Astronuc
Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
Gold Member
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That's a good question, and I will have to find out. I suspect, other priorities, which happens in this area - a lot. I'm guessing it has to do with limited budgets and the lack of a mission at the moment. This happened in the 1970s, in 1988 (after the loss of Space Shuttle Challenger in 1986), in 1990s, 2005-2007 (following loss of Space Shuttle Columbia). In between we have various financial/political crises, e.g., the near economic collapse in 2008-2009, Brexit, and now the war in Ukraine and economic malaise. As for exotic missions, such as sending manned spacecraft to Mars, and elsewhere, it's been somewhat sinusoidal (oscillatory and volatile) in terms of funding and resources. I expected as much 35 years ago.darkdave3000 said:Any info yet on why the significant delays on DS4G since passing of the leader?
I will contact some of the principals and find out where the technology and interest stands. Part of the problem is the lack of a demonstrable nuclear power plant, and part is probably sufficient chemical alternatives such as those used on Galileo and Cassini, and the fact that folks are willing to accept long missions - 6+ years long - using gravity assists from Venus, Earth, and in the case of Cassini, Jupiter enroute to Saturn. I remember when JIMO spun up, then was abruptly cancelled.
Cassini was launched October 15, 1997 and achieved orbital insertion around Saturn July 1, 2004. It was sent into Saturn around September 15, 2017. It ran out of fuel. Launch mass was 5,712 kg (12,593 lb) and the dry mass 2,523 kg (5,562 lb), so about 7000 kg of fuel. A manned mission would require an order of magnitude greater mass, and even then it might take months one-way, and then return, which has yet to be demonstrated. A fast one-way trip is complicated, and a 'fast' round-trip even more complicated.
Ref: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cassini–Huygens
There needs to be some kind of infrastructure in place before committing people to a deep space mission - even to Mars - or even to the moon.