Chronos said:
The rate of change of the Hubble constant over time is, however, fairly constant.
Fortunately, since we have simple formulas for the Hubble constant (and its time-derivative, or slope) over time, we can make this more precise! We can actually plot the history. Bandersnatch already did show a plot of H(t), three posts back in post #7. Here's the same but in zeit units---1 = 17.3 Gy. Present time = 0.8.
Since Chronos mentioned it, I'll try plotting the "rate of change" of H(t).
The derivative, H'(t) = dH/dt = -1.5/sinh
2(1.5t) is the red curve in this picture. This keeps track of the SLOPE of the H(t) curve over time. In zeit units the present is 0.8 so we can see for much of the
first half of cosmic history (up, say, to time 0.4) the slope is steeply negative compared with what it is later.
It's worth mentioning that the words "rate" and "rate of change" are vague in English and can refer to several quite different measures. They can mean "speed", or "slope". But they can also refer to the FRACTIONAL OR PERCENTAGE rate of change. So I suppose we ought to take the trouble to make clear which we are talking about.
The fractional rate of change of the Hubble constant is H'(t)/H(t), the change per unit time as a fraction of the whole, at that instant.
\frac{H'(t)}{H(t)} = \frac{-1.5}{\sinh(1.5t)\cosh(1.5t)} This is the blue curve in the picture. Numbers on the vertical axis can be interpreted as percent change per 0.01 zeit, in other words
percent change per 173 million years.
So we can see that at time 0.6 zeit H(t) was declining at rate 1% per 0.01 zeit (173 million years)
Somewhat earlier, at time 0.4 zeit, the Hubble constant was declining at rate 2% per same period of time.
And now, at time 0.8 zeit, the Hubble constant is declining at a little over half a percent per same period.