, and led to a worst case scenario assumption of the possibility for a further Criticality Event!

It would have been irresponsible to not assume the worst, considering they DID understand how bad everything already was. Don't forget the one thing they did have was horrendous radiation readings emanating from the site. It certainly could have caused worse site contamination, but considering how bad everything already was, the idea that they could lose the other reactors on site MUST have been an even greater nightmare. Imagine how stunned the Japanese were as they sequentially lost each reactor at Fukushima Daiichi? Experiencing the Loss of Coolant Accidents that EVERYTHING had been designed to prevent is definitely a WTF shock.

Let's face it, even retrospectively, we are still uncertain about the exact chain of events even 33 years on. It is actually a lot of clever guesswork, and the one thing that stands out about the accident is the lack of recorded instrumentation data, and a lesser person may suspect that this information received a political burial, unless it was radio-logically erased during the event, even so the Soviets usually preferred to rely upon more basic systems like paper plot recorders, and I do understand that most of Unit 4's instruments simply went off their scales and then failed.

I have found that one of the most interesting aspects of the accident is the 'Nuclear Jet Event' theory about the reactor's explosion and you can read some ideas about it ...

Chernobyl Nuclear Jet Discussion

This hypothesis has come from examining the forces involved in launching the 2000 ton upper biological shield through the roof of the reactor building and there is evidence of extreme downward forces through the lower biological shield too. When I first came across the suggestion I immediately thought that if that had happened then telltale fission byproducts would have been detected, and then I discovered that they had been.

The sheer scale of the event has largely been buried, the speed that the Soviets buried the evidence seems more than just to make it safe, they wanted it to 'disappear' as if it never happened...
Red Forest UAV Overflight

:smile:
I hope you all enjoy the continuing discussion...
 
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